Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 142, NWS Dodge City, KS

June 5, 2004Stevens County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 5, 2004, 5:39 PM CDT for Stevens County, Kansas. It was in force for 66 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 5, 2004, 5:39 PM CDT (22:39 UTC)
Expired: Jun 5, 2004, 6:45 PM CDT
In force: 66 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Stevens County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 408 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -382 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 995 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 112 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 171 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

270 
WUUS53 KDDC 052239
SVRDDC
KSC189-052345-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
539 PM CDT SAT JUN 5 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  STEVENS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS.

* UNTIL 645 PM CDT

* AT 535 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND
  DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  MOSCOW...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN STEVENS COUNTY...
  MOSCOW...
  WOODS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3739 10119 3726 10134 3702 10125 3705 10111
          3730 10108
$$

FINCH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 5, 3:14 AM CDT, 14 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 5, 3:14 AM CDT, 14 hours 25 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
314 AM CDT SAT JUN 5 2004

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE TSTORM CHANCES AND LOCATION TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

SHORTWAVE OVER NV YESTERDAY HAS MADE ITS WAY INTO NW KANSAS ATTM
PER WV IMAGERY WITH STORM ACTIVITY OUT AHEAD OF IT. ANOTHER
DISTINCT WAVE IS NOW DIVING SE THRU ND AND THIS WILL BE THE MAIN
PLAYER INTO TODAYS WEATHER. AS THE WAVE DIVES SE, IT WILL SEND A
FRONT SOUTH INTO KS DURING PEAK HEATING WHICH WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS
FOR STRONG TO SEVERE TSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE
SHOULD BECOME QUITE UNSTABLE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH FORECASTED
MLCAPES AOA 3000 J/KG. DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT WITH THIS
INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE SUPERCELLS INITIALLY, WITH ONE OR MORE MCSS
EVOLVING AND MOVING SOUTH OUT OF AREA DURING THE NIGHT. COULD ALSO
SEE SOME STORMS DEVELOP OVER SE COLORADO IN AN UPSLOPE REGIME
BEHIND THE FRONT AND MOVE SE OVER FAR SW KS.

WITH WINDS DYING OFF TOWARD EARLY SUN MORNING AND WITH DEWPOINTS
STILL AROUND 60, COULD SEE SOME PATCHY RADIATION FOG OVER THE AREA.
LOOKING AT MODEL SOUNDINGS, IT SHOWS A NEGATIVE HYDROLAPSE WHICH IS
NOT FAVORABLE FOR DENSE FOG. SO WILL LEAVE IT OUT OF THE GRIDS AND
ZONES FOR NOW.

SUNDAY LOOKS FAIRLY QUIET AS SHORTWAVE RIDGE MOVES OVER THE AREA.
700MB TEMPS OF 13-14C ALONG WITH 1000-500MB THICKNESS VALUES OF
5820 METERS INDICATES FAIRLY STRONG CAPPING WHICH WILL LIKELY KEEP A
LID ON THINGS. WILL HEDGE THOUGH AND PUT A 10 POP OUT WEST IN
CASE A STRAY CONVECTIVE PLUME DECIDES TO GO UP OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN
AS THE UKMET SUGGESTS.

AS FOR TEMPS, MADE ONLY A FEW TWEAKS TO THE GOING FORECAST.

DAYS 3-7...

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE IDEA THAT A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL EJECT OUT OF THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH AND MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION LATE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE MODELS HAVE BEEN
HINTING AT THIS FOR THE PAST COUPLE RUNS AS WELL. WITH THIS IN MIND
WILL ADD A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FORECAST FOR LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE REST OF THE FORECAST LOOKS
GOOD WITH ONLY A FEW COSMETIC CHANGES MADE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

DDC 87 61 89 64 / 50 50 00 00
GCK 88 59 91 64 / 40 40 10 10
EHA 91 59 92 62 / 40 40 10 10
LBL 90 61 90 64 / 40 40 10 10
HYS 83 59 87 65 / 50 50 00 00
P28 85 63 86 66 / 50 50 00 00
&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
&&

LACY/GERARD

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 5, 11:37 AM CDT, 6 hours 2 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1137 AM CDT SAT JUN 5 2004

KSZ031-045-046-063>066-075>081-084>090-061100-
BARBER-CLARK-COMANCHE-EDWARDS-ELLIS-FINNEY-FORD-GRANT-GRAY-HASKELL-
HODGEMAN-KIOWA-MEADE-MORTON-NESS-PAWNEE-PRATT-RUSH-SEWARD-STAFFORD-
STEVENS-
1137 AM CDT SAT JUN 5 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP NEAR
A LINE FROM HAYS TO ELKHART AROUND 400 PM AND SUBSEQUENTLY TO
MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING THE EVENING HOURS, REACHING DODGE CITY AND
LIBERAL BY 600 PM AND MEDICINE LODGE BY 11 PM. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE AND MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND HIGH
WINDS.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WHICH EXTENDED FROM CENTRAL NEBRASKA INTO EAST
CENTRAL COLORADO LATE THIS MORNING WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD SLOWLY
THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY WILL FORM ALONG THE FRONT BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. UPPER LEVEL FLOW OVER KANSAS WILL REMAIN WEAK, AND
INDIVIDUAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL INTENSIFY AND WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS
THEY QUICKLY BECOME OUTFLOW DOMINATED. WITH QUITE COOL AIR IN THE
MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE, LARGE HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE
MORE INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WILL MOVE
EASTWARD TOWARD THE ROCKIES TOWARD THE END OF NEXT WEEK. AS IT
DOES, THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS
BEGINNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY. THE
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY WILL BE ISOLATED, BUT A FEW COULD BECOME
SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

