Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 126, NWS Hastings, NE

June 10, 2004Gosper County, Nebraska

NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 10, 2004, 10:08 PM CDT for Gosper County, Nebraska. It was in force for 37 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jun 10, 2004, 10:08 PM CDT (03:08 UTC)
Expired: Jun 10, 2004, 10:45 PM CDT
In force: 37 min
Issued by: NWS Hastings, NE
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Gosper County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 10, 10:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 94 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2590 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1541 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 133 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 179 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.0
Supercell composite: 12.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 10, 2:21 PM CDT, 7 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 10, 2:21 PM CDT, 7 hours 47 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
221 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.  FOCUS IS ON CONVECTION
AND SEVERE POTENTIAL TONIGHT. 18Z SFC ANALYSIS PLACED BROACH SURFACE
TROF IN THE HIGH PLAINS..WITH SFC LOW BEGINNING TO DEVELOP IN
NORTHEAST COLORADO. WARM FRONT EXTENDED NORTH OF OUR CWA ACROSS
NORTHERN NEBRASKA...WITH DRY LINE IN EASTERN COLORADO.  WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY/MORNING UPPER AIR SHOWED UPPER TROF IN THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
WITH 90KT JET ROUNDING BASE OF TROF.

PROGRESSION OF UPPER TROF AND SFC CYCLOGENESIS HAS SLOWED...THEREBY
DELAYING CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL FOR OUR CWA TO GENERALLY AFTER 00Z
THIS EVENING.  SFC LOW CONTINUES TO DEEPEN IN NORTHEAST CO WITH HGHT
FALLS OF 1-2MB.  AFTERNOON CONVECTION SHOULD INITIATE NORTH OF OUR
CWA AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY...AND ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS
TO OUR WEST ALONG THE DRY LINE AND COOL FRONT. UPPER TROF MOVES ONTO
THE PLAINS TONIGHT WITH SFC LOW LIFTING EAST ACROSS OUR CWA TONIGHT.
INDIVIDUAL STORMS WHICH DEVELOP TO THE WEST WILL TRACK NORTHEAST 20-
25 MPH...WHILE THE ENTIRE AREA MOVES EAST ACROSS NEB/KS AS THE UPPER
LOW ADVANCES.  SFC BASED CAPES PROGGED AROUND 2500 J/KG WITH LITTLE
INHIBITION...AND INCREASING SHEAR THIS EVENING WITH APPROACHING
SYS.  SVR POTENTIAL REMAINS WITH FURTHER DETAILS PROVIDED IN SPC
SWODY1 DISCUSSION.  POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO A HAZARD WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND AN INCH AND A HALF...AND HIGH DPS AT
THE SFC AND H85.

FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE CWA TONIGHT WITH DRY CONDITIONS FORECAST
FRIDAY...WHILE UPPER LOW LIFTS FARTHER INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
FRONTAL BOUNDARY BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH ON SATURDAY AS A WARM FRONT...
BRINGING A RETURN CHANCE FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT WHILE MID LEVEL
SHORTWAVE CROSSES THE CENTRAL PLAINS.  BY SUNDAY...THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY MAY BE STALLED ACROSS OUR CWA...BUT THIS MAY OR MAY NOT BE
REALISTIC DEPENDING ON CONVECTION SATURDAY NIGHT.  ATTM...HAVE LEFT
SUNDAY FORECAST DRY FOR NOW AND BOUNDARY PLACEMENT WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. MINOR CHANGES MADE TO EXTENDED
FORECAST WITH MEDIUM AND LONG RANGE MODELS IN OVERALL AGREEMENT WITH
REGARD TO EVOLUTION OF UPPER AND SFC PATTERN...THOUGH AS ALWAYS...THE
DEVIL IS IN THE DETAILS.

