Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 541, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

September 15, 2004Buena Vista County, Iowa

NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 15, 2004, 5:26 AM CDT for Buena Vista County, Iowa. It was in force for 34 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Sep 15, 2004, 5:26 AM CDT (10:26 UTC)
Expired
Sep 15, 2004, 6:00 AM CDT
In force
34 min
Issued by
NWS Sioux Falls, SD
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Buena Vista County, IA

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 153 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Sep 15, 5:45 AM CDTTSTM WND DMG4 S Linn Grove, IATREES UPROOTED...CHICKEN PEN BLOWN OVER...TOP OF 100 FOOT SILO BLOWN OFF

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 19 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 188 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2004-09-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1520 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2004-09-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 183 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1520 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-24 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1898 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
183 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
290 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
8.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KFSD 151026
SVRFSD
IAC021-151100-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
526 AM CDT WED SEP 15 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  BUENA VISTA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST IOWA

* UNTIL 600 AM CDT

* AT 526 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
  EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
  FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF ALTA TO 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALTA...
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LAKESIDE...ALTA AROUND 535 AM CDT
  STORM LAKE...NEWELL AROUND 540 AM CDT
  TRUESDALE...LINN GROVE AROUND 545 AM CDT
  SIOUX RAPIDS AROUND 550 AM CDT
  MARATHON...ALBERT CITY AROUND 555 AM CDT

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH YOU SHOULD PREPARE
FOR DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH...LARGE HAIL...HEAVY RAINS AND
DEADLY LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4292 9540 4256 9541 4256 9491 4291 9492

$$
RSR

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sioux Falls, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 15, 3:35 AM CDT, 1 hour 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 15, 3:35 AM CDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN/NORTHWEST IA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
335 AM CDT CDT WED SEP 15 2004

.DISCUSSION..
MAIN SHORT TERM FORECAST PROBLEMS ARE ONGOING WEATHER TODAY AND ITS
IMPACTS ON TEMPERATURES AND FOG POTENTIAL TONIGHT.

07Z WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH ENTERING
WESTERN NEBRASKA WITH STRONG H300 DIFFLUENCE AHEAD OF FEATURE.
WIDESPREAD PRECIP WAS SEEN ON MOSAICS BOTH ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND
WARM FRONT.

MODELS ALREADY BEGAN TO DIVERGE WITH HANDLING OF THIS FEATURE IN THE
FIRST SIX HOURS OF THE FORECAST WITH GFS SEEMING TO BE A BIT
CONVECTIVELY CONTAMINATED. EXPECT WAVE TO SLOW A BIT OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS AS IT INTERACTS WITH FRONTAL ZONE AND CYCLOGENESIS
INCREASES. THAT BEING SAID BEST SHOT OF PRECIP AFTER 12Z LOOKS TO BE
IN THE NORTHEAST CWA...WITH PRECIP CHANCES DROPPING OF FAST TO THE
SOUTH AFTER 13Z. ALTHOUGH THE RAIN WILL CONTINUE A BIT LONGER TODAY
WONT CONTINUE FLOOD WATCH AS HEAVIEST RAINS HAVE ALREADY
FALLEN...AND WILL JUST HAVE TO COVER THINGS WITH WARNINGS AS NEED
BE. WAVE LOOKS TO CLEAR ENTIRE CWA AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE SETS IN.
THIS SHOULD SCOUR OUT CLOUDS PRETTY QUICKLY SAVE FOR SOME WRAP
AROUND STRATUS TO THE NORTHEAST. TEMPS SHOULD MIX OUT TO H850 PRETTY
EASY IN THE SOUTH WITH LOTS OF SUNSHINE AND POST FRONTAL WIND...BUT
WILL PROBABLY ONLY BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN NOW IN THE
NORTHEAST. TONIGHT SFC RIDGE SETTLES OVER AREA DROPPING OF WINDS.
WITH ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...INVERSION STRENGTHENING BY LL
WARM ADVECTION AND WEAK BL WINDS...EXPECT TO SEE A GOOD RADIATIONAL
FOG EVENT OVERNIGHT. DENSE FOG WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SE
AS WEAKEST WINDS WILL OCCUR AT TIME OF MAX RADIATIONAL COOLING.
DESPITE GOOD COOLING...THINK MODELS ARE UNDER DOING SFC MOISTURE AND
WILL GO NOT AS COLD AS GUIDANCE.

AFTER THURSDAY MORNING WX SHOULD BE QUIET THROUGH SATURDAY. MODELS
CONTINUE TO SHOW A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES SLIDING CROSS THE AREA
THU-SAT. BUT SFC RIDGE TO THE SOUTH WILL SERIOUSLY IMPEDE ANY DECENT
MOISTURE RETURN SO WILL CONTINUE DRY FORECAST. DID ADD SOME SMALL
POPS ON SUNDAY AS STRONGER RETURN FLOW SETS UP...BUT MADE NO MAJOR
CHANGES TO REST OF THE FORECAST.

.FSD...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.

&&

JRM
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 14, 11:47 AM CDT, 17 hours 39 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1147 AM CDT TUE SEP 14 2004

SDZ038>040-050-052>071-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-151200-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-
CHARLES MIX-CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-
DAVISON-DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-
IDA IA-JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-
LYON IA-LYON MN-MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
OBRIEN IA-OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-
SIOUX IA-TURNER-UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-
1147 AM CDT TUE SEP 14 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP NEAR A VERMILLION TO SPENCER IOWA
LINE AFTER 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. SOME STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
VERMILLION TO SPIRIT LAKE LINE. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...HAIL THE
SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE THE MAIN
THREATS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND JUST
SOUTH OF THIS FRONT. THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL BE MAINLY
SOUTH OF A SIOUX CITY TO LINN GROVE LINE.

FLOODING...
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST IOWA...FAR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
AND FAR SOUTHERN MINNESOTA WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES...WITH HOURLY RAINFALL RATES APPROACHING TWO INCHES. A FEW
RIVERS....CREEKS AND STREAMS COULD APPROACH BANKFULL AND URBAN
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY AFTER 500 PM CDT.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/FSD. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

08

The office that day

Everything else NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 14, 7:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFSDBuena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, O'Brien4 hr
Sep 15, 3:20 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFSDLyon3 hr
Sep 15, 4:06 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFSDClay, Dickinson, O'Brien, Osceola114 min
Sep 15, 7:01 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFSDClay, Dickinson, O'Brien119 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Iowa, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.