Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 39, NWS Hastings, NE

May 16, 2004Buffalo County, Nebraska

NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 16, 2004, 5:44 PM CDT for Buffalo County, Nebraska. It was in force for 31 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 16, 2004, 5:44 PM CDT (22:44 UTC)
Expired: May 16, 2004, 6:15 PM CDT
In force: 31 min
Issued by: NWS Hastings, NE
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Buffalo County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 16, 3:15 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr
May 16, 4:45 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 109 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 980 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 287 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 312 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

518 
WUUS53 KGID 162244
SVRGID
NEC019-162315-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
543 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  BUFFALO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA WHICH CONTINUES THE       
  PREVIOUS WARNING

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 540 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MILLER...OR ABOUT 21 MILES NORTHEAST OF
  LEXINGTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL NORTHWESTERN BUFFALO COUNTY AROUND 600 PM CDT

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 4104 9941 4104 9909 4093 9925 4088 9935
          4083 9941

$$
10

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 16, 2:32 PM CDT, 3 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 16, 2:32 PM CDT, 3 hours 12 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
232 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2004

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THRU TUE NIGHT. NO SIG CHANGES TO FCST. AT
SFC...RAPIDLY DEVELOPING LOW OVR SERN CO WITH WARM FRONT EXTENDING
FROM ERN CO THRU NWRN KS...E THRU SRN NE...THEN NORTHEAST INTO NERN
NE. COLD FRONT FROM SWRN MN SWWD THRU NRN NE...INTO ERN WY AND ON UP
TO SRN MT. WEAK DRYLINE FROM WRN NE INTO NERN CO AND ANOTHER
STRONGER DRYLINE FROM SERN CO LOW INTO ERN NM. CONVERGENT BOUNDARY
EXTENDS FROM WRN DAWSON COUNTY THRU NRN BUFFALO...SHERMAN AND HOWARD
COUNTIES...THEN ON UP NORTH.

WIND ADVISORY FOR ALL OF FA...WITH S WINDS INCREASING...BUT NOT
QUITE AT ADV LVL JUST YET. EXPECTING STRONGEST WINDS HOWEVER BETWEEN
3 AND 7 PM...SO STILL WAITING. OTHERWISE...AREA FROM SRN BORDERS OF
SHERMAN AND HOWARD COUNTIES MOST LIKELY AREA FOR POSSIBLE STORM
INTENSIFICATION THIS AFTERNOON WITH 60 DEW PTS...WEAKENING CAP...AND
BEST LL FORCING IN THIS AREA. OTHERWISE ONGOING CONVECTION ELEVATED
AT THE MOMENT. SPACE PICS HAVE LEAD SHORTWAVE JUST NOW OVR SERN WY
AND ERN CO. BETTER CHANCES FOR MORE WIDESPREAD TSRA ACTION WILL COME
LATER IN EVENING AS WAVE KICKS OVRHEAD. SCATTERED CLOUDS LEFT FROM
THIS MORNINGS ACTION HAS HELPED TO KEEP TEMPS A BIT COOLER...IN
ADDITION TO KEEPING THE LID ON THINGS A BIT LONGER WITH STABLE AREA
AT LOW LVLS...DESPITE EVER INCREASING INSTABILITY ALOFT. SO ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED CHANCES AROUND THRU REST OF AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.

FOR MON AND TUE...CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORM CONTINUE EACH DAY...WITH
SFC FRONT/BOUNDARY HANGING UP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS CWA MON...AND JUST
TO SOUTH OF FA ON TUE...SO CONTINUING CHANCES SEEM GOOD...AS QUICK
MOVING WAVES SKIRT THROUGH NEARLY ZONAL UPR LVL PATTERN. TEMPS ON
SEASONAL SIDE...AND JET HANGING OUT JUST TO NORTH OF AREA WILL KEEP
THINGS INTERESTING.

.LONG TERM...12Z WEDNESDAY TO SUNDAY...ONCE AGAIN THE CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION IS THE MAIN CONCERN DURING THIS PORTION OF THE
FORECAST. SEVERAL WEAK SHORT WAVES MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON SOUTHWEST
FLOW. STRONGEST WAVES ARE THURSDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT. FROM A
SURFACE STAND POINT...LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES...MOVES EAST WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE EAST WHICH SINKS
SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BEFORE THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS
ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES. THIS PATTERN REPEATS ITSELF DURING THE
FORECAT PERIOD. THE TIMING AND THE LOCATION OF THE SURFACE FRONT
WILL BE PART OF THE DEPENDANT FACTORS ON THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.

THE FIRST OCCASION OF THE FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA IS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WITH THE UPPER WAVE MOVING IN ALONG WITH IT...HAVE
A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA. SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY IS THE NEXT TIME THAT A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SINKS ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA...COINSIDING WITH THE NEXT WAVE OF UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT. IN BETWEEN...THERE IS ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND THAT THE WEAK
UPPER LEVEL WAVES THAT MOVE THROUGH HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
SOME SHOWERS...SO HAVE SLIGHT CHANCES FOR MOST OF THE AREA MUCH OF
THE PERIOD.

