Flash Flood Warning 28, NWS Hastings, NE

000 
WGUS73 KGID 230401
FFSGID
KSC163-230815-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1100 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2004

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 315 AM CDT FOR PEOPLE IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
     ROOKS

AT 1058 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A BAND OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS OVER ROOKS COUNTY...MAINLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 183 AND 
MOVING VERY SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 
AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
RADAR ESTIMATES THAT UP TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN OVER 
WESTERN PORTIONS OF ROOKS COUNTY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 24.  THIS WILL 
MAKE THE SOUTH FORK OF THE SOLOMON VULNERABLE TO FLASH FLOODING 
THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY

TO REPORT FLOODING HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR
REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN HASTINGS.

LAT...LON 3953 9925 3956 9958 3919 9959 3917 9919

$$

AWJ

000 
WGUS73 KGID 230507
FFSGID
KSC163-230530-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1206 AM CDT FRI JUL 23 2004

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR ROOKS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS HAS
BEEN CANCELED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAINFALL WAS 
ENDING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. SOME MINOR FLOODING MAY 
CONTINUE...HOWEVER THE THREAT OF SERIOUS FLOODING HAS ENDED.

LAT...LON 3955 9960 3955 9905 3913 9904 3913 9959
$$

FAY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
220 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2004

.DISCUSSION...SFC COLD FRONT FROM ERN IA...W THRU CENTRAL NE AND
INTO FAR NRN CO...WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM S CNTRL IA INTO NERN KS
AND WEAK LEE LOW OVR SERN CO AND SWRN KS WITH WARM FRONT/TROF
EXTENDING INTO N CNTRL/ERN  KS. HEAT LOW SITTING OVR AZ/NM BORDER
AREA WITH HI CENTERED ACROSS NERN MT...KEEPING SOME LL MOISTURE FLOW
INTO SRN CNTRL ROCKIES AND UPSLOPE ACROSS HI PLAINS AND FRONT RANGE.
AT UPR LVLS...RATHER STRONG TROF HOVERING OVR CNTRL CANADA...WITH
WEAK SW TROF FROM SRN MN INTO ERN NE AND UPR LVL RIDGE CENTERED NEAR
FOUR CORNERS. WARMEST AND WETTEST LL AIR STRETCHES NWD THRU ERN
KS...INTO FAR ERN NE...AND EAST ACROSS SRN IA AND NRN MS.

SCATTERED AREAS OF CONVECTION HAVE PERSISTED NEAR SFC BOUNDARIES IN
BOTH NE AND KS THRU THE AM AND EARLY PM HRS. MUCH OF THE CONVECTION
LOOKING VERY TROPICAL AND SLOW MOVING IN NATURE. SHEAR PROFILE NOT
THAT GOOD FOR SUSTAINING STRONGER STORMS FOR THE MOMENT...WITH THOSE
THAT DO MAKE IT THRU MID LVL INVERSION COLLAPSING ON THEMSELVES SOON
AFTER. RIGHT NOW IT APPEARS THAT SCATTERED CHCS FOR TSRA SEEM GOOD
ACROSS ENTIRE CWA WITH MORE WIDESPREAD CHCS OCCURRING SOUTH OF THE
NE/KS BORDER. BEST OVERALL MOISTURE/HEAT/FOCUSING MECHANISM WILL
COME TOGETHER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS NRN/CNTRL KS WHERE
CAPES WILL RISE TO 2500 TO 4000 IN SOME AREAS...SO GOING WITH HIGHER
POPS THERE. SOME SEVERE POTENTIAL...HOWEVER ISOLATED SEVERE AT BEST
AND PROBABLY ONLY REAL CHC IN AREAS WITH VERY HIGH CAPE VALUES
BRINGING ENOUGH OOMPH TO CONVECTION TO GET HIGH AND COLD ENOUGH TO
GET PENNIES...THEN FALL IN ON ITSELF AND PROVIDE A HILLESS WATERFALL
THAT WILL DRAG SOME AIR DOWN WITH IT. PULSEY WOULD DESCRIBE THE
SITUATION WELL. AGAIN...SLOW MOVEMENT OF ANY OF THESE STORMS WILL
ALLOW FOR POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED INCH TO TWO INCH RAINS
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVR NRN KS. ALTHOUGH FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS
REASONABLE HIGH ACROSS MOST OF CWA...WILL HAVE TO WATCH
OSBORNE...MITCHELL...AND JEWELL COUNTIES IN NRN KS FOR SOME CHANCE
FOR MINOR FLOODING IN THE CASE THAT THIS AREA KEEPS RAIN FOCUSED
OVER IT FOR A LONG PERIOD OF TIME. WILL PASS THESE CONCERN ON TO EVE
SHIFT. AM NOT ISSUING FFW AT MOMENT AS BOUNDARY(IES) LOOK LIKE THEY
MAY SLIP FURTHER SOUTH LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...TAKING
BETTER CHANCES FOR HEAVY RAIN WITH THEM.

FRI ON...BOUNDARY/FRONT LINGER NEARBY TO SOUTH OF CWA...SMALL
CHANCES FOR CONTINUING RAIN DURING MORNING OVR NRN KS...WITH VERY
SMALL POTENTIAL FOR SPRINKLES OR A SHOWER ACROSS S CNTRL NE WITH
COLD AIR CONTINUING TO POUR IN OVERHEAD AND KEEP ATMOSPHERE
MODERATELY UNSTABLE. AT SAME TIME...NONE OF THIS REALLY AMOUNTING TO
MUCH. BEYOND THAT...NO SIG CHANGES TO FCST.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.

&&

10

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1130 AM CDT THU JUL 22 2004

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-231200-
ADAMS-BUFFALO-CLAY-DAWSON-FILLMORE-FRANKLIN-FURNAS-GOSPER-GREELEY-
HALL-HAMILTON-HARLAN-HOWARD-JEWELL-KEARNEY-MERRICK-MITCHELL-NANCE-
NUCKOLLS-OSBORNE-PHELPS-PHILLIPS-POLK-ROOKS-SHERMAN-SMITH-THAYER-
VALLEY-WEBSTER-YORK-
1130 AM CDT THU JUL 22 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
AND INTO THE EVENING...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80 IN
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...AND ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. THE MAIN
SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS WOULD BE WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH AND HAIL UP
TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...AS VERY SLOW MOVING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO GET
THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL OCCUR MAINLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 6 IN NEBRASKA
AND OVER ALL OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...WHERE LOCAL RAINFALL TOTALS
MAY EXCEED ONE AND A HALF INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER ACROSS PARTS OF THE OUTLOOK
AREA FRIDAY MORNING...PRIMARILY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WOULD CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS ACTIVITY.

.SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

10/JCB/VII