Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 193, NWS Kansas City, MO
NWS Kansas City, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 25, 2004, 6:52 PM CDT for Leavenworth County, Kansas. It was in force for 53 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 25, 2004, 6:52 PM CDT (23:52 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 25, 2004, 7:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 53 min
- Issued by
- NWS Kansas City, MO
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Leavenworth County, KS
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 5:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 54 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1549 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -196 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1477 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 83 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 112 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WUUS53 KEAX 252352
SVREAX
KSC103-260045-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
652 PM CDT WED AUG 25 2004
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN LEAVENWORTH COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS
* UNTIL 745 PM CDT
* AT 651 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF EUDORA...OR ABOUT NEAR
LAWRENCE...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
LINWOOD BY 710 PM CDT.
IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER FROM THE WEATHER IN A STRONG
BUILDING. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING ARE ALL POSSIBLE IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. STAY INSIDE AWAY
FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OR LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN PLEASANT HILL.
LAT...LON 3899 9492 3900 9494 3899 9500 3900 9502
3897 9509 3898 9517 3906 9518 3909 9502
3909 9492
$$
27What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 25, 3:10 PM CDT, 3 hours 42 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 25, 3:10 PM CDT, 3 hours 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 310 PM CDT WED AUG 25 2004 .DISCUSSION... STARTING TO SCALE BACK FLASH FLOOD WATCH...AND WILL LIKELY BE CANCELLING EVEN MORE AREAS LATER THIS EVENING AS IT APPEARS THE MAIN FOCUS FOR STORMS WILL BE IN SOUTHERN PART OF FORECAST AREA. 18Z ETA SEEMS TO HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON IT. PC && .PREV DISCUSSION... 310 PM... EARLY AFTERNOON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND PROFILER DATA SHOW A MID-LEVEL JET MAX OVER EASTERN KANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI. MEANWHILE...SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WARM FRONT STRETCHED FROM KANSAS CITY TO COLUMBIA. DEFINITELY A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY PRESENT SOUTH OF THE FRONT...WITH TEMPS AND DEW POINTS IN THE MID 80S AND MID 70S RESPECTIVELY...RUC-PROGGED SB/MUCAPES FROM 2500-4500 J/KG...AND LIS AROUND -10. THE MAIN INHIBITING FACTOR (AT LEAST FOR THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA) MAY BE THE FACT THAT THERE IS STILL A FAIRLY HEALTHY CAP IN PLACE NEAR KANSAS CITY (PER 18Z TOP SOUNDING) AND EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER. THE CAP IS MUCH WEAKER ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA...AND EXPECT SURFACE-BASED DEVELOPMENT IS MORE LIKELY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AS THE AIRMASS FURTHER DESTABILIZES THERE LATE THIS AFTERNOON NEAR THE AREA OF BEST LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. A HUGE AMOUNT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS PRESENT TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS (WITH BRNS RANGING FROM 80-100 M2/S2). ANTICIPATE CONVECTION WILL CLEAR THE FORECAST AREA FAIRLY RAPIDLY TONIGHT...BUT WILL MAINTAIN FLOOD WATCH DUE TO WIDESPREAD HOURLY FFG VALUES UNDER ONE INCH. THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IN THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST IS PRECIPITATION CHANCES FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MODELS ARE STILL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT...BUT THE GFS AND DGEX ARE TRENDING SLOWER WITH THE MAIN SHORTWAVE. HAVE EXTENDED CHANCE POPS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...AND SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THROUGH SUNDAY. HAVE ALSO LOWERED TEMPS FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ONE TO TWO CATEGORIES. DO NOT EXPECT READINGS TO MAKE IT OUT OF THE 70S ON SATURDAY...IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT AND WITH CONVECTIVE DEBRIS AROUND. OTHERWISE...ONLY MINOR TWEAKS WERE MADE TO THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD...WITH NEAR-NORMAL TEMPS RETURNING AS ZONAL FLOW DEVELOPS FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. SCHMIT 240 AM CDT WED... LONGWAVE TROUGH ACROSS WESTERN CONUS WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE FEATURES ROTATING THROUGH FLOW IS EVIDENT IN EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS. LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTING INTO GREAT LAKES REGION...WHILE UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE NOTED OVER SOUTHERN ROCKIES...WITH ASSOCIATED 80KT 300MB JET STREAK ACROSS SOUTHERN PLAINS. FURTHER UPSTREAM ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE APPROACHING PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST ALONG WITH 140+KT 300MB JET. AHEAD OF SOUTHERN ROCKIES SHORTWAVE...VERY MOIST AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL PLAINS INTO LOWER MO VALLEY...CHARACTERIZED BY DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S F AND 16 TO 18 C AT THE SURFACE AND 850MB RESPECTIVELY...RESULTING IN PRECIPITATE WATER VALUES GREATER THAN 1.5 INCHES. 00Z TOP SOUNDING ALSO INDICATES 24 HOUR WARMING IN THE 700-800MB LAYER RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING CAPPING INVERSION ACROSS THE REGION. EARLY MORNING RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS MCS PROPAGATING EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN MO IN REGION OF 850MB THETA-E ADVECTION/PRESSURE ADVECTION ALONG 305/310K SURFACES ALONG EDGE OF CAPPING INVERSION AND JUST NORTH OF WEAK SURFACE WARM FRONT...WHICH IS LOCATED ALONG THE HIGHWAY 36 CORRIDOR. EXPECT THIS FEATURE TO CONTINUE PROPAGATING EAST SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...LEAVING WEAK OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS CWA. SOUTHERN ROCKIES SHORTWAVE PROGGED TO EJECT ACROSS CENTRAL PLAINS AS PACIFIC SHORTWAVE DIGS INTO NORTHERN ROCKIES...WHILE SOUTHERN PLAINS JET STREAK SPREADS EASTWARD...ALLOWING FOR STRONG UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE TO SPREAD ACROSS EASTERN KS/WESTERN MO DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SOME CONCERNS REMAIN REGARDING STRENGTH OF CAPPING INVERSION LIKELY TO REMAIN ACROSS AREA. IF CONVECTION IS ABLE TO OVERCOME CAPPING INVERSION...STRONG SHEAR PARAMETERS COUPLED WITH MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN A VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SUPERCELLS...INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES. ADDITIONALLY...AFOREMENTIONED MOISTURE COMBINED WITH MOIST ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING...THUS GOING FFA LOOKS IN GOOD SHAPE. SHOULD SEE A BREAK IN PRECIPITATION THURSDAY BEFORE STRONG COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION LATE FRIDAY. EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS...SOME LIKELY SEVERE...AS THIS FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. SEAMAN && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING FOR BUT KSZ102. MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING FOR ALL BUT MOZ001>008-011>016-020.
