Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 385, NWS Des Moines, IA

August 16, 2004Jasper County, Iowa

NWS Des Moines, IA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 16, 2004, 11:52 PM CDT for Jasper County, Iowa. It was in force for 53 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Aug 16, 2004, 11:52 PM CDT (04:52 UTC)
Expired: Aug 17, 2004, 12:45 AM CDT
In force: 53 min
Issued by: NWS Des Moines, IA
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Jasper County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 217 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 106 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -82 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 995 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 186 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 352 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KDMX 170452
SVRDMX
IAC099-170545-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1151 PM CDT MON AUG 16 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  JASPER COUNTY IN CENTRAL IOWA

* UNTIL 1245 AM CDT

* AT 1150 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER BAXTER...OR ABOUT 31 MILES NORTHEAST OF
  DES MOINES...MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...

  NEAR BAXTER AROUND 1155 PM CDT...
  8 MILES EAST OF MINGO AROUND MIDNIGHT CDT...
  NEAR LAMBS GROVE AROUND 1220 AM CDT...
  NEAR NEWTON AROUND 1225 AM CDT...
  NEAR NEWTON MUNICIPAL AIRPORT AROUND 1230 AM CDT AND
  NEAR REASNOR AROUND 1245 AM CDT.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IS LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA. THIS 
STORM HAS A HISTORY OF LARGE HAIL.

VERY STRONG WINDS UP TO 60 MPH ARE LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA.

MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF YOU LIVE IN A
MOBILE HOME...SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 4186 9334 4152 9331 4152 9278 4186 9278

$$

JUNGBLUTH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Des Moines, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 16, 3:27 PM CDT, 8 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 16, 3:27 PM CDT, 8 hours 25 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
327 PM CDT MON AUG 16 2004

.DISCUSSION...
SCNDRY S/W VSB IN WV IMAGERY IS ANTICIPATED TO COME INTO PLAY FM THE
4-7PM TIME FRAME ALG THE FNT MOVING INTO THE NWRN CRNR ATTM.
PROFILERS ARE NOT SHOWING MUCH WIND HOWEVER FOR ANY SGFNT FNTL
CONVERGENCE...BUT THE WAVE SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO RELEASE THE
INSTABILITY OF 1-2K J/KG. NW WNDS ALF ARND THE DEEP UPR CYC OVR
CANADA SHOULD PROVIDE ENOUGH SHEAR FOR A FEW STORMS TO ROTATE. THE
13KM RUC REMAINS EMPHATIC ABT PCPN MOVS EWD ACRS THE CWA
OVRNGT...AND NOT MUCH TMR. KEPT CONTINUITY GOING WITH SML CHCS IN
THE SE. BNDRY GOING STNRY IN NRN MO TMR EVENING AHD ANOTHER S/W IN
THE WNW FLOW. THE GFS IS MORE INDUSTRIOUS WITH THIS WAVE WHEREAS THE
ETA/S ARE NOT AS MUCH. CUR FCSTS HAVE CHC POPS ACRS THE S AND WE
WILL CONTINUE THAT THINKING...FIGURING THE FNT WL NOT MOVE NWD MUCH
IN SUCH A FLOW PTRN. NXT SGFNT FNT ARRIVES LTR THIS WEEK WITH A
FRESH AMS...WITH ANY PCPN THREAT SMALL THROUGH THE WKEND ATTM. TMPS
WL APPROACH NORMAL OVER THE NXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A FALLBACK AGN
LATE IN THE WEEK. LOOKING LIKE AUGUST WILL INDEED BE BELOW IF NOT
WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR TMPS.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

MYERS

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 16, 6:30 PM CDT, 5 hours 22 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
630 PM CDT MON AUG 16 2004

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-171003-
BLACK HAWK IA-BOONE IA-BREMER IA-BUTLER IA-CALHOUN IA-CARROLL IA-
CERRO GORDO IA-CRAWFORD IA-EMMET IA-FRANKLIN IA-GREENE IA-GRUNDY IA-
HAMILTON IA-HANCOCK IA-HARDIN IA-HUMBOLDT IA-KOSSUTH IA-MARSHALL IA-
PALO ALTO IA-POCAHONTAS IA-SAC IA-STORY IA-TAMA IA-WEBSTER IA-
WINNEBAGO IA-WORTH IA-WRIGHT IA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT DODGE...MASON CITY AND WATERLOO
630 PM CDT MON AUG 16 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTH
CENTRAL IOWA ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 30.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST THROUGH MIDNIGHT WITH A FEW
STORMS LIKELY REACHING SEVERE CRITERIA.  LARGE HAIL IS THE PRIMARY
THREAT.  DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.  AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT PRIOR TO 9 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THROUGH 11 PM THIS EVENING AND  AGAIN
LATE WEDNESDAY.

