Tornado Warning 17, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1005 AM CDT SAT SEP 4 2004

.DISCUSSION...VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS WEAK WAVE MOVING NORTHWARD WHICH
CAUSED CONVECTION NOW STARTING TO EXIT THE NORTHERN CWFA.  STILL
HAVE SOME CONVECTION DEVELOPING IN ITS WAKE OVER THE SOUTHERN
SECTIONS AS WELL AS THE GULFMEX AS ATMOSPHERE REMAINS UNSTABLE WITH
LITTLE CAP.  SHOULD SEE MORE ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON AS DAYTIME
HEATING PROGRESSES.  SOME DRIER AIR OUT TO THE WEST COULD PRECLUDE
SOME CONVECTION OUT THERE AS EXPECT A WEAK SEA BREEZE DUE TO THE
COOLER INLAND TEMPERATURES SO MAY GO SLIGHTLY LOWER ON POPS FOR THE
AFTERNOON OUT TO THE WEST.  OTHERWISE POPS LOOK REASONABLE.  CLOUDS
WILL KEEP TEMPS DOWN THIS AFTERNOON BUT DO EXPECT WARMER TEMPERATURE
THAN YESTERDAY AS WE SHOULD SEE A BIT MORE SUN THOUGH CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY.  WILL KICK UP TEMPS A DEGREE OR SO OVER
THE AREA EXCEPT VCT WHERE TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE THE MOST TO RISE.
SHOULD SEE MAINLY EAST OR SOUTHEAST WINDS AS FORECAST INDICATES.  NO
CHANGES TO LATTER PERIODS AT THIS TIME AS WOULD LIKE TO SEE NEW
MODEL RUNS BEFORE MAKING ANY CHANGES.

&&

86/GW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
600 AM CDT SAT SEP 4 2004

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-051000-
ARANSAS-BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT OCONNOR-BEE-CALHOUN-
COASTAL WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
DUVAL-GOLIAD-JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-LASALLE-LIVE OAK-MCMULLEN-NUECES-
REFUGIO-SAN PATRICIO-VICTORIA-
WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 TO 60 NM-WEBB-
600 AM CDT SAT SEP 4 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTH TEXAS TODAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY THE INLAND PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL BEND...
WEST OF A KINGSVILLE TO SINTON TO PORT LAVACA LINE. ISOLATED RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF AROUND 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THIS AREA.
THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED PONDING OF LOW LYING
AREAS.  ON AVERAGE...MOST AREAS ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND WILL RECEIVE
ONE INCH OR LESS. THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TONIGHT DUE TO THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND
THE PASSAGE OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY
ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS.  SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.  OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TE/MB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
134 PM CDT SAT SEP 4 2004

TXZ243-041930-

ARANSAS-NUECES-
134 PM CDT SAT SEP 4 2004

AT 134 PM CDT...LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS AND THE PUBLIC HAVE
REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUDS OVER NUECES COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF
CORPUS CHRISTI.

THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL
FUNNEL CLOUDS TODAY. MOST OF THESE FUNNEL CLOUDS WILL BE SHORT LIVED
AND SHOULD NOT REACH THE GROUND. HOWEVER...YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO
SEEK SHELTER IN THE UNLIKELY EVENT A FUNNEL DOES REACH THE GROUND.

GW