GENERAL IDEA IS FOR QUASI-ZONAL/LOW AMPLITUDE NW FLOW TO PREVAIL FOR
AT LEAST THE FIRST PART OF WEEK ACROSS THE NRN CONUS...WHILE RISING
HEIGHTS/UPPER RIDGING DEVELOPS OVER THE DESERT SW/TX PANHANDLE. 12Z
GFS HAS TRENDED TOWARD THE ECMWF IN DEPICTING A MORE AMPLIFIED NRN
STREAM...WITH INITIAL RESULT A STRONGER S/W TROF KICKED EAST FROM
GOAK LOW SUN-MON...AND A SFC LOW POSITION MON AM OVER SW NE/NW KS VS
TX/OK PANHANDLES. 12Z GFS ALSO QUICKER W/ FROPA...MON AFT VS MON
EVE. TRACK/TIMING DIFFERENCES ASIDE...ENUF CONSENSUS TO INCLUDE AT
LEAST A SLGT MENTION MON AFT/NIGHT...THOUGH 12Z SOLUTION CERTAINLY
OF MORE INTEREST IN TERMS OF SVR POTENTIAL.

REMAINDER OF FORECAST TO REMAIN DRY FOR NOW W/ HEIGHTS RISING TUE
THRU WED IN WAKE OF S/W TROF PASSAGE...AND INCREASING MDL DIVERGENCE
AND LOWER CONFIDENCE IN ANY PARTICULAR SOLUTION THEREAFTER.

TEMPS LOOK TO REMAIN NEAR SEASONAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...AND FOLLOWED
TRENDS SUGGESTED BY 12Z GFS/00Z ECMWF.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.

&&

FAY/VII

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 10, 6:40 PM CDT, 3 hours 28 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
640 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

NEZ041-048-049-062>064-075>077-086-087-111200-
ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-HALL-HAMILTON-MERRICK-NANCE-NUCKOLLS-POLK-THAYER-
YORK-
640 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN NEBRASKA WILL PUSH EAST OF HIGHWAY 281
AFTER 9 PM. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL TO
THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND DAMAGING THUNDERSTORMS WINDS BETWEEN 9 PM
AND 1 AM.

AS THE STORMS SHIFT EAST...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IN EXCESS OF ONE
INCH MAY ALSO FALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
NIGHT AS A WARM FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH ACROSS KANSAS.  ANOTHER
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS ON MONDAY.  THE SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL OF THESE STORMS WILL BE MONITORED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH 1 AM ACROSS PARTS OF THE
AREA. SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND BE
READY FOR ACTIVATION ON SHORT NOTICE.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION...LOG ONTO THE HASTINGS NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE WEB-PAGE AT WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GID

NEZ039-040-046-047-111200-
GREELEY-HOWARD-SHERMAN-VALLEY-
640 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 11 PM...

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH ABOUT 11 PM
THIS EVENING FOR THE AREA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NEBRASKA
SAND HILLS WILL MOVE EAST AND ENTER THE REGION AFTER 730 PM. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL TO 2 INCHES
IN DIAMETER...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. STORM MOTION
WILL BE EAST NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL ORGANIZE AND MOVE EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT...WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE. SOME AREAS COULD
SEE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
NIGHT AS A WARM FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH ACROSS KANSAS.  ANOTHER
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS ON MONDAY.  THE SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL OF THESE STORMS WILL BE MONITORED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THROUGH 11 PM ACROSS
THE AREA. SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT AND BE READY FOR ACTIVATION ON SHORT NOTICE.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION...LOG ONTO THE HASTINGS NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE WEB-PAGE AT WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GID

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ060-061-072>074-082>085-111200-
BUFFALO-DAWSON-FRANKLIN-FURNAS-GOSPER-HARLAN-JEWELL-KEARNEY-MITCHELL-
OSBORNE-PHELPS-PHILLIPS-ROOKS-SMITH-WEBSTER-
640 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 10 PM...

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. THERE
IS HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. AN ISOLATED
TORNADO IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING. STORMS MOTION WILL BE NORTHEAST
AT 30 MPH.