IAZ057>062-070>075-081>086-092>097-171003-
ADAIR IA-ADAMS IA-APPANOOSE IA-AUDUBON IA-CASS IA-CLARKE IA-
DALLAS IA-DAVIS IA-DECATUR IA-GUTHRIE IA-JASPER IA-LUCAS IA-
MADISON IA-MAHASKA IA-MARION IA-MONROE IA-POLK IA-POWESHIEK IA-
RINGGOLD IA-TAYLOR IA-UNION IA-WAPELLO IA-WARREN IA-WAYNE IA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DES MOINES AND OTTUMWA
630 PM CDT MON AUG 16 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH
CENTRAL IOWA ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 30.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER  NORTHERN IOWA EARLY THIS EVENING MAY
MOVE INTO SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA AFTER DARK.  A FEW STORMS MAY BE SEVERE
BETWEEN 1000 PM AND 1 AM.  LARGE HAIL IS THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY AS A BOUNDARY LINGERS OVER SOUTHERN IOWA AND NORTHERN
MISSOURI. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY BETWEEN 10 PM AND 1 AM.
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY ALSO BE REQUIRED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

JOHNSON

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 16, 7:48 PM CDT, 4 hours 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
748 PM CDT MON AUG 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     HAIL             4 SE ACKLEY             42.51N 92.98W
08/16/2004  1.75 INCH        GRUNDY             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

RPK

Local storm report, Aug 16, 9:13 PM CDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
913 PM CDT MON AUG 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0913 PM     HAIL             DOWS                    42.66N 93.50W
08/16/2004  0.88 INCH        WRIGHT             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JOHNSON

Local storm report, Aug 16, 9:16 PM CDT, 2 hours 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
916 PM CDT MON AUG 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     FLASH FLOOD      8 NNW WELLSBURG         42.54N 92.98W
08/16/2004                   GRUNDY             IA   AMATEUR RADIO

            FLASH FLOODING WAS REPORTED BY AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR.

0855 PM     FLASH FLOOD      7 W APLINGTON           42.58N 93.02W
08/16/2004                   BUTLER             IA   AMATEUR RADIO

            FLASH FLOODING REPORTED BY AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR.

&&

MR

Local storm report, Aug 16, 10:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1003 PM CDT MON AUG 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     FLASH FLOOD      6 N WELLSBURG           42.52N 92.92W
08/16/2004                   GRUNDY             IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BLACK TOP ROAD UNDERWATER AND SEVERAL GRAVEL ROADS WITH
            WATER FLOWING OVER THEM.

&&

RPK

Local storm report, Aug 16, 10:46 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1046 PM CDT MON AUG 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1044 PM     HAIL             2 SSW CLEMONS           42.09N 93.17W
08/16/2004  1.00 INCH        MARSHALL           IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

RPK

Local storm report, Aug 16, 11:50 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1150 PM CDT MON AUG 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1149 PM     HAIL             3 SE RHODES             41.90N 93.14W
08/16/2004  0.75 INCH        MARSHALL           IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JOHNSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Des Moines, IA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 16, 7:05 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DMX	Franklin, Hardin	25 min
Aug 16, 7:17 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DMX	Grundy	43 min
Aug 16, 7:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Butler	56 min
Aug 16, 7:29 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DMX	Hardin	16 min
Aug 16, 7:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Wright	51 min
Aug 16, 8:01 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DMX	Grundy	29 min
Aug 16, 8:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Grundy	43 min
Aug 16, 8:45 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DMX	Butler, Franklin, Grundy	5 hr
Aug 16, 8:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Hardin	55 min
Aug 16, 8:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Wright	47 min
Aug 16, 9:04 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DMX	Hardin	5 hr
Aug 16, 9:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Franklin	40 min
Aug 16, 9:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Grundy	50 min
Aug 16, 10:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Marshall	44 min
Aug 16, 11:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Marshall	49 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Iowa, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.