Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 17, NWS Des Moines, IA

April 16, 2004Guthrie County, Iowa

NWS Des Moines, IA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 16, 2004, 9:45 PM CDT for Guthrie County, Iowa. It was in force for 45 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Apr 16, 2004, 9:45 PM CDT (02:45 UTC)
Expired: Apr 16, 2004, 10:30 PM CDT
In force: 45 min
Issued by: NWS Des Moines, IA
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Guthrie County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Apr 16, 9:59 PM CDT	HAIL 1	4 N Guthrie Center, IA	DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL FALLING HEAVILY. WILL COVER THE GROUND SOON.
Apr 16, 10:05 PM CDT	HAIL 1	Yale, IA
Apr 16, 10:22 PM CDT	HAIL 1	Panora, IA	KCCI REPORT.
Apr 16, 10:24 PM CDT	HAIL 1	3 Ene Guthrie County Re, IA
Apr 16, 10:26 PM CDT	HAIL 1.75	1 N Panora, IA	KCCI REPORT.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 5 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 14 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 16, 3:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 708 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2727 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 18 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

771 
WUUS53 KDMX 170245
SVRDMX
IAC077-170330-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
945 PM CDT FRI APR 16 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  GUTHRIE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL IOWA

* UNTIL 1030 PM CDT

* AT 940 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES WEST OF GUTHRIE CENTER...OR ABOUT 54
  MILES WEST OF DES MOINES...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...

  NEAR GUTHRIE CENTER AROUND 1005 PM...
  NEAR GUTHRIE COUNTY REGIONAL AIRPORT AROUND 1015 PM AND
  NEAR PANORA AROUND 1030 PM.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

VERY STRONG WINDS UP TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA.

MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF YOU LIVE IN A
MOBILE HOME...SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM FRIDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHERN IOWA.

LAT...LON 4185 9474 4153 9470 4152 9429 4185 9433

KULA

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Des Moines, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 16, 3:45 PM CDT, 6 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 16, 3:45 PM CDT, 6 hours before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
345 PM CDT FRI APR 16 2004

.DISCUSSION...
FOCUS THIS EVENING WL BE THE CONVECTION ACRS NRN IA. SEE SWOMCD AND
SWODY1. TSTMS ARE STRUGGLING TO GET GOING ALG THE BNDRY FM SUX TO
RST. MOISTURE IS VRY SHALLOW...BLO H9. BUT VRY STEEP LAPSE RATES ARE
PRODUCING VERY HIGH BASED ISOLD STORMS. WL LIKELY SEE AT LEAST A SML
MCS THIS EVENING WITH DOWNBURST THREAT AS DCAPES ARE PUSING 1000.
BYD TNGT...SCENARIOS GET IFFY. SO...LOOKING FOR THE BNDRY TO MOV
BACK NWD TMR TO NR A SUX-DVN LN BY 00Z AND ANOTHER WRM DAY. PROBABLY
JUST SVRL DEG LESS THAN TDA. MORE TSTMS ARE THEN XPCD TO CROWD THE
IA/MN BDR TMR EVENING AND CONT MAINLY IN SRN MN TWDS WI WITH SOME
BLEED DOWN IN THE NRN COUNTIES PSBL. THEN FOR SUNDAY...LATE DAY
TSTMS PROBABLY OCURRING AS A BIT BTR(DEEPER) MOISTURE ARRIVES IN THE
SUSTAINED SLY FLOW. CDFNT SWINGING THRU SUN EVENING FOR CONVECTIVE
THREAT. DECENT WX BY MIDDAY MON AS UPR SYS SWINGS THRU AND CDFNT
PUSHES S. DECENT TUE...COOLER WITH RETURN FLOW ACTING ON THE BNDRY
IN KS/MO. INCRG PCPN THREAT TUE NGT/WED...WITH PROBABLY A BREAK LATE
WED INTO THUR. DO NOT FEEL CONFIDENT ABT THIS BREAK...HENCE CONTG
THE SML POPS. THE DGEX HAS LATE THUR INTO FRI OF NXT WEEK WET.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

