Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 35, NWS Bismarck, ND

June 6, 2004McLean County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 6, 2004, 5:57 PM CDT for McLean County, North Dakota. It was in force for 63 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 6, 2004, 5:57 PM CDT (22:57 UTC)
Expired: Jun 6, 2004, 7:00 PM CDT
In force: 63 min
Issued by: NWS Bismarck, ND
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County McLean County, ND

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 6, 3:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1541 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 94 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 202 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

496 
WUUS53 KBIS 062257
SVRBIS
NDC055-070000-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
557 PM CDT SUN JUN 6 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN MCLEAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 557 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RAUB...OR ABOUT 56 MILES
  NORTHEAST OF DICKINSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RAUB AROUND 615 PM CDT
  WHITE SHIELD AROUND 625 PM CDT
  ROSEGLEN AROUND 630 PM CDT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR
PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME
OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

LAT...LON 4772 10233 4757 10181 4781 10148 4784 10225

$$

SHK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 6, 3:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 6, 3:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 57 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
300 PM CDT SUN JUN 6 2004

.SHORT TERM...
ANTICIPATE CONVECTION TO FIRE SHORTLY ON LINE OF CU FORMING ALONG
NORTH DAKOTA AND MONTANA BORDER. AMS STILL WEAKLY CAPPED BUT
BAMEX...PROGGD SOUNDINGS AND MODELS ALL INDICATE CAP WILL BE BROKEN
SOMETIME LATE AFTERNOON AS TEMPS APPROACH 90F WEST. WATCH POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE NEXT TWO HOURS.

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AGAIN. MID LEVEL LOW MOVING ONSHORE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST SPLITS AS ONE PIECE OF ENERGY CUTSOFF OVER PAC NW AND
FIRST PIECE MOVES NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA. CWA IN SW
THEN W THEN SW FLOW THROUGH PERIOD. AS FIRST LOW MOVES EAST THROUGH
NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT...WESTERN DAKOTA WILL BE UNTIL INFLUENCE OF
COOLER AND DRIER HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTH FROM CANADA WITH
BOUNDARY SOUTH OF STATE. CUTOFF LOW WASH COAST EJECTS LATE IN
SHORTERM PERIODS WITH NEXT SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM APPROACHING NORTHERN
PLAINS LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.LONG TERM...
GFS CONTINUES TO BRING BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIP THURSDAY AS H500
LOW/TROUGH LIFTS NORTHEAST THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS. ALSO SURFACE
LOW/TROUGH FROM MONTANA THROUGH WRN NEBRASKA LIFTS NORTHEAST THRU
THE STATE. KEPT RELATIVELY HIGH POPS FOR THURSDAY. CYCLONIC FLOW
ALOFT CONTINUES THRU SATURDAY...BUT TOOK POPS OUT TO BLEND WITH
SURROUNDING OFFICES. SINCE SURFACE HIGH PUSHING IN BY SATURDAY
AGREED TO TAKE IT OUT. KEPT SUNDAY DRY FOR NOW WITH WEAK SURFACE
HIGH. BUT...LATER SHIFTS MAY WANT TO INCREASE POPS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT
OR MONDAY AS 50H TROF SWINGS THRU 00Z TUESDAY.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR JAMES RIVER NEAR LUDDEN.

&&

HW/JV

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 6, 5:37 AM CDT, 12 hours 20 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
537 AM CDT SUN JUN 6 2004

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-071037-
ADAMS ND-BILLINGS ND-BOTTINEAU ND-BOWMAN ND-BURKE ND-BURLEIGH ND-
DICKEY ND-DIVIDE ND-DUNN ND-EMMONS ND-FOSTER ND-GOLDEN VALLEY ND-
GRANT ND-HETTINGER ND-KIDDER ND-LA MOURE ND-LOGAN ND-MCHENRY ND-
MCINTOSH ND-MCKENZIE ND-MCLEAN ND-MERCER ND-MORTON ND-MOUNTRAIL ND-
OLIVER ND-PIERCE ND-RENVILLE ND-ROLETTE ND-SHERIDAN ND-SIOUX ND-
SLOPE ND-STARK ND-STUTSMAN ND-WARD ND-WELLS ND-WILLIAMS ND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BISMARCK...BOTTINEAU...BOWMAN...CROSBY...
DICKINSON...JAMESTOWN...MINOT AND WILLISTON
537 AM CDT SUN JUN 6 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOPE IN WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON
THEN MOVE ACROSS THE STATE TONIGHT.  SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS AND A
LOW LEVEL JET AHEAD OF A TROUGH IN EASTERN MONTANA WILL INCREASE THE
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON.  SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE
SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 6, 5:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	McKenzie	55 min
Jun 6, 5:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Mountrail	54 min
Jun 6, 6:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burke	66 min
Jun 6, 6:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Mountrail, Renville, Ward	61 min
Jun 6, 6:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	McKenzie	41 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.