Flash Flood Warning 9, NWS Grand Junction, CO

000 
WGUS75 KGJT 200206
FFSGJT
COC113-200400-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
806 PM MDT MON JUL 19 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1000 PM MDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
SAN MIGUEL COUNTY...

AT 806 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN ALONG HIGHWAY 145...FROM SAWPIT TO 
TELLURIDE. THE RAIN IS MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH AND HAS ENDED IN 
PLACERVILLE AT THIS TIME. LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED ROCKS ON 
HIGHWAY 145 NEAR MILE MARKER 178 AND WATER OVER THE ROAD NEAR SAWPIT.
RUNOFF FROM THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT OF 
FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH AT LEAST 1000 PM.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 3796 10806 3808 10806 3806 10791 3802 10791
      3800 10789 3799 10782 3796 10778 3794 10780
      3790 10780

$$

NADLER

000 
WGUS75 KGJT 200350
FFSGJT
COC113-200400-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
950 PM MDT MON JUL 19 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL SAN 
MIGUEL COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

HEAVY RAIN AND EXCESS RUNOFF HAS ENDED OVER HIGHWAY 145...BETWEEN 
PLACERVILLE AND TELLURIDE. ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL OCCUR THE REST OF 
TONIGHT BUT NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. STREAMS AND CREEKS 
ARE BEGINNING TO RECEDE...ENDING THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING 
HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT 
AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3796 10806 3808 10806 3806 10791 3802 10791
      3800 10789 3799 10782 3796 10778 3794 10780
      3790 10780

$$

DJN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
150 PM MDT MON JUL 19 2004

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
ANOTHER ACTIVE AFTERNOON UNDERWAY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.  STORM
MOTION GENERALLY TO THE EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH...WHICH WILL LEAD TO A
FEW CELLS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.  EXPECT ACTIVITY TO
INCREASE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS AS ANOTHER WAVE ROTATES
NORTHEAST ACROSS UTAH AND INTO THE FA...SO HAVE INCREASED EVENING
POPS. ANOTHER MILD NIGHT IN STORE...WITH CLOUD COVER AND SUFFICIENT
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HELPING TO KEEP MINS UP.

OVERALL CONDITIONS START TO DRY ON TUESDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
GETS SUPPRESSED SOUTH INTO NEW MEXICO BY A PACNW TROUGH WHICH
IS FCST TO SLIDE THROUGH THE NRN ROCKIES.  WITH DRIER CONDITIONS
MOVING IN ALOFT...EXPECT FEWER...BUT SLIGHTLY STRONGER STORMS OVER
THE FA.  RDG REMAINS SUPPRESSED TO OUR SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY...BEFORE
REBUILDING OVER THE WESTERN U.S. LATER IN THE WEEK.  GENERAL TREND IS
TOWARD DRIER CONDITIONS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...AND WITH
FLOW ALOFT BECOMING MORE NWLY AND DRIER AIR OVER CALIFORNIA GETTING
CAUGHT UP INTO THE RDG...WL FOLLOW THIS LEAD.  TEMPS TO CLIMB A
COUPLE DEGREES BY WEDNESDAY AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SLOWLY ERODES...
AND H7 TEMPS CLIMB TO AROUND +17 C...AND HAVE GEARED TEMPS MORE
TOWARD MET GUIDANCE.

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD WEST ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE ONLY
CHANGE IN THE PATTERN WILL BE A SHORTWAVE WHICH WILL AFFECT MAINLY
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA ON FRIDAY. HAVE CONTINUED THE TREND OF
INCREASED POPS ON FRIDAY IN RESPONSE TO THIS WAVE WITH SLIGHT CHANCE
LOWER ELEVATIONS/CHANCE POPS OVER MOUNTAINS. OTHERWISE...EXPECT A
SLIGHT CHANCE AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY AS
ADEQUATE MOISTURE CONTINUES ACROSS CWA. HAVE COOLED MAX TEMPERATURES
OVER THE WEEKEND A FEW DEGREES OTHERWISE LITTLE CHANGE TO PREVIOUS
PACKAGE.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.CO...NONE.
.UT...NONE.

JDC/MPM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
545 AM MDT MON JUL 19 2004

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-201145-
ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-FLAT TOPS-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GRAND VALLEY-LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-
SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-
UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-
545 AM MDT MON JUL 19 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN COLORADO AND EASTERN
UTAH.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AGAIN TODAY...
ESPECIALLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL
CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY
CAUSE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF OR FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN OR URBAN AREAS PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING...AND IN AREAS
BURNED BY WILDFIRES. THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY SMALL
HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON AND
EVENING IN THE MOUNTAINS...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
VALLEYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT...BUT SPOTTERS
ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN RAINFALL...HAIL OR WIND REPORTS.

TAL