TEMPERATURES CAUSE SOME CONCERN DURING THE PERIOD. WITH CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION AND SOME CLOUD COVER...TEMPERATURES WOULD TEND TO BE
LOWER. ON THE OTHER HAND...THERE WILL BE SOME SUN AND TEMPERATURES
AT 850MB ARE RELATIVELY WARM. HAVE OPTED TO GO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
GUIDANCE DUE TO THE POWER OF THE MID-MAY SUN AND RELATIVELY WARM AIR
AT 850MB.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...WIND ADVISORY THIS EVENING SOUTH CENTRAL NE.
KS...WIND ADVISORY THIS EVENING NORTH CENTRAL KS.

&&

EFFECTIVE JUNE 8 2004 THIS PRODUCT WILL HAVE THE ID CHANGED FROM
OMAAFDGRI...TO OMAAFDGID. FOR MORE INFORMATION CHECK OUT
THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS/USE LOWER CASE LETTERS:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/PUBLIC/WMOHEADERS/CRPHASE1.HTM

10/JCB

Hazardous weather outlook, May 16, 5:01 PM CDT, 43 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
501 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2004

KSZ005-017-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082-083-171200-
ADAMS-BUFFALO-CLAY-DAWSON-FILLMORE-FURNAS-GOSPER-GREELEY-HALL-
HAMILTON-HARLAN-HOWARD-KEARNEY-MERRICK-NANCE-PHELPS-PHILLIPS-POLK-
ROOKS-SHERMAN-VALLEY-YORK-
501 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2004

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS
EVENING. HAIL...STRONG WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE STORMS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTH THIS EVENING
AND WILL ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST DURING THE NIGHT WITH THE THREAT
OF SEVERE WEATHER DIMINISHING LATE TONIGHT.

SOUTH WINDS AT 20 TO 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH
THROUGH THE EVENING...DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
AS THE FRONT STALLS ACROSS NORTHERN KANSAS AND ANOTHER DISTURBANCE
RIPPLES ACROSS THE PLAINS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER
...MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80 AND INTO NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

THE FORECAST HOLDS FIRM TO MORE STORM CHANCES LATER IN THE WEEK. IT
IS STILL EARLY TO DETERMINE THE LOCATION...TIMING AND INTENSITY OF
THOSE THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

KSZ006-007-018-019-NEZ084>087-171200-
FRANKLIN-JEWELL-MITCHELL-NUCKOLLS-OSBORNE-SMITH-THAYER-WEBSTER-
501 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2004

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

SOUTH WINDS AT 20 TO 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH
THROUGH THE EVENING...DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND
MOVE TO THE EAST. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AS
A COLD FRONT MOVES TO THE SOUTH OVER THE AREA. THE MAIN THREAT FROM
THESE STORMS IS HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
AS THE FRONT STALLS ACROSS NORTHERN KANSAS AND ANOTHER DISTURBANCE
RIPPLES ACROSS THE PLAINS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER
...MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80 AND INTO NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

THE FORECAST HOLDS FIRM TO MORE STORM CHANCES LATER IN THE WEEK. IT
IS STILL EARLY TO DETERMINE THE LOCATION...TIMING AND INTENSITY OF
THOSE THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING URL:

HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GID (ALL LOWER CASE)

JCB

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 16, 4:10 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
410 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0355 PM     HAIL             3 E ELWOOD              40.59N 99.80W
05/16/2004  1.25 INCH        GOSPER             NE   COUNTY OFFICIAL

0356 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 E ELWOOD              40.59N 99.80W
05/16/2004                   GOSPER             NE   COUNTY OFFICIAL

0402 PM     HAIL             4 E ELWOOD              40.59N 99.79W
05/16/2004  1.75 INCH        GOSPER             NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

0406 PM     HAIL             2 N ELWOOD              40.62N 99.86W
05/16/2004  1.75 INCH        GOSPER             NE   COUNTY OFFICIAL

&&

LAWRENCE

Local storm report, May 16, 4:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
415 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     HAIL             5 N SMITHFIELD          40.65N 99.74W
05/16/2004  1.00 INCH        GOSPER             NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LAWRENCE

Local storm report, May 16, 4:28 PM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
428 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     5 N SMITHFIELD          40.65N 99.74W
05/16/2004                   GOSPER             NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

LAWRENCE

Local storm report, May 16, 4:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
443 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     HAIL             6 E LEXINGTON           40.78N 99.63W
05/16/2004  1.75 INCH        DAWSON             NE   PUBLIC

&&

LAWRENCE

Local storm report, May 16, 5:08 PM CDT, 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
508 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     HAIL             1 S SUMNER              40.94N 99.51W
05/16/2004  1.00 INCH        DAWSON             NE   PUBLIC

&&

LAWRENCE

Local storm report, May 16, 5:13 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
513 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0508 PM     HAIL             3 NW MILLER             40.96N 99.43W
05/16/2004  1.00 INCH        DAWSON             NE   PUBLIC

&&

LAWRENCE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 16, 3:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Gosper	53 min
May 16, 3:49 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Gosper	26 min
May 16, 4:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Dawson	61 min
May 16, 4:17 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Gosper	13 min
May 16, 4:47 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Dawson	28 min
May 16, 4:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Buffalo	48 min
May 16, 5:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Dawson	45 min
May 16, 5:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Howard	37 min
May 16, 5:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Sherman	53 min
May 16, 5:52 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Buffalo	23 min
May 16, 6:22 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Sherman	38 min
May 16, 6:53 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Howard	37 min
May 16, 6:56 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Sherman	34 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.