KSZ030-043-044-061-062-074-061100-
HAMILTON-KEARNY-LANE-SCOTT-STANTON-TREGO-
1137 AM CDT (1037 AM MDT) SAT JUN 5 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP THROUGH 500 PM, AND
HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH IN DIAMETER AN INCH IN
DIAMETER IS POSSIBLE. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL END BY 600
PM.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WHICH EXTENDED FROM CENTRAL NEBRASKA INTO EAST
CENTRAL COLORADO LATE THIS MORNING WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD SLOWLY
THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY WILL FORM ALONG THE FRONT BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. UPPER LEVEL FLOW OVER KANSAS WILL REMAIN WEAK, AND
INDIVIDUAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL INTENSIFY AND WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS
THEY QUICKLY BECOME OUTFLOW DOMINATED. WITH QUITE COOL AIR IN THE
MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE, LARGE HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE
MORE INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WILL MOVE
EASTWARD TOWARD THE ROCKIES TOWARD THE END OF NEXT WEEK. AS IT
DOES, THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS
BEGINNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY. THE
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY WILL BE ISOLATED, BUT A FEW COULD BECOME
SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION LIKELY WILL NOT BE REQUIRED.

01

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 5, 4:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
437 PM CDT SAT JUN 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HAIL             11 S MULLINVILLE        37.43N 99.47W
06/05/2004  1.75 INCH        KIOWA              KS   PUBLIC

&&

FREDERKING

Local storm report, Jun 5, 4:54 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
454 PM CDT SAT JUN 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     HAIL             10 ESE SUBLETTE         37.42N 100.68W
06/05/2004  0.75 INCH        HASKELL            KS   PUBLIC

&&

FREDERKING

Local storm report, Jun 5, 5:10 PM CDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
510 PM CDT SAT JUN 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0456 PM     HAIL             5 E LIBERAL             37.04N 100.84W
06/05/2004  1.00 INCH        SEWARD             KS   PUBLIC

&&

FREDERKING

Special weather statement, Jun 5, 5:18 PM CDT, 21 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
518 PM CDT SAT JUN 5 2004

KSZ030-031-045-046-064-052330-
ELLIS-HODGEMAN-NESS-RUSH-TREGO-
518 PM CDT SAT JUN 5 2004

...PART OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 401 CLEARED FROM CENTRAL
KANSAS...

THE FOLLOWING KANSAS COUNTIES ARE NO LONGER IN THE WATCH:
TREGO...ELLIS...NESS...RUSH...AND HODGEMAN.

THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS DIMINISHED IN THE ABOVE LISTED
COUNTIES.  HOWEVER, CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUE SOUTH OF
THESE COUNTIES THROUGH THIS EVENING.

TSB

Local storm report, Jun 5, 5:34 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT ... SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
534 PM CDT SAT JUN 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     HAIL             4 W BLOOM               37.48N 99.95W
06/05/2004  0.75 INCH        FORD               KS   PUBLIC

0400 PM     HAIL             4 NE CLARK STATE LAKE   37.43N 99.73W
06/05/2004  0.88 INCH        CLARK              KS   PUBLIC

0420 PM     HAIL             11 S MULLINVILLE        37.43N 99.47W
06/05/2004  1.75 INCH        KIOWA              KS   PUBLIC

0422 PM     HAIL             11 S MULLINVILLE        37.43N 99.47W
06/05/2004  1.75 INCH        KIOWA              KS   PUBLIC

0430 PM     HAIL             10 ESE SUBLETTE         37.42N 100.68W
06/05/2004  0.75 INCH        HASKELL            KS   PUBLIC

0456 PM     HAIL             5 E LIBERAL             37.04N 100.84W
06/05/2004  1.00 INCH        SEWARD             KS   PUBLIC

0510 PM     HAIL             6 SSW MINNEOLA          37.36N 100.05W
06/05/2004  0.75 INCH        CLARK              KS   PUBLIC

&&

FREDERKING

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 4, 7:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Kearny	49 min
Jun 4, 7:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton	55 min
Jun 4, 8:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Kearny	60 min
Jun 4, 8:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Stevens	46 min
Jun 4, 8:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Haskell	48 min
Jun 4, 9:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney	55 min
Jun 4, 10:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ness	48 min
Jun 5, 3:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Ford	60 min
Jun 5, 3:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Kiowa	61 min
Jun 5, 4:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Comanche	55 min
Jun 5, 4:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade	60 min
Jun 5, 4:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Haskell, Seward	42 min
Jun 5, 4:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark	56 min
Jun 5, 5:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Seward	43 min
Jun 5, 5:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Stafford	63 min
Jun 5, 5:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade	42 min
Jun 5, 6:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Seward	58 min
Jun 5, 6:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Meade	45 min
Jun 5, 6:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Stafford	74 min
Jun 5, 6:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pratt	81 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.