Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 167, NWS Hastings, NE

June 24, 2004Jewell County, Mitchell County, Kansas

NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 24, 2004, 7:06 PM CDT for Jewell County, Mitchell County, Kansas. It was in force for 54 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jun 24, 2004, 7:06 PM CDT (00:06 UTC)
Expired: Jun 24, 2004, 8:00 PM CDT
In force: 54 min
Issued by: NWS Hastings, NE
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Jewell County, KS, Mitchell County, KS

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 231 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 63 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -268 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1178 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 151 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 343 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 24, 2:55 PM CDT, 4 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 24, 2:55 PM CDT, 4 hours 11 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
255 PM CDT THU JUN 24 2004

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM LOOKS TO BE
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR THE EVENING...THEN AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT.

AT PRESENT STILL HAVE POST FRONTAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS GOING ON
IN THE CENTRAL PART OF THE CWA. MOST AREAS NOT REPORTING MORE THAN A
FEW HUNDREDTHS WITH THIS ACTIVITY. LOOKS LIKE MOST OF RAIN IS NOW TO
THE SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 30 AND WILL MAKE LAST MINUTE ADJUSTMENTS TO
THE FORECAST TO REFLECT THIS.  OTHERWISE...IMPRESSIVE COLD FRONT
FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR RACED THROUGH THE CWA ALREADY...WELL AHEAD
OF MODEL PREDICTIONS.  AREA PROFILER NETWORK ACROSS NEBRASKA SHOWS
FRONT THROUGH MRR AND RWD UP TO 2500 METERS. WITH THE HELP OF CLOUD
COVER...THERE IS A 30 DEGREE TEMPERATURE SPREAD BETWEEN GRI AND RSL.
FRONT HAS PASSED THROUGH RSL AND HYS AND VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWED CU
LINE FORMING ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN TIER OF KANSAS COUNTIES ABOUT 90
MINUTES AGO. FORTUNATELY IT IS PUSHING SOUTH AND THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT VIA THE COLD FRONT SHOULD...AND IN FACT IS ACCORDING TO
LATEST RADAR PICTURES...DEVELOP TO OUR SOUTH.

WILL CONTINUE CURRENT THINKING THAT NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN TO BE
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT WITH NEXT SYSTEM SLIDING ACROSS ON
NW FLOW. UPPED THE POPS TO CHANCE CATEGORY. OTHERWISE LITTLE
CHANGES MADE.

.LONG TERM...12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...EXPECT THAT THERE COULD
BE A FEW LINGERING THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST PART OF FORECAST
AREA EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AS THE SHORT WAVE IS SLOW TO PULL OUT.

OTHERWISE...A FEW VERY WEAK SHORT WAVES MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WITH HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND NO
SIGNIFICANT BOUNDARIES AROUND...IT SHOULD BE DRY. THAT DOES NOT
PRECLUDE SOME CLOUDS AS THERE IS MOISTURE IN THE LOWER LEVELS.

THE MAIN INTEREST AT THIS POINT IS A SHORT WAVE THAT MOVES INTO THE
PLAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. MODELS ALL INDICATE THAT THERE
WOULD BE THE SHORT WAVE...BUT THE STRENGTH IS SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION.
GFSLR IS BY FAR THE STRONGEST AND THE ECMWF HAS A WEAKER VERSION OF
IT. THE CANADIAN HAS AN INDICATION THAT IT WILL BE COMING THROUGH.
THERE IS ALSO A SURFACE FRONT THAT MOVES INTO THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY AND ENOUGH MOISTURE THAT HAVE PUT IN SMALL POPS FOR
THURSDAY.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM UP SOME MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SLIDES IN. THE ONLY CONCERN ABOUT THE WARM UP
WOULD BE CLOUD COVER TO KEEP THE AREA FROM THE POTENTIAL.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.

&&

EWALD/JCB

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 24, 3:57 PM CDT, 3 hours 9 minutes before

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Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.