Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 14, NWS Bismarck, ND

May 19, 2004Bottineau County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 19, 2004, 3:59 PM CDT for Bottineau County, North Dakota. It was in force for 61 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 19, 2004, 3:59 PM CDT (20:59 UTC)
Expired: May 19, 2004, 5:00 PM CDT
In force: 61 min
Issued by: NWS Bismarck, ND
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Bottineau County, ND

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 19, 2:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 684 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 373 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 363 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

528 
WUUS53 KBIS 192059
SVRBIS
NDC009-192200-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
358 PM CDT WED MAY 19 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN BOTTINEAU COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BOTTINEAU

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 358 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BOTTINEAU...MOVING EAST
  AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BOTTINEAU AROUND 405 PM CDT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR
PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME
OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOS WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING. PREPARE TO MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED.

LAT...LON 4899 10080 4865 10071 4865 10038 4858 10020
      4900 10023

$$

SHK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 19, 2:50 PM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 19, 2:50 PM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
250 PM CDT WED MAY 19 2004

.SHORT TERM...
A SHORT WAVE IS SPEEDING EAST ACROSS NORTHERN ND. INFLUX OF COLD AIR AT
ITS LEADING EDGE IS DESTABILIZING ATMOSPHERE ENOUGH TO CAUSE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS FAR NORTH
CENTRAL  FLOW SHIFTS NORTHWEST BEHIND THE WAVE AND SCATTERED PRECIP
OVER THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD END BY LATE EVENING. RIDGING ON THURSDAY
WILL CAUSE A RESPITE FROM THE CONVECTIVE PRECIP.  THEN FLOW SHIFTS
SOUTHWEST THURSDAY EVENING FOR A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM...
EXTENDED FCST...
SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE DOMINATED BY AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE WEST COAST.  THE LOW WILL KEEP ND IN A
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.  CONSEQUENTLY WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF PRECIP IN
THE FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD AND DAYTIME TEMPS WILL BE AT OR
BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ND THROUGH
 01Z.

&&

LM/TSW

Hazardous weather outlook, May 19, 3:00 AM CDT, 12 hours 59 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
300 AM CDT WED MAY 19 2004

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-190955-
ADAMS ND-BILLINGS ND-BOTTINEAU ND-BOWMAN ND-BURKE ND-BURLEIGH ND-
DICKEY ND-DIVIDE ND-DUNN ND-EMMONS ND-FOSTER ND-GOLDEN VALLEY ND-
GRANT ND-HETTINGER ND-KIDDER ND-LA MOURE ND-LOGAN ND-MCHENRY ND-
MCINTOSH ND-MCKENZIE ND-MCLEAN ND-MERCER ND-MORTON ND-MOUNTRAIL ND-
OLIVER ND-PIERCE ND-RENVILLE ND-ROLETTE ND-SHERIDAN ND-SIOUX ND-
SLOPE ND-STARK ND-STUTSMAN ND-WARD ND-WELLS ND-WILLIAMS ND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BISMARCK...BOTTINEAU...BOWMAN...CROSBY...
DICKINSON...JAMESTOWN...MINOT AND WILLISTON
300 AM CDT WED MAY 19 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IN CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SHULZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 19, 1:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burke, Renville	51 min
May 19, 4:24 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	BIS	Pierce, Rolette	66 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.