Flash Flood Warning 107, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 080002
FFSSAT
TXC285-080215-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
702 PM CDT MON JUN 7 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 915 PM CDT FOR LAVACA
COUNTY...

AT 700 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING.  THIS 
BAND EXTENDED FROM MOULTON TO SHINER TO EZZELL...MOVING NORTH AT 10 
MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO 
SUBLIME.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF EZZELL TO WELL OFF THE COAST NEAR 
PORT OCONNOR WILL FEED INTO LAVACA COUNTY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF 
HOURS.  

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

LAT...LON 2940 9721 2913 9693 2940 9662 2963 9691
          2962 9712

$$

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 080051
FFSSAT
TXC285-080215-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
751 PM CDT MON JUN 7 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 915 PM CDT FOR LAVACA
COUNTY...

AT 748 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT THE HEAVIEST RAINS HAD MOVED TO THE NORTHEAST OUT OF LAVACA 
COUNTY. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR 
SO. 

THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES DUE TO THE HEAVY RAINS OF THE 
PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. RADAR ESTIMATES OF BETWEEN 1 TO 4 INCHES OF 
RAIN HAS FALLEN.  

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL 
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

LAT...LON 2940 9721 2913 9693 2940 9662 2963 9691
          2962 9712

$$

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 080220
FFSSAT
TXC285-080245-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
920 PM CDT MON JUN 7 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR LAVACA COUNTY EXPIRED AT 915 PM CDT...

THE HEAVY RAINS HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST OF LAVACA COUNTY AND THE THREAT 
FOR FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED AS ONLY LIGHT RAINS ARE EXPECTED. AS A 
RESULT...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN LEFT TO EXPIRE.  

SOME MINOR RISES OF SMALL STREAMS AND PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING 
AREAS MAY CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. MOTORISTS SHOULD DRIVE 
WITH CAUTION DURING THE NIGHTTIME HOURS AND AVOID AREAS WHERE WATER 
COVERS THE ROADWAY. 

LAT...LON 2940 9721 2913 9693 2940 9662 2963 9691
          2962 9712

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
300 PM CDT MON JUN 7 2004

.DISCUSSION...
IN THE SHORT TERM...A TROPICAL INFLOW TAP EXIST INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS. PWS HAVE INCREASED TO EQUAL OR EXCEED TWO INCHES. THE GFS
AND ETA MODEL GUIDANCE ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE FORECAST BEING A
HEAVY RAIN EVENT. NCEP EXCESSIVE RAINFALL GUIDANCE ALSO FALL INLINE.
WILL ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE
COUNTRY WARNING AREA WITH THE 4PM FORECAST PACKAGE. THE WATCH WILL GO
TO 4PM TUESDAY. IT IS ALSO VERY POSSIBLE THAT DURING THE DAY ON
TUESDAY THE WATCH WILL BE EXTENDED INTO WEDNESDAY. WE ARE LOOKING AT
ISOLATED THREE TO SIX INCH TOTALS FOR THIS RAIN EVENT. THE WATCH WILL
RUN ALONG THE ESCARPMENT COUNTIES FROM WILLIAMSON TO BEXAR TO
MEDINA...THEN SOUTH TO FRIO...EXTENDING EASTWARD.

BY MID WEEK...LOOKING FOR A UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TO MOVE OUT OF
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND MOVE NORTHEAST. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL BRING AN
END TO THE MAIN HEAVY RAIN EVENT OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THUS
THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE A LITTLE DRIER THAN TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.
HOWEVER...THE TIME OF THE CALIFORNIA LOW KICKING OUT TO THE NORTHEAST
IS IN QUESTION. MODEL GUIDANCE HAVE UP TO THIS MORNINGS RUN BEING
DRY AND WITH A ZONAL FLOW ACROSS TEXAS IN THE LATE WEEK TIME FRAME.
BUT THIS MORNING RUN HAS ADDED PRECIP CHANCES INTO THE MIX FOR
THURSDAY/FRIDAY. HAVE ADDED POPS TO THE LATER PERIODS TO KEEP INLINE
WITH THIS TREND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              73  85  73  86 /  60  70  60  50
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  84  72  85 /  60  70  60  50
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           74  91  75  92 /  20  20  20  20
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       74  86  73  86 /  60  70  60  50

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING IN
EFFECT FROM 4PM TODAY UNTIL 4PM TUESDAY FOR THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS
OF THE FORECAST WARNING AREA.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1130 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2004

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-081100-
ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-DEWITT-
DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-
KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-TRAVIS-
UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-ZAVALA-
1130 AM CDT MON JUN 7 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
UPPER AIR DISTURBANCES WILL INTERACT WITH A PLUME OF TROPICAL
MOISTURE TO TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER THE
EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS
POSSIBLE.  THE CHANCE OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY MORNING.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR ONE HALF INCH WILL BE
COMMON IN THIS AREA...WITH UP TO ONE INCH IN SPOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
SHOWERY WEATHER WILL PERSIST OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY.  THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE
MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE REGION. THIS COULD RESULT IN
FLASH FLOODING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.