Flash Flood Warning 57, NWS Kansas City, MO

000 
WGUS73 KEAX 280503
FFSEAX
MOC177-280915-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1203 AM CDT SAT AUG 28 2004

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 415 AM CDT FOR RAY COUNTY...

AT 1155 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS PRODUCING WATER COVERED ON ROADWAYS
IN THE RICHMOND AREA.

RUNOFF FROM EXCESSIVE HEAVY RAINFALL IS CAUSING FLOODING ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE FISHING RIVER...AS WELL AS...LICK...MILES...SHACKELFORD
...BOGART AND KEENEY CREEKS IN THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE COUNTY.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO
HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO
FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

REPORT FLOODING TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY SO THAT THEY
MAY TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO CLOSE FLOODED ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 3922 9378 3922 9387 3916 9397 3916 9400
      3919 9397 3921 9402 3914 9406 3914 9411
      3921 9416 3922 9421 3953 9421 3953 9378

$$

SF

000 
WGUS73 KEAX 280841
FFSEAX
MOC177-280915-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
341 AM CDT SAT AUG 28 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR RAY COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED...THUS ENDING THE FLOOD 
THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR 
LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN 
PLEASANT HILL.

LAT...LON 3949 9378 3923 9383 3923 9417 3950 9418

$$

LVQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
320 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

.DISCUSSION...
GOING FORECAST LOOKS GOOD...WITH COLD FRONT POSITIONED FROM ROUGHLY
BETHANY TO MUSCOTAH KANSAS...AND INITIATION OCCURRING AT THE
ANTICIPATED TIME.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UPDATED TO INCLUDE MUCH
OF WESTERN MISSOURI AND EASTERN KANSAS THROUGH 9 PM.  GIVEN SHEAR
PROFILES...ANTICIPATE MOSTLY A MULTICELLULAR...HAIL/DAMAGING WIND
THREAT WITH THESE STORMS.  SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL LIKELY BRING A
CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF RAIN TO NORTHCENTRAL MISSOURI...MOST NOTABLY
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70 AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35.  WITH A
CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF AVAILABLE MOISTURE...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN
EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MORNING HOURS.

FOLLOWING THE FRONT...CONDITIONS LOOK TO DRY OUT BY MID SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY.  HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE HIGH PLAINS...ENDING
THE WEEK OF ACTIVE WEATHER.  NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SHIFT MOST
ACTIVITY INTO AREAS OF NORTHERN IOWA AND MINNESOTA...WITH RIDGING
MOVING INTO PLACE BY MID WEEK.  THEREFORE...DRY FORECAST WILL REMAIN
IN TACT UNTIL FURTHER MODEL RUNS ADVERTISE OTHERWISE.  TEMPERATURES
REBOUND TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES BY THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH STRONG
WARM ADVECTION PRIOR TO NEXT STORM SYSTEM ON SATURDAY.

LEINS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION
1017 AM CDT
UPDATES TO FORECAST FORTHCOMING TO INCLUDE NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER UNTIL 3 PM...AND TO
ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT FOR MOST AREAS.  THUNDERSTORMS
ATTEMPTING TO DEVELOP ALONG RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM CENTRAL
INTO WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI.  MLCAPES THIS MORNING ALREADY AT OR
ABOVE 3000 J/KG ACROSS WESTERN MISSOURI THIS MORNING...AND SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A LOOK OUT THE DOOR INDICATES DEVELOPING CU FIELD FROM
CONVECTION OVER NORTHEAST MISSOURI EXTENDING SOUTHWEST TO NEAR
PLEASANT HILL.  STORMS THIS MORNING ARE DEVELOPING WELL AHEAD OF THE
MAIN SURFACE FRONT...WHICH IS STILL WELL NORTH OF KANSAS CITY
ROUGHLY FROM JUST SOUTH OF FALLS CITY TO NEAR BETHANY.  MUCH OF THIS
AREA REMAINS CAPPED TO SURFACE DEVELOPMENT AT THE MOMENT.

EXPECT TWO DISTINCT ROUNDS OF STORMS TODAY.  THE FIRST WILL AFFECT
MAINLY AREAS SOUTH OF I-70 THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE MORE
SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR FLOODING RAIN AND SEVERE STORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT...WHEN WE TAP INTO THE BOUNDARY LAYER.
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN QUITE HIGH...AND 12Z MODEL QPF
INDICATIVE OF A WIDESPREAD 1-2 INCH RAIN EVENT LATER TONIGHT.  HAVE
HOISTED A FLOOD WATCH WITH THIS CONCERN IN MIND FOR TONIGHT.

WILL ALSO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES...WHICH MAY
FLIRT WITH THE 100-105 DEGREE RANGE THIS AFTERNOON SOUTH OF THE
MISSOURI RIVER.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TONIGHT ALL COUNTIES.
MO...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TONIGHT ALONG AND SOUTH OF A ST JOSEPH TO
BETHANY LINE.