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 25, 12:52 PM CDT, 6 hours before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1252 PM CDT WED AUG 25 2004 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-261100- ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND...FLASH FLOODING AND TORNADOES POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE EAST ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM BETHANY TO RICHMOND TO CLINTON. INSTABILITY AND SHEAR PARAMETERS CONTINUE TO BE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS...WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND TORNADOES. HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE ROCKIES. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN AGAIN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. && THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGIC AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT (LOWER CASE) HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/EAX OR HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. NRR
In the hours before
Local storm report, Aug 25, 1:11 PM CDT, 5 hours 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
111 PM CDT WED AUG 25 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1230 PM HAIL GENTRY 40.33N 94.42W
08/25/2004 0.75 INCH GENTRY MO PUBLIC
1235 PM HAIL DENVER 40.40N 94.32W
08/25/2004 0.75 INCH WORTH MO PUBLIC
&&
MJMLocal storm report, Aug 25, 1:48 PM CDT, 5 hours 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
148 PM CDT WED AUG 25 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 PM HAIL EAGLEVILLE 40.47N 93.99W
08/25/2004 0.75 INCH HARRISON MO PUBLIC
&&
MJMSpecial weather statement, Aug 25, 5:14 PM CDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 514 PM CDT WED AUG 25 2004 KSZ025-057-060-103>105-MOZ021-028-029-037-043-053-260300- ATCHISON KS-BATES MO-CASS MO-CLAY MO-CLINTON MO-JACKSON MO- JOHNSON KS-LEAVENWORTH KS-LINN KS-MIAMI KS-PLATTE MO-WYANDOTTE KS- 514 PM CDT WED AUG 25 2004 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 786...IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN KANSAS: ATCHISON...JOHNSON...LEAVENWORTH...LINN...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI: BATES...CASS...CLAY...CLINTON...JACKSON AND PLATTE. SOME CITIES IN THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDE ATCHISON... BUTLER...HARRISONVILLE...KANSAS CITY...OLATHE AND PAOLA. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL MEDIA OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. WHILE SEVERE WEATHER MAY NOT BE IMMINENT...PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS...AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. PC
Local storm report, Aug 25, 5:46 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
546 PM CDT WED AUG 25 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0525 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 W MACON 39.74N 92.55W
08/25/2004 MACON MO AMATEUR RADIO
TRACTOR TRAILER OVERTURNED NEAR BEVER. 1 TON TRUCK WITH
CAMPER TURNED OVER NEAR CALLAO.
&&
SFLocal storm report, Aug 25, 5:47 PM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
547 PM CDT WED AUG 25 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0115 PM HAIL SALINE 40.53N 93.72W
08/25/2004 1.00 INCH MERCER MO PUBLIC
&&
SFSpecial weather statement, Aug 25, 6:32 PM CDT, 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 632 PM CDT WED AUG 25 2004 MOZ005>008-014>017-022-260031- ADAIR MO-CALDWELL MO-DAVIESS MO-GRUNDY MO-HARRISON MO-MERCER MO- PUTNAM MO-SCHUYLER MO-SULLIVAN MO- 632 PM CDT WED AUG 25 2004 TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 782 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN MISSOURI: ADAIR...CALDWELL...DAVIESS...GRUNDY...HARRISON...MERCER...PUTNAM... SCHUYLER AND SULLIVAN. SOME CITIES NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THIS TORNADO WATCH ARE BETHANY... KIRKSVILLE AND TRENTON. MOZ023>025-030>033-038>040-044>046-054-260000- CARROLL MO-CHARITON MO-COOPER MO-HENRY MO-HOWARD MO-JOHNSON MO- LAFAYETTE MO-LINN MO-LIVINGSTON MO-MACON MO-PETTIS MO-RANDOLPH MO- RAY MO-SALINE MO- 632 PM CDT WED AUG 25 2004 TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 782 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT WEDNESDAY EVENING...FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN MISSOURI: CARROLL...CHARITON...COOPER...HENRY...HOWARD...JOHNSON...LAFAYETTE... LINN...LIVINGSTON...MACON...PETTIS...RANDOLPH...RAY AND SALINE. SOME CITIES IN THIS TORNADO WATCH INCLUDE BOONVILLE...CHILLICOTHE... CLINTON...MARSHALL...MOBERLY...SEDALIA AND WARRENSBURG. PC
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.