Flash Flood Warning 12, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WGUS54 KEWX 021440
FFWSAT
TXC013-255-021745-
/X.NEW.KEWX.FF.W.0012.041002T1438Z-041002T1745Z/
/0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
938 AM CDT SAT OCT 2 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
  ATASCOSA
  KARNES

* UNTIL 1245 PM CDT

* AT 825 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM OVER THE WARNED AREA.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE RUNGE...POTEET...PLEASANTON...
  LYTLE...LEMING...KARNES CITY...JOURDANTON...GILLETT...FALLS CITY...
  CHARLOTTE AND CESTOHOWA.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT FEW 
HOURS FROM SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  THIS WILL CAUSE FLOODING AT 
LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...
COUNTRY ROADS...AND FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

FLASH FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED AREAS. A LITTLE
OVER A FOOT OF WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST CARS AND TRUCKS. TURN AROUND
- DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 2865 9835 2864 9880 2924 9880 2912 9843
      2887 9819 2922 9772 2912 9762 2900 9776
      2881 9758 2867 9778 2867 9785 2872 9791
      2869 9800 2879 9810 2861 9834

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
320 PM CST SUN MAR 14 2004

.DISCUSSION...
TWO AREAS OF CONVERGENCE AT THE SURFACE CONTRIBUTING TO CURRENT
UPTREND IN COVERAGE OF CONVECTION. THE FIRST...A COASTAL TROUGH
IS BECOMING ILL-DEFINED GIVEN THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW...BUT APPEARS TO
BE SHIFTING FURTHER SOUTH INTO CWA CRP.  THE OTHER BOUNDARY IS A
WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS CWA EWX. THIS BOUNDARY IS ILL-
DEFINED AS WELL GIVEN AREA SURFACE OB WINDS...BUT CAN BE IDENTIFIED
BY TEMPS IN THE 60S TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT.  AM EXPECTING A
DOWNTREND WITHIN A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNDOWN...AS THIS ROUND IS
LIKELY AIDED BY SURFACE HEATING AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

THE UPPER LOW OVER WESTERN MEXICO WILL OPEN UP AND EJECT OUT OVER
SOUTH TEXAS AND THE GULF OF MEXICO LATE TOMORROW. WILL MAINTAIN
CHANCE POPS UNTIL THEN. WILL CONTINUE WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
TUE AND WED WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT NUDGING DOWN INTO CENTRAL TX AND
A SERIES OF SHORT WAVE TROUGHS MOVING OVER IN THE NW FLOW ALOFT.
UPPER FLOW WEAKENS AND GOES ZONAL AFTER THAT...ALLOWING FOR A
BUILD-UP OF PWS. SO WILL CONTINUE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS INTO FRI...BUT
DROP THEM OFF AFTER THAT GIVEN LOW CONFIDENCE IN MEDIUM RANGE MODEL
SOLUTIONS FOR SAT/SUN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              57  72  56  75 /  40  30  10  20
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  56  71  53  74 /  40  30  10  20
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           58  74  56  79 /  40  10   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       58  71  56  77 /  50  30   0  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH EAST OF I-35
THRU 9PM CST.

&&

11/01

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
600 AM CST SUN MAR 14 2004

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-151200-
ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-DE WITT-
DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-
KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-TRAVIS-
UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-ZAVALA-

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.