Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 212, NWS Kansas City, MO
NWS Kansas City, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 27, 2004, 8:10 PM CDT for Atchison County, Leavenworth County, Kansas. It was in force for 50 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 27, 2004, 8:10 PM CDT (01:10 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 27, 2004, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 50 min
- Issued by
- NWS Kansas City, MO
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Atchison County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 59 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 3473 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -5 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1317 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 50 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 229 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.8
- Supercell composite
- 28.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WUUS53 KEAX 280110 SVREAX KSC005-103-280200- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 810 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN LEAVENWORTH COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS SOUTHEASTERN ATCHISON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS * UNTIL 900 PM CDT * AT 804 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF POTTER...OR ABOUT 12 MILES SOUTH OF ATCHISON...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... EASTON KS BY 815 PM CDT. LEAVENWORTH BY 840 PM CDT. REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OR LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN PLEASANT HILL. LAT...LON 3951 9532 3914 9518 3921 9484 3953 9511 $$ MJ
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 27, 3:20 PM CDT, 4 hours 50 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 27, 3:20 PM CDT, 4 hours 50 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 320 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004 .DISCUSSION... GOING FORECAST LOOKS GOOD...WITH COLD FRONT POSITIONED FROM ROUGHLY BETHANY TO MUSCOTAH KANSAS...AND INITIATION OCCURRING AT THE ANTICIPATED TIME. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UPDATED TO INCLUDE MUCH OF WESTERN MISSOURI AND EASTERN KANSAS THROUGH 9 PM. GIVEN SHEAR PROFILES...ANTICIPATE MOSTLY A MULTICELLULAR...HAIL/DAMAGING WIND THREAT WITH THESE STORMS. SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL LIKELY BRING A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF RAIN TO NORTHCENTRAL MISSOURI...MOST NOTABLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70 AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35. WITH A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF AVAILABLE MOISTURE...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MORNING HOURS. FOLLOWING THE FRONT...CONDITIONS LOOK TO DRY OUT BY MID SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE HIGH PLAINS...ENDING THE WEEK OF ACTIVE WEATHER. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SHIFT MOST ACTIVITY INTO AREAS OF NORTHERN IOWA AND MINNESOTA...WITH RIDGING MOVING INTO PLACE BY MID WEEK. THEREFORE...DRY FORECAST WILL REMAIN IN TACT UNTIL FURTHER MODEL RUNS ADVERTISE OTHERWISE. TEMPERATURES REBOUND TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES BY THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH STRONG WARM ADVECTION PRIOR TO NEXT STORM SYSTEM ON SATURDAY. LEINS && .PREV DISCUSSION 1017 AM CDT UPDATES TO FORECAST FORTHCOMING TO INCLUDE NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER UNTIL 3 PM...AND TO ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT FOR MOST AREAS. THUNDERSTORMS ATTEMPTING TO DEVELOP ALONG RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM CENTRAL INTO WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI. MLCAPES THIS MORNING ALREADY AT OR ABOVE 3000 J/KG ACROSS WESTERN MISSOURI THIS MORNING...AND SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A LOOK OUT THE DOOR INDICATES DEVELOPING CU FIELD FROM CONVECTION OVER NORTHEAST MISSOURI EXTENDING SOUTHWEST TO NEAR PLEASANT HILL. STORMS THIS MORNING ARE DEVELOPING WELL AHEAD OF THE MAIN SURFACE FRONT...WHICH IS STILL WELL NORTH OF KANSAS CITY ROUGHLY FROM JUST SOUTH OF FALLS CITY TO NEAR BETHANY. MUCH OF THIS AREA REMAINS CAPPED TO SURFACE DEVELOPMENT AT THE MOMENT. EXPECT TWO DISTINCT ROUNDS OF STORMS TODAY. THE FIRST WILL AFFECT MAINLY AREAS SOUTH OF I-70 THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE MORE SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR FLOODING RAIN AND SEVERE STORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT...WHEN WE TAP INTO THE BOUNDARY LAYER. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN QUITE HIGH...AND 12Z MODEL QPF INDICATIVE OF A WIDESPREAD 1-2 INCH RAIN EVENT LATER TONIGHT. HAVE HOISTED A FLOOD WATCH WITH THIS CONCERN IN MIND FOR TONIGHT. WILL ALSO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES...WHICH MAY FLIRT WITH THE 100-105 DEGREE RANGE THIS AFTERNOON SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TONIGHT ALL COUNTIES. MO...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TONIGHT ALONG AND SOUTH OF A ST JOSEPH TO BETHANY LINE. WFO EAX
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 27, 12:41 PM CDT, 7 hours 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1241 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-281100- ...SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TONIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS WILL RAPIDLY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...LIKELY BETWEEN 2 AND 4 PM ALONG AND SOUTH OF A ST JOSEPH TO BETHANY LINE. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH. WARMER TEMPERATURES ALOFT SHOULD MINIMIZE THE THREAT FOR HAIL...ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE HAIL UP TO PENNY OR QUARTER SIZE. HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO A CONCERN TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. THE ATMOSPHERE IS PRIMED WITH COPIOUS MOISTURE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL LIKELY BE COMMON TONIGHT ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-35...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO RAINFALL TRENDS LATER TONIGHT. IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOOD THREATS...THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL PERSIST THIS AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES WILL RANGE FROM 100 TO 105....MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A KANSAS CITY TO MOBERLY LINE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION LIKELY WILL BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...GENERALLY SOUTH OF A ST JOSEPH TO BETHANY LINE. && THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGIC AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT (LOWER CASE) HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/EAX OR HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. HUDSON
In the hours before
Local storm report, Aug 27, 6:24 PM CDT, 1 hour 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
624 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0621 PM HAIL LANSING 39.25N 94.89W
08/27/2004 0.88 INCH LEAVENWORTH KS EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
SFLocal storm report, Aug 27, 6:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
637 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0610 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 NW MILAN 40.28N 93.23W
08/27/2004 SULLIVAN MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
LARGE TREES BLOCKING ROAD
&&
SFLocal storm report, Aug 27, 6:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
645 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0644 PM HAIL SHAWNEE 39.02N 94.80W
08/27/2004 0.75 INCH JOHNSON KS BROADCAST MEDIA
PENNY SIZE HAIL IN NORTHWESTERN SHAWNEE.
&&
HUDSONLocal storm report, Aug 27, 6:56 PM CDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
656 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0650 PM HAIL KANSAS CITY KS 39.12N 94.73W
08/27/2004 0.75 INCH WYANDOTTE KS EMERGENCY MNGR
126TH AND STATE.
&&
HUDSONLocal storm report, Aug 27, 7:24 PM CDT, 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
724 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0716 PM HAIL DENTON 39.73N 95.27W
08/27/2004 0.88 INCH DONIPHAN KS LAW ENFORCEMENT
REPORTED BY DONIPHAN COUNTY SO.
&&
HUDSONLocal storm report, Aug 27, 7:49 PM CDT, 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
749 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0745 PM FLASH FLOOD KANSAS CITY 39.12N 94.55W
08/27/2004 JACKSON MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
ROADS COVERED ON WARD PARKWAY.
&&
HUDSONThe office that day
Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 7:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Doniphan | 67 min |
| Aug 27, 7:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Johnson, Wyandotte | 56 min |
| Aug 27, 8:40 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Leavenworth | 6 hr |
| Aug 28, 12:44 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Johnson, Wyandotte | 6 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.