Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 14, NWS El Paso, TX

June 17, 2004Hudspeth County, Texas

NWS El Paso, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 17, 2004, 5:35 PM MDT for Hudspeth County, Texas. It was in force for 40 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 17, 2004, 5:35 PM MDT (23:35 UTC)
Expired
Jun 17, 2004, 6:15 PM MDT
In force
40 min
Issued by
NWS El Paso, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Hudspeth County, TX

The radar

The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 306 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2004-06-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2004-06-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -5 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1948 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
5 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
62 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 17, 2:17 PM MDT, 3 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 2:17 PM MDT, 3 hours 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO-SANTA TERESA NM
217 PM MDT THU JUN 17 2004

SYNOPSIS...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT AND WARM DRY WEATHER ACROSS MOST OF THE
BORDERLAND ON FRIDAY. HOWEVER WINDS WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY ON
SATURDAY WITH MOISTURE INCREASING OVER THE REGION. AS A RESULT A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR ON SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE. WESTERLY WINDS WILL BRING
A RETURN OF DRY WEATHER MONDAY AND TUESDAY BEFORE AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE PRODUCES A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY.

DISCUSSION...

WATER VAPOR IMAGES SHOWING A PUSH OF DRIER AIR INTO THE CWA THIS
AFTERNOON AS FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. DEWPOINTS AT EL PASO HAVE
DROPPED ALMOST 20 DEGREES SINCE THE MID MORNING STRONGLY SUGGESTING
THREAT OF EVEN ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS ENDED HERE. SO FOR TONIGHT
WILL KEEP TOKEN MENTION OF PRECIP ONLY IN THE EXTREME EAST. FOR
FRIDAY...LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS WEAK TROUGH OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
WITH WEAK RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO. THIS PATTERN FAVORS
WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE BOUNDARY LAYER WITH CONTINUED DRY
AIR TRANSPORT INTO MOST OF THE CWA. THE EXCEPTION MAY AGAIN BE THE
SOUTHERN SACS AND HUDSPETH COUNTY TEXAS WHERE OROGRAPHIC LIFT AND
DEEPER MOISTURE RESPECTIVELY WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED CONVECTION.

ON SATURDAY MODELS INDICATE LOW LEVEL WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY VIA
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE PLAINS AND THERMAL TROUGHING THROUGH WESTERN
ARIZONA. RESULTANT MOISTURE ADVECTION SHOULD PUSH SURFACE DEWPOINTS
UP SUFFICIENTLY TO INDUCE WEAK INSTABILITY AND ISOLATED CONVECTION
OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL ZONES. LONGER RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES
WEAK BUT PERSISTENT ZONAL FLOW WILL BRING DRY WEATHER MONDAY AND
TUESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER DEEPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
WEDNESDAY. BACKING FLOW AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM MAY ADVECT DEEPER
MOISTURE INTO THE CWA WITH CONVECTION AGAIN POSSIBLE.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS...

EL PASO               UB 070/098 069/097 068 00012
ALAMOGORDO            UB 067/098 065/097 063 00012
LAS CRUCES            UB 066/097 064/096 063 00012
CLOUDCROFT            BB 048/078 047/077 045 22223
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES UB 064/097 063/096 062 00001
SILVER CITY           UB 060/092 060/092 059 00000
DEMING                UB 065/098 064/097 062 00001
LORDSBURG             UB 064/098 065/097 062 00000
SIERRA BLANCA         BB 067/096 064/095 066 22223

.ELP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE

05 ROGASH
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 17, 11:10 AM MDT, 6 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
1110 AM MDT THU JUN 17 2004

NMZ022>025-030>032-TXZ055-056-172300-
EL PASO TX-HUDSPETH TX-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION NM-
SOUTHERN DESERT NM-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS NM-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN NM-SOUTHWEST DESSERT/BOOTHEEL NM-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION NM-
TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT NM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALAMOGORDO...DEMING...EL PASO...LAS
CRUCES...LORDSBURG...SILVER CITY...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES
1110 AM MDT THU JUN 17 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL NEW
MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING
EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE. A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 40
MPH AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO A QUARTER INCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY...MAINLY EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 17, 3:52 PM MDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jun 17, 5:05 PM MDT, 30 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
505 PM MDT THU JUN 17 2004

TXZ056-180100-
HUDSPETH TX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SIERRA BLANCA
505 PM MDT THU JUN 17 2004

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN HUDSPETH COUNTY TEXAS...

AT 505 PM...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WAS ACROSS PORTIONS OF HUDSPETH
COUNTY TEXAS. THESE STORMS WILL BE MOVING ACROSS INTERSTATE 10 IN
THE VICINITY OF SIERRA BLANCA AND FORT HANCOCK. SMALL HAIL...BRIEF
HEAVY RAINS AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS. PERSONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORMS SHOULD TAKE SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY.

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.