THE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL ORGANIZE AND MOVE EAST OF THE REGION
AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
NIGHT AS A WARM FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH ACROSS KANSAS.  ANOTHER
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS ON MONDAY.  THE SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL OF THESE STORMS WILL BE MONITORED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THROUGH 10 PM ACROSS
THE AREA. SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT AND BE READY FOR ACTIVATION ON SHORT NOTICE.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION...LOG ONTO THE HASTINGS NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE WEB-PAGE AT WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GID

NOAA/NWS/MORITZ

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 10, 8:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
833 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HAIL             GOTHENBURG              40.93N 100.16W
06/10/2004  1.00 INCH        DAWSON             NE   PUBLIC

            TREES DOWN, SOME STREET FLOODING

&&

NELSON

Special weather statement, Jun 10, 9:01 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
901 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ060-061-072>074-082>085-110230-
BUFFALO-DAWSON-FRANKLIN-FURNAS-GOSPER-HARLAN-JEWELL-KEARNEY-MITCHELL-
OSBORNE-PHELPS-PHILLIPS-ROOKS-SMITH-WEBSTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELOIT...HOLDREGE...KEARNEY...LEXINGTON...
MINDEN...PHILLIPSBURG
901 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

...TORNADO WATCH INFORMATION FOLLOWS...

THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS ARE INCLUDED IN TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 428 UNTIL 10 PM.

IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

DAWSON     BUFFALO     GOSPER     PHELPS     KEARNEY     WEBSTER
FURNAS     HARLAN      FRANKLIN

IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

PHILLIPS     SMITH     JEWELL     ROOKS     OSBORNE      MITCHELL

ONCE AGAIN...ALL OF THESE COUNTIES LISTED ARE IN A TORNADO WATCH
UNTIL 10 PM.

NEZ039>041-046>049-110230-
GREELEY-HOWARD-MERRICK-NANCE-POLK-SHERMAN-VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ORD
901 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INFORMATION FOLLOWS...

THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA ARE
INCLUDED IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 431 IN EFFECT UNTIL 200
AM CDT.

IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
GREELEY...VALLEY...NANCE...SHERMAN...HOWARD AND MERRICK

IN EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
POLK

NELSON

Local storm report, Jun 10, 9:06 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
906 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0846 PM     HAIL             2 E AGRA                39.76N 99.08W
06/10/2004  0.75 INCH        PHILLIPS           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

NELSON

Local storm report, Jun 10, 9:38 PM CDT, 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
938 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 PM     TORNADO          7 N SMITH CENTER        39.88N 98.78W
06/10/2004                   SMITH              KS   PUBLIC

&&

NELSON

Local storm report, Jun 10, 9:45 PM CDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
945 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0939 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     5 N SMITH CENTER        39.85N 98.78W
06/10/2004                   SMITH              KS   PUBLIC

&&

NELSON

Local storm report, Jun 10, 10:00 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1000 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0958 PM     TORNADO          7 SSW INAVALE           40.00N 98.69W
06/10/2004                   WEBSTER            NE   COUNTY OFFICIAL

&&

NELSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 10, 7:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Gosper	62 min
Jun 10, 7:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Dawson	66 min
Jun 10, 8:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Gosper	43 min
Jun 10, 9:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Dawson	43 min
Jun 10, 9:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Valley	52 min
Jun 10, 9:38 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Franklin, Webster	67 min
Jun 10, 9:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Buffalo, Dawson	46 min
Jun 10, 10:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Sherman	64 min
Jun 10, 10:40 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Adams, Clay, Nuckolls, Webster	65 min
Jun 10, 10:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Buffalo	66 min
Jun 10, 11:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Hall, Howard	60 min
Jun 10, 11:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Greeley	58 min
Jun 10, 11:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Merrick, Nance	53 min
Jun 10, 11:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Dawson	66 min
Jun 10, 11:40 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Clay, Hamilton	65 min
Jun 10, 7:43 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Phillips, Rooks	47 min
Jun 10, 8:27 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Phillips	48 min
Jun 10, 8:37 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Smith	53 min
Jun 10, 9:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Smith	61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.