Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Burlington, VT

000 
WGUS71 KBTV 142008
FFSBTV
NYC019-142045-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
409 PM EDT FRI MAY 14 2004


...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 445 PM EDT FOR...

  CLINTON COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW YORK

AT 405 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED  
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL 17 MILES EAST
OF MALONE...OR ABOUT 2 MILES NORTHEAST OF HARRIGAN.  

RADAR INDICATED UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE PAST HOUR IN NORTHWEST 
CLINTON COUNTY...ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE 11 BETWEEN HARRIGAN AND 
CANNON CORNERS.  UP TO AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE 
OVER THE NEXT HOUR.  SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL RAPIDLY 
FLOOD...POSSIBLY WASHING OUT ROADS AND FLOODING NEARBY LOW AREAS.

$$

LAT...LON 4497 7401 4478 7400 4489 7369 4498 7369

000 
WGUS71 KBTV 142048
FFSBTV
NYC019-142100-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
447 PM EDT FRI MAY 14 2004


...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT FOR CLINTON COUNTY 
NEW YORK HAS EXPIRED...

AT 445 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THE HEAVIEST 
RAINS HAVE BEGUN TO SUBSIDE.  THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT HAS 
DIMINISHED...AND THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED.

ALTHOUGH THE IMMEDIATE FLOOD THREAT HAS LESSENED...THERE IS THE 
POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL RAINFALL LATER THIS EVENING.  STAY TUNED 
FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES THROUGH THE EVENING.


$$

LAT...LON 4497 7401 4478 7400 4489 7369 4498 7369

HANSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
958 AM EDT FRI MAY 14 2004

WL ISSUE UPDATE JUST TO TWEAK WORDING IN NORTHERN NY TO READ CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...OTHERWISE PARTLY SUNNY THAT AREA.
FCST IN VT LOOKS TO BE ON TARGET.

SGF BNDRY PSN SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...EXTDG FM NJ N THRU HDSN VLY
TO NR ALB THEN NW TO ST LAW VLY. THIS BNDRY WL BE MONITORED FOR
LATE MRNG AND AFTN CNVTV CLD DVLPMT.

H/5 RDG WITH AXIS THRU ERN NY/NEW ENG MOVS E TO NEW ENG CST TNGT
AND OFSHR SAT. ONE VORT CURRENTLY CURRENTLY OVR CNTRL/NRN NY AND
WRN NEW ENG EVIDENT IN SATL IMAGERY...MOVG E AND MODELS TRACK THIS
SYS E OF OUR AREA TDY AS IT MOVS THRU UPR RDG. MRNG SOUNDING INDCS
LESS PRECIPITATBLE WATER TDY AT ALB WITH LO LVL INVERSION. BUF
SOUNDING HAS GREATER PRECIPITABLE WATER.

FEATURE IMPACTING TODAYS WX WILL BE VORT CURRENTLY OVR LK ERIE
TRACKS NE THRU ST LAW VLY INTO CANADA TNGT. MODELS KEEP WIDESPREAD
AREA OF MSTR ACRS AREA THRU SAT...BUT MOIST CONCENTRATED OVR NY FOR
THIS AFTN. TODAY CAPES INCRS TO ARND 1000 IN VT AND 1000-1500 IN NRN
NY. AS VORT TRACKS NE THRU WRN NY WUD EXPECT CNVTN TO DVLP ARND
MIDDAY IN NY...AND IN THE CHAMPLAIN VLY OF NY/VT DURG THE AFTN.

AGREE WITH PREVIUS FCSTR CONCERNING BUMPING UP MAX TEMPS TDY AND WL
MAKE NO CHANGES THERE.

SFH

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
520 AM EDT FRI MAY 14 2004

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-150822-
CALEDONIA-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN CLINTON-
EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN RUTLAND-ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-
LAMOILLE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-
SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-
WESTERN CHITTENDEN-WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN FRANKLIN-
WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
520 AM EDT FRI MAY 14 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK AS WELL AS
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY:

A DISTURBANCE IN THE JET STREAM WINDS ALOFT WILL INTERACT WITH
PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO
PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A BROKEN LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY BY 3 PM
THIS AFTERNOON. LOOK FOR THESE THUNDERSTORMS TO TRACK EAST AT 15
TO 20 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...LOCAL WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
A STRONG COLD FRONT IN COMBINATION WITH A DISTURBANCE IN THE FLOW
ALOFT WILL ENHANCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION ON
SATURDAY. AS THIS FRONT INTERACTS WITH PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY AND NORTHERN ADIRONDACK MOUNTAINS.

TABER