Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 306, NWS Fort Worth, TX

June 21, 2004Lamar County, Texas

NWS Fort Worth, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 21, 2004, 2:20 PM CDT for Lamar County, Texas. It was in force for 55 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 21, 2004, 2:20 PM CDT (19:20 UTC)
Expired
Jun 21, 2004, 3:15 PM CDT
In force
55 min
Issued by
NWS Fort Worth, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Lamar County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 202 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2004-06-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1714 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2004-06-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 86 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1714 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-165 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1017 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
86 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 21, 12:20 PM CDT, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 21, 12:20 PM CDT, 2 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1220 PM CDT MON JUN 21 2004

.AVIATION...
THE OUTFLOW FROM OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS OKLAHOMA...HAS
PROVIDED A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE AREA NORTH OF A JACKSBORO...TO SHERMAN...PARIS LINE. THIS
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE CLOSE TO...BUT MAYBE JUST BARELY NORTH
OF THE METROPLEX  AIRPORTS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WILL INTRODUCE VCTS
FOR THE AREA AIRPORTS FOR THE 20 TO 24Z TIME PERIOD...BUT WILL HAVE
TO UPDATE  LATER...IF THIS ACTIVITY LOOKS LIKE IT WILL ACTUALLY HIT
THE AIRPORTS. OTHERWISE...A MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX...IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE METROPLEX TUESDAY
MORNING...THUS HAVE PLACED A TEMPO TSRA BETWEEN 12 AND 15Z. SOME
STRATUS MAY MOVE INTO THE WACO AREA AFTER 09Z. #58

&&

.DISCUSSION...
1135 AM CDT MON JUN 21 2004
REMAINS OF THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX SAGGING SOUTH TO THE RED RIVER
COUNTIES AT THE MOMENT. HAVE BUMPED THE POPS SLIGHTLY FOR THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE TOP TWO ROWS OF COUNTIES FOR SAME. MORNING
SOUNDING SHOWED A VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE. AWAY FROM THE
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE RED RIVER...THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE IF ANY
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON THEY WILL QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE
WITH HAIL AND DOWNBURST WIND THE MAIN PROBLEM. 82

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
403 AM CDT MON JUN 21 2004

AN ACTIVE EARLY SUMMER PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS WITH A STRONG RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST COAST AND A LARGE SCALE
TROUGH ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. EXPECT SEVERAL ROUNDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEK.

MCS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS OKLAHOMA SHOULD BEGIN TO
WEAKEN AS STORMS APPROACH THE RED RIVER COUNTIES.  A FEW STORMS MAY
HOLD TOGETHER...ESPECIALLY ACROSS FANNING AND LAMAR
COUNTIES...THEREFORE...WILL PUT SOME POPS IN THIS MORNING.  ALSO...A
COMPLEX OF STORMS OVER SOUTHWEST TEXAS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORT WAVE
WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE NORTHEAST AND REACH THE WESTERN COUNTIES
THIS MORNING.  AGAIN STORMS SHOULD WEAKEN THROUGH THE MORNING BUT A
FEW NORTH TEXAS LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVE MEASURABLE RAIN.  THE
REMAINDER OF NORTH TEXAS SHOULD STAY DRY THIS MORNING...
HOWEVER...OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THIS MORNING CONVECTION COULD ACT
AS A FOCUS FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.  ONE LIMITING
FACTOR WILL BE A CAP OF WARM AIR...BUT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND MID
LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN HIGH...SO IF ANY STORM CAN GET GOING
THEY COULD BECOME SEVERE.  RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE
TONIGHT/TUESDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT AND MCS MOVES SOUTH ACROSS
THE RED RIVER. THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO LIFT NORTHWARD ON WEDNESDAY
AND BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS SHORT WAVE ENERGY...MOVING
THROUGH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...INTERACTS WITH ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE.   79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX   93  74  86  69 /  20  30  50  30
WACO, TX               94  72  89  69 /  20  20  30  30
PARIS, TX              91  72  83  68 /  20  30  50  30
DENTON, TX             92  73  86  69 /  20  30  50  30
MCKINNEY, TX           92  73  85  69 /  20  30  50  30
DALLAS, TX             93  74  86  69 /  20  20  50  30
TERRELL, TX            92  74  85  69 /  20  30  50  30
CORSICANA, TX          93  74  87  69 /  20  20  40  30
TEMPLE, TX             93  73  91  70 /  20  20  30  30

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 21, 1:13 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
113 PM CDT MON JUN 21 2004

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-221100-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
113 PM CDT MON JUN 21 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR MAINLY
NORTH OF I-20. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THESE STORMS WILL FROM DAMAGING
WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL...HOWEVER...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS. AS THE STORMS MOVE
ACROSS THE SAME AREA...SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY ALSO OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL LINGER ACROSS NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT.

58

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fort Worth, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 21, 2:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin58 min
Jun 21, 3:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDWise67 min
Jun 21, 3:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack43 min
Jun 21, 3:51 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDCollin3 hr
Jun 21, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDYoung65 min
Jun 21, 6:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDStephens53 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.