Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004
Flash Flood Warning 83, NWS Binghamton, NY
NWS Binghamton, NY issued this flash flood warning at Sep 18, 2004, 4:34 AM EDT for Otsego County, New York. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 18, 2004, 4:34 AM EDT (08:34 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 18, 2004, 7:30 AM EDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Binghamton, NY
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Otsego County, NY
The radar
The Albany radar (KENX), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 573 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -8 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 150 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS51 KBGM 180835 FFWBGM NYC077-181130- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 434 AM EDT SAT SEP 18 2004 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... CENTRAL OTSEGO COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK * UNTIL 730 AM EDT * AT 431 AM EDT...VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS REPORTED IN OTSEGO COUNTY. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WEST END... SPRINGFIELD...SCHENEVUS...PITTSFIELD...ONEONTA...MILFORD... MIDDLEFIELD...MARYLAND...LEONARDSVILLE...LAURENS...HYDE PARK... HARTWICK...EXETER CENTER...EMMONS...ELK CREEK...EDMESTON... COOPERSTOWN...COOPERSTOWN JCT...COLLIERSVILLE AND BOWERSTOWN. EVACUATIONS ARE UNDERWAY AT A MOBILE HOME PARK ALONG RT 23 IN ONEONTA...WHERE EMERGENCY OFFICIALS REPORT SUBSTANTIAL FLOODING IS OCCURRING. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH SUNRISE WILL INCREASE FLOODING ACROSS OTSEGO COUNTY. LAT...LON 4285 7484 4249 7477 4243 7521 4280 7535 $$ PADAVONA
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 17, 10:25 PM EDT, 6 hours 9 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 17, 10:25 PM EDT, 6 hours 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 1025 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004 .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT)... CURRENT FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE. REMOVED EVENING WORDING IN FIRST PERIOD AND ADDED BREEZY WORDING FOR CENTRAL/SRN ZONES ON SATURDAY. && .PREV DISCUSSION... SHORT TERM (SATURDAY-SUNDAY)... IVAN SLOWLY MOVING EAST INTO CAROLINAS AS IT SENDS RAIN NORTH INTO CWA. AMOUNTS MOSTLY UNDER AN INCH OR RAIN EXCEPT FAR WEST WITH UP TO 2. TIME PERIOD 12 HOURS WITH ANOTHER 12 TO GO AT LEAST. RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH ENHANCEMENT FROM RIGHT REAR QUAD OF UL JET. TONIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO THE DEWPOINTS WHICH WILL BE STEADY. SATURDAY THE CENTER OF IVAN WILL HEAD TO THE COAST OF VA WITH DRIER COOL CONTINENTAL AIR WITH CANADAIAN HIGH. RAIN WILL END STARTING LATE TONIGHT FROM NW TO SE PULLING OUT BY NOON. SAT NGT THE DRY AIR WILL BE HERE BUT THE GRADIENT WILL KEEP THE WIND UP. WILL NOT PUT IN FOG DESPITE THE WET GROUND DUE TO THE WIND FLOW AND DEWPOINTS STILL FALLING INTO 30S. SUNDAY COOL AND SUNNY WITH STILL SOME WIND UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. LONG TERM(SUNDAY NIGHT TO FRIDAY)... A PROLONGED PD OF FAIR WX APPEARS TO BE IN STORE FOR THE BGM FCST AREA AS HIGH PRES REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE NE U.S.. ITLL BE CHILLY AT NIGHT, WITH SOME U30S PSBL IN THE COOLER VLYS SUN AND MON NGT. OTRW SEASONABLE TO SLIGHTLY ABV NORMAL TEMPS AND MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. AVIATION... VFR TO MVFR CIGS FOR SYR/UCA WITH -RA, WHICH SHUD BE TAPERING OFF LATE THIS EVNG. FOR LOCATIONS FURTHER TO THE S, IFR CIGS WITH SOME LIFR CONDITIONS AT ITH AND BGM. RAIN TAPERING OFF LATE TNGT, WITH VFR CONDITIONS WORKING INTO THE RGN TMRW MRNG. HYDROLOGY... FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE FOR TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST RAIN SO FAR HAS BEEN ACROSS THE MOST WESTERN COUNTIES IN NY. NO PROBLEMS YET. AS SHORT WAVE MOVES EAST WITH AND NORTH OF IVAN THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN IN WRN NY AND WRN PA WILL SHIFT ACROSS WATCH AREA. WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES SOME RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE IN ADDITION TO FLASH FLOODING. RAIN WILL END SATURDAY MORNING AS IT TAPERS OFF AND PULLS EAST. && .BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NY...FLOOD WATCH INTO SATURDAY FOR THE SOUTHERN TIER FROM STEUBEN COUNTY EASTWARD TO DELAWARE AND OTSEGO COUNTIES. NYZ022>025-044>046-055>057-062 PA...FLOOD WATCH INTO SATURDAY FOR ALL OF NORTHEAST PA. PAZ038>040-043>044-047>048-072 && UPDATE...VAN AUSDALL DAYS 1-2 & HYDROLOGY...CHAMPNEY EXTENDED & AVIATION...BRADY
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 17, 11:25 AM EDT, 17 hours 9 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 1125 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004 NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043- 044-047-048-072-181100- BRADFORD PA-BROOME NY-CHEMUNG NY-CHENANGO NY-CORTLAND NY-DELAWARE NY- LACKAWANNA PA-LUZERNE PA-MADISON NY-NORTHERN ONEIDA NY- NORTHERN WAYNE PA-ONONDAGA NY-OTSEGO NY-PIKE PA-SCHUYLER NY- SENECA NY-SOUTHERN CAYUGA NY-SOUTHERN ONEIDA NY-SOUTHERN WAYNE PA- STEUBEN NY-SULLIVAN NY-SUSQUEHANNA PA-TIOGA NY-TOMPKINS NY- WYOMING PA-YATES NY- 1125 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004 .DAY ONE...TODAY... HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL ACROSS ALL OF NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND THE SOUTHERN TIER AND CATSKILLS OF NEW YORK TODAY AND TONIGHT...AS MOISTURE FROM IVAN TEAMS UP WITH A STALLED FRONTAL ZONE. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TODAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING FOR THESE AREAS. FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THIS HEAVY RAIN EVENT AND ASSOCIATED FLOOD POTENTIAL...PLEASE REFER TO THE STATEMENT ALBFFABGM. FURTHER NORTH ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES AND WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY OF NEW YORK RAIN WILL FALL BUT AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LOW ENOUGH NOT TO CAUSE ANY FLOODING PROBLEMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... STEADIER RAINS WILL EXIT THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...ANY RUNOFF PROBLEMS COULD LINGER THROUGHOUT THE DAY. RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE INTO THE AFTERNOON BEFORE CRESTING. NO FURTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... FORMAL SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT. HOWEVER...RAINFALL SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN THEIR REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON. CHAMPNEY
The office that day
Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 12:40 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Steuben | 2 hr |
| Sep 18, 1:10 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Delaware | 4 hr |
| Sep 18, 1:15 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Broome, Chemung, Tioga | 4 hr |
| Sep 18, 4:29 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Sullivan | 4 hr |
| Sep 18, 4:51 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Delaware | 4 hr |
| Sep 18, 4:58 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Broome, Tioga | 3 hr |
| Sep 18, 5:22 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Chenango | 4 hr |
| Sep 18, 6:46 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Otsego | 3 hr |
| Sep 18, 7:58 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Broome, Chenango, Delaware, Otsego, Sullivan, Tioga | 6 hr |
| Sep 18, 1:44 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Delaware, Sullivan | 6 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2004Every flash flood warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.