MYERS

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 16, 3:25 PM CDT, 6 hours 20 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
325 PM CDT FRI APR 16 2004

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-171100-
AUDUBON-BLACK HAWK-BOONE-BREMER-BUTLER-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CERRO GORDO-
CRAWFORD-DALLAS-EMMET-FRANKLIN-GREENE-GRUNDY-GUTHRIE-HAMILTON-
HANCOCK-HARDIN-HUMBOLDT-JASPER-KOSSUTH-MARSHALL-PALO ALTO-POCAHONTAS-
POLK-POWESHIEK-SAC-STORY-TAMA-WEBSTER-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-WRIGHT-
325 PM CDT FRI APR 16 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING OVER NORTH
CENTRAL IOWA. MOST OF THESE STORMS SHOULD BE CONFINED TO AREAS
ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 20. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP SHOULD MOVE
EAST OF MASON CITY AND WATERLOO BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 3 AM. THE
STORMS TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE SOME ISOLATED WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR
MORE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SAG SOUTH TO ALONG THE SOUTHERN IOWA BY
MIDDAY SATURDAY. DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THE FRONT
WILL LIFT BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. THERE STILL IS SOME
UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW MUCH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL
BE PRESENT OVER THE AREA LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME IT
APPEARS ENOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT TO ALLOW THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP LATE SATURDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY MORNING ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE WARM FRONT. WIND PROFILES WILL BE SUCH THAT SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH THE LATE EVENING AND
VERY EARLY MORNING HOURS.  IF ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS
PRESENT...A SHORT DURATION TIME PERIOD FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY
OCCUR IN THE MID TO LATE SATURDAY EVENING PERIOD.  AT THIS TIME IT
APPEARS THUNDERSTORMS WOULD NOT DEVELOP UNTIL AFTER 8 OR 9 PM
SATURDAY EVENING. THE BEST AREA FOR INITIAL DEVELOPMENT WOULD BE
BETWEEN INTERSTATE 80 AND HIGHWAY 30. THE AREA OF STORMS IS EXPECTED
TO FORM INTO A LARGER COMPLEX OF HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS AS IT
MOVES INTO NORTHEAST IOWA OVERNIGHT SATURDAY. BY MIDNIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL
AND 60 TO 70 MPH WINDS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL. IF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE AMOUNTS REMAIN LOW ENOUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE TORNADO
THREAT WILL DIMINISH. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
CENTRAL IOWA SUNDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE
STRONG DAMAGING WINDS WITH LARGE HAIL BEING A SECONDARY THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH 3 AM
SUNDAY AND THEN AGAIN SUNDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. COUNTY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT SHOULD PAY PARTICULAR ATTENTION TO UPDATED FORECASTS
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

