Flash Flood Warning 73, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

000 
WGUS74 KCRP 292311
FFSCRP
TXC283-311-479-292345-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
609 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR LA SALLE...MCMULLEN AND NORTHERN WEBB 
COUNTIES WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 630 PM...

AT 605 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE 
RAINFALL HAS DIMINISHED IN INTENSITY OVER THE WARNED AREA...AND THE 
FLOOD THREAT WAS DIMINISHING. SOME MINOR FLOODING MAY CONTINUE...BUT 
THE THREAT OF SERIOUS FLOODING IS ENDING. THUS...THE FLASH FLOOD 
WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 630 PM.

LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORT NO MAJOR PROBLEMS OVER THE AREA AS 
OF 550 PM.

MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY.
NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO
ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 2801 9973 2820 9961 2820 9940 2863 9938
          2864 9835 2806 9835 2806 9882 2774 9881
          2778 9959

$$

GW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
210 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2004

.SHORT-TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...SCT TSRAS CONT TO STREAM
N ACROSS THE CWA...MAINLY FOCUSED OVER THE N CENTRAL REGION ATTM.
ALTHOUGH FLOODING HAS NOT BEEN A PROBLEM...YET...AM ANTICIPATING
CONTINUED TSRA THROUGH WED. MAINLY W CWA OVERNIGHT AND E CWA
BEGINNING EARLY IN THE MORNING AND SHIFTING W AND N THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. BASICALLY A REPEAT OF TODAY. THIS IS DUE TO AN UPPER
LEVEL TROF AXIS DRAPED ACROSS TX WITH EMBEDDED S/WVS STREAMING
ACROSS THE REGION IN THE SW FLOW ALOFT. ALSO...A RIDGE S OF THE
REGION IS PROVIDING A BROAD AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. THIS
COMBINED WITH AMPLE MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SCT TO NUM
TSRAS INTO WED. WITH TSRAS REPEATEDLY STREAMING N ACROSS THE CWA
THROUGH WED OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUND...FEEL IT WILL BEGIN TO
PRODUCE A MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING PROBLEM. THUS WILL GO WITH A
FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT/WED FOR ALL OF THE CWA.

WILL LOWER WED HIGHS DUE TO CLOUD COVER/RAIN. PREVAILING WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE WEAK TO MODERATE ONSHORE...OUTSIDE OF ANY TSRA
ACTIVITY.

&&

.LONG-TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...ALL OF THE MODELS
INDICATE THAT THIS SOGGY WX PATTERN WL BE COMING TO AN END EARLY IN
THE FCST PD.  THE MID/UPR RDG AXIS IS FINALLY EXPECTED TO BUILD WWD
EARLY IN THE PD.  BY THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...SOUTH TX WL
BE DOMINATED BY THIS RDG AXIS.  PERSISTENT SUBSIDENCE FROM WEST TO
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND S/SW BOUNDARY LYR FLOW WL PROMOTE CONTINUED
DRYING OF THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN.  PWS WL LOWER TO 1.5 INCHES OR
LESS BY FRI AND CONTINUE THAT WAY FOR MOST OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
PD.  WL HOLD ONTO SLIGHT CHC/CHC POPS FOR WED NIGHT AS THE REMNANT
SHEAR AXIS AND WEAKENING UPR JET STREAK AFFECTS THE RGN.  THESE
FEATURES REALLY BREAK DOWN ON THU BUT WITH LINGERING MOISTURE AND WK
TO NO CAP...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION WL STILL BE POSSIBLE ON
THU.  AS DRY AIR ADVECTION AND THE CAP INCREASES ON FRI...EVEN
LESSER POPS ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AREAS AND
CENTRAL COUNTIES DUE TO SEABREEZE ENHANCEMENT.  WL INDICATE A SLOW
WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND THEN NUDGE DOWN TEMPS SLIGHTLY
AS THICKNESSES LOWER JUST A BIT.  WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE SLIGHTLY BY THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE THERMAL
GRADIENT INCREASES.  THE SRN BAYS AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS WL
BE PUSHING MARGINAL SCEC LVLS DURING THIS TIMEFRAME.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI   76 87 75 92 74 / 40 50 20 20 05
VICTORIA         74 85 75 92 74 / 40 60 40 30 05
LAREDO           76 92 77 100 77 / 60 50 30 10 05
ALICE            74 88 74 95 74 / 40 50 20 10 05
ROCKPORT         78 85 77 89 76 / 40 50 20 20 05
COTULLA          73 90 73 97 73 / 60 60 40 10 05

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTH TEXAS.

&&

81...SHORT-TERM
80...LONG-TERM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
301 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2004

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-301100-
ARANSAS-BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT OCONNOR-BEE-CALHOUN-
COASTAL WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
DUVAL-GOLIAD-JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-LASALLE-LIVE OAK-MCMULLEN-NUECES-
REFUGIO-SAN PATRICIO-VICTORIA-
WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 TO 60 NM-WEBB-
301 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER SOUTH TEXAS WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY NORTHWEST RIO GRANDE
PLAINS TONIGHT THEN INCREASING ACTIVITY NEAR THE COAST TOWARD EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING AND SPREADING WEST AND NORTH THROUGH THE DAY. NO
SEVERE WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED BUT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE
DUE TO THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT OF THE ATMOSPHERE. A FLOOD WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED AS STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS
REPEATEDLY...OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUND...RESULTING IN A POTENTIAL
FOR FLOODING. RAINFALL TOTALS MAY REACH 2 TO 3 INCHES IN ISOLATED
AREAS...MAINLY OVER THE INLAND LOCATIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
WEDNESDAY PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. NO OTHER HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

81

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1121 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2004

TXZ230>232-240-241-244-291715-
BEE-DUVAL-JIM WELLS-LIVE OAK-MCMULLEN-SAN PATRICIO-
1121 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2004

AT 1121 AM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD JUST EAST OF
FREER IN DUVAL COUNTY.

THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF FUNNEL
CLOUDS ACROSS BEE...DUVAL...JIM WELLS...LIVE OAK...MCMULLEN AND SAN
PATRICIO COUNTIES...THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO SEEK SHELTER IN THE UNLIKELY EVENT THE
FUNNEL CLOUD REACHES THE GROUND.

TE