WFO EAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1241 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-281100-

...SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL RAPIDLY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...LIKELY BETWEEN 2
AND 4 PM ALONG AND SOUTH OF A ST JOSEPH TO BETHANY LINE.  SOME OF
THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
OF 60 TO 70 MPH.  WARMER TEMPERATURES ALOFT SHOULD MINIMIZE THE
THREAT FOR HAIL...ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE HAIL UP TO
PENNY OR QUARTER SIZE.

HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO A CONCERN TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE
MISSOURI RIVER. THE ATMOSPHERE IS PRIMED WITH COPIOUS MOISTURE.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL LIKELY BE COMMON TONIGHT ALONG
AND SOUTH OF I-35...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.  PERSONS WITH
INTERESTS ALONG AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO
RAINFALL TRENDS LATER TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOOD THREATS...THE HEAT AND
HUMIDITY WILL PERSIST THIS AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES WILL
RANGE FROM 100 TO 105....MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A KANSAS
CITY TO MOBERLY LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION LIKELY WILL BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...GENERALLY SOUTH OF A
ST JOSEPH TO BETHANY LINE.

&&

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGIC AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT (LOWER CASE)
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/EAX OR HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

HUDSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
901 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MISSION                 39.03N 94.66W
08/27/2004                   JOHNSON            KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NORTHBOUND RAMP TO SOUTHWEST TRAFFICWAY CLOSED DUE TO
            HIGH WATER. HIGHWAY REMAINS OPEN.

0740 PM     TSTM WND DMG     KANSAS CITY             39.12N 94.55W
08/27/2004                   JACKSON            MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            10 INCH TREE DOWN ALONG AT 51ST AND WORNALL.

&&

HUDSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
905 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

KSZ025-057-102>105-MOZ004>008-012>017-020>025-028>033-037>039-043-
280220-
ADAIR MO-ANDREW MO-ATCHISON KS-BUCHANAN MO-CALDWELL MO-CARROLL MO-
CASS MO-CHARITON MO-CLAY MO-CLINTON MO-DAVIESS MO-DE KALB MO-
DONIPHAN KS-GENTRY MO-GRUNDY MO-HARRISON MO-JACKSON MO-JOHNSON KS-
LAFAYETTE MO-LEAVENWORTH KS-LINN MO-LIVINGSTON MO-MACON MO-MERCER MO-
MIAMI KS-PLATTE MO-PUTNAM MO-RANDOLPH MO-RAY MO-SALINE MO-
SCHUYLER MO-SULLIVAN MO-WYANDOTTE KS-
905 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXPIRED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NUMBER 792. COUNTIES NO LONGER UNDER THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
INCLUDE

IN MISSOURI:

ADAIR...ANDREW...BUCHANAN...CALDWELL...CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...
CLAY...CLINTON...DAVIESS...DE KALB...GENTRY...GRUNDY...HARRISON...
JACKSON...LAFAYETTE...LINN...LIVINGSTON...MACON...MERCER...PLATTE...
PUTNAM...RANDOLPH...RAY...SALINE...SCHUYLER AND SULLIVAN.

IN KANSAS:

ATCHISON...DONIPHAN...JOHNSON...LEAVENWORTH...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE.

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE LATE
EVENING HOURS...BUT THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER HAS
TRANSITIONED INTO A FLASH FLOOD EVENT. ALL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCHES HAVE BEEN CANCELLED AS OF 9 PM.

HUDSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
914 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0901 PM     HAIL             ROELAND PARK            39.04N 94.64W
08/27/2004  0.75 INCH        JOHNSON            KS   PUBLIC

&&

HUDSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
939 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     FLASH FLOOD      TONGANOXIE              39.11N 95.08W
08/27/2004                   LEAVENWORTH        KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            6TH AND CHURCH CLOSED DUE TO WATER FLOWING OVER THE ROAD.

&&

SCHMIT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1002 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 N LOCK SPRINGS        39.88N 93.78W
08/27/2004                   DAVIESS            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            EIGHT INCHES OF WATER OVER THE ROAD NEAR THE INTERSECTION
            OF ROUTE V AND 190.

0950 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BROOKFIELD              39.79N 93.08W
08/27/2004                   LINN               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY 36 CLOSED BETWEEN BROOKFIELD AND CHILLICOTHE.
            HALF OF THE ROADS IN BROOKFIELD ARE CLOSED.

&&

SCHMIT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1014 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 PM     FLASH FLOOD      KANSAS CITY KS          39.12N 94.73W
08/27/2004                   WYANDOTTE          KS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            STATE HIGHWAY K32 CLOSED DUE TO WATER OVER THE ROADWAY.
            42ND STREET AND KANSAS AVENUE CLOSED DUE TO WATER OVER
            THE ROADWAY.

0950 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CHILLICOTHE             39.79N 93.55W
08/27/2004                   LIVINGSTON         MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            HIGHWAY 136 NEAR CHILLICOTHE CLOSED DUE TO WATER OVER THE
            ROADWAY.

&&

SCHMIT