IAZ070>075-081>086-092>097-171100-
ADAIR-ADAMS-APPANOOSE-CASS-CLARKE-DAVIS-DECATUR-LUCAS-MADISON-
MAHASKA-MARION-MONROE-RINGGOLD-TAYLOR-UNION-WAPELLO-WARREN-WAYNE-
325 PM CDT FRI APR 16 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SAG SOUTH TO ALONG THE SOUTHERN IOWA BY
MIDDAY SATURDAY. DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THE FRONT
WILL LIFT BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. THERE STILL IS SOME
UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW MUCH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL
BE PRESENT OVER THE AREA LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME IT
APPEARS ENOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT TO ALLOW THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP LATE SATURDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY MORNING ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE WARM FRONT. WIND PROFILES WILL BE SUCH THAT SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH THE LATE EVENING AND
VERY EARLY MORNING HOURS.  IF ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS
PRESENT...A SHORT DURATION TIME PERIOD FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY
OCCUR IN THE MID TO LATE SATURDAY EVENING PERIOD.  AT THIS TIME IT
APPEARS THUNDERSTORMS WOULD NOT DEVELOP UNTIL AFTER 8 OR 9 PM
SATURDAY EVENING. THE BEST AREA FOR INITIAL DEVELOPMENT WOULD BE
BETWEEN INTERSTATE 80 AND HIGHWAY 30. THE AREA OF STORMS IS EXPECTED
TO FORM INTO A LARGER COMPLEX OF HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS AS IT
MOVES INTO NORTHEAST IOWA OVERNIGHT SATURDAY. BY MIDNIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL
AND 60 TO 70 MPH WINDS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL. IF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE AMOUNTS REMAIN LOW ENOUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE TORNADO
THREAT WILL DIMINISH. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
CENTRAL IOWA SUNDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE
STRONG DAMAGING WINDS WITH LARGE HAIL BEING A SECONDARY THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH 3 AM
SUNDAY AND THEN AGAIN SUNDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. COUNTY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT SHOULD PAY PARTICULAR ATTENTION TO UPDATED FORECASTS
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 16, 7:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
740 PM CDT FRI APR 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0734 PM     HAIL             3 N LIDDERDALE          42.17N 94.78W
04/16/2004  0.88 INCH        CARROLL            IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

ST

Special weather statement, Apr 16, 8:02 PM CDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
802 PM CDT FRI APR 16 2004

IAZ004>007-015-170300-

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #75 HAS BEEN REMOVED FROM THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...

  EMMET                 KOSSUTH               PALO ALTO
  WINNEBAGO             WORTH

IAZ016-017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-170300-

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #75 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR THE COUNTIES OF...

  AUDUBON               BLACK HAWK            BOONE
  BREMER                BUTLER                CALHOUN
  CARROLL               CERRO GORDO           CRAWFORD
  DALLAS                FRANKLIN              GREENE
  GRUNDY                GUTHRIE               HAMILTON
  HANCOCK               HARDIN                HUMBOLDT
  JASPER                MARSHALL              POCAHONTAS
  POLK                  POWESHIEK             SAC
  STORY                 TAMA                  WEBSTER
  WRIGHT

SMALL

Local storm report, Apr 16, 8:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
833 PM CDT FRI APR 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     HAIL             6 S CALLENDER           42.28N 94.29W
04/16/2004  0.88 INCH        WEBSTER            IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ST

Local storm report, Apr 16, 9:12 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
912 PM CDT FRI APR 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 PM     HAIL             STRATFORD               42.27N 93.93W
04/16/2004  0.75 INCH        HAMILTON           IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ST

Local storm report, Apr 16, 9:26 PM CDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
926 PM CDT FRI APR 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0922 PM     TSTM WND GST     BOONE                   42.05N 93.88W
04/16/2004  58 MPH           BOONE              IA   MESONET

            FROM KCCI TV.

&&

ST

Local storm report, Apr 16, 9:28 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
928 PM CDT FRI APR 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0925 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 W AMES                42.02N 93.65W
04/16/2004  60 MPH           STORY              IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

ST

The office that day

Everything else NWS Des Moines, IA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 16, 7:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Carroll	39 min
Apr 16, 7:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Calhoun, Greene	50 min
Apr 16, 7:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Crawford	40 min
Apr 16, 8:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Boone	44 min
Apr 16, 8:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Wright	36 min
Apr 16, 9:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Audubon, Guthrie	41 min
Apr 16, 9:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Story	51 min
Apr 16, 10:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Dallas	51 min
Apr 16, 10:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Jasper, Polk	27 min
Apr 16, 10:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Grundy	32 min
Apr 16, 10:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Guthrie	14 min
Apr 16, 10:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Poweshiek	45 min
Apr 16, 10:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Dallas	47 min
Apr 16, 11:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Polk	56 min
Apr 16, 11:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Polk	46 min
Apr 17, 12:09 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Jasper	51 min
Apr 17, 12:40 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Poweshiek	50 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Iowa, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.