Flash Flood Warning 6, NWS Binghamton, NY

000 
WGUS71 KBGM 122334
FFSBGM
PAC103-130030-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
726 PM EDT WED MAY 12 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 815 PM EDT FOR PIKE 
COUNTY...

AT 724 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE AN AREA OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN 
PIKE COUNTY. THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS 
THESE AREAS FOR THE NEXT 30 TO 60 MINUTES, AND THEN BEGIN TO 
DIMINISH. 

FLOODING IS LIKELY TO OCCUR OVER MANY OF THE SMALLER STREAMS AND 
CREEKS OVER THIS AREA, INCLUDING BUSH KILL AND BEAVER RUN. ROUTE 402 
BETWEEN PORTERS LAKE AND BUSH KILL WILL ALSO SEE ADDITIONAL FLOODING 
FROM THESE STORMS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

$$

000 
WGUS71 KBGM 130017
FFSBGM
PAC103-130115-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
812 PM EDT WED MAY 12 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT FOR
PIKE COUNTY HAS EXPIRED...

THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN HAVE WEAKENED AND ARE MOVING OUT OF 
THE AREA. HOWEVER, SOME ROADS MAY STILL BE COVERED WITH WATER, 
AND MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO AVOID DRIVING THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. 
IN ADDITION, SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY EXPERIENCE MINOR 
FLOODING BEFORE WATER LEVELS RECEDE LATER THIS EVENING.

REMEMBER, DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER 
COVERS THE ROADWAY. FOR THE LATEST UPSTATES STAY TUNED TO NOAA 
WEATHER RADIO, OR VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
315 PM EDT WED MAY 12 2004

.SHORT TERM (TON-FRI)...
FCST AREA ON PERIPHERY OF UPPER LVL RIDGE WITH WARM SWLY FLOW IN THE
LOW LEVELS. SFC WARM FRONT PASSING THRU AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL
BE NORTHEAST OF AREA BY THURS MORNING. TSRA WITH VRY HVY RAIN AND
TRAINING CELLS HAVE PRODUCED POCKETS OF FLASH FLOODING IN PIKE AND
WYOMING COUNTY PA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH OTHER CELLS MOVING SOUTH
ALONG NE-SW BNDRY THRU CNY. WATER VAPOR LOOP AND MODELS DONT SHOW
MUCH LIFT ALOFT TON THRU FRI...BUT RGNL RADAR/SAT/LIGHTNING DATA
POINTS TO CONVECTION FIRING IN THIS AIRMASS UPSTREAM. WITH LINGERING
MESOSCALE BNDRYS...ITS DEFINITELY WORTH KEEPING THE MAINLY LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON SCT TSRA IN THE FCST FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS
FCST SOUNDINGS PROG SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY. RIDGING ALOFT CONTINUES
TO STRENGTHEN TONIGHT...SO COVERAGE SHOULD BE A BIT LESS THAN
TODAY...THEN INCREASE ON FRIDAY WITH SAGGING UPR HEIGHTS AND SFC
FRONT EDGING CLOSER.

MADE SOME SIG CHANGES TO SKY CONDITIONS IN THE GRIDS BY REDUCING
PERCENT COVER. MODELS HAVE BEEN OVERDONE WITH RH...AND THUS CLOUD
FIELDS IN THE LAST 36 HOURS...AND THEY CONTINUE TO LOOK THAT WAY
WITH TIME. EXPECT P/S DAYS/EVENINGS...WITH M/CLR AND PATCHY FOG
NIGHTS.

MOS VALUES LOOK GOOD WITH WARM DAYS AND MILD MUGGY NIGHTS AND
GENERALLY BLENDED THEM WITH PREV FCST.

&&

.EXTENDED (FRI NGT-WED)...
FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY CONTINUE TO BE DOMINATED BY WARM
SWLY FLOW AROUND NRN PERIPHERY OF BERMUDA HIGH. WEAK SHORT WAVE
COULD SET SOME TSTORMS OFF WITH HELP FROM DAYTIME HEATING. STRONG
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING. THIS ASSOCIATED
WITH WEAKENING UL TROF AND COOLER MID LEVEL TEMPS. AFTER THIS FRONT
GOES THROUGH DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. SFC
HIGH BUILDS INTO UPSTATE NY THEN MOVES E.

MOISTURE RETURN TUESDAY AHEAD OF NEXT COLD FRONT. GFS ON THE DRY
SIDE COMPARED TO MOST OF THE OTHER MID RANGE MODELS MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. SOME OF THESE OTHER MODELS DEVELOP A WARM FRONT FOR MONDAY.
WILL CONTINUE WITH THE CHC POPS MON NGT INTO TUESDAY. THE FRONT WILL
CROSS TUE PM THEN STALLS IN MID ATLANTIC.

FOLLOWED CLOSE TO GFS AND HPC GUIDANCE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...
CONVECTION FIRING IN WARM MOIST AIRMASS. HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL
WITH LITTLE SHEAR DUE TO LIGHT WINDS. TS/RW ISOLATED  BUT TEMPO
FIRST FEW HOURS ALL BUT SYR AND ITH. SYR HAD PRECIP EARLIER AND NOW
MAY HAVE A LAKE BREEZE. VFR CONDITIONS EVERYWHERE NOW EXCEPT IN
TSRA. INCLUDED A TEMPO FOR MVFR FOG AROUND SUNRISE FOR AVP AND ELM
WHERE PRECIP SHOULD ADD ENOUGH MOISTURE. LIGHT TO CALM WINDS WILL
ALSO HELP.
&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
PA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM FOR PAZ043>044-047>048-072.

SHORT TERM...BREWSTER
EXTENDED/AVIATION...CHAMPNEY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
400 PM EDT WED MAY 12 2004

NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-
044-047-048-072-122200-
BRADFORD PA-BROOME NY-CHEMUNG NY-CHENANGO NY-CORTLAND NY-DELAWARE NY-
LACKAWANNA PA-LUZERNE PA-MADISON NY-NORTHERN ONEIDA NY-
NORTHERN WAYNE PA-ONONDAGA NY-OTSEGO NY-PIKE PA-SCHUYLER NY-
SENECA NY-SOUTHERN CAYUGA NY-SOUTHERN ONEIDA NY-SOUTHERN WAYNE PA-
STEUBEN NY-SULLIVAN NY-SUSQUEHANNA PA-TIOGA NY-TOMPKINS NY-
WYOMING PA-YATES NY-
400 PM EDT WED MAY 12 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
SCATTERED HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY
DISSIPATE AROUND...OR SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING. THERE HAVE
BEEN RADAR ESTIMATES OF LOCALIZED RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF 4 INCHES
OVER NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON WITH REPORTS OF
FLASH FLOODING AND ROAD CLOSURES. FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
PARTS OF NORTHEAST PA WHERE HEAVIEST RAINFALL OCCURRED AND IS PRIMED
FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING IF MORE STORMS DEVELOP. SEE (ALBFFABGM
WGUS61) FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THIS EVENING...BUT SPOTTERS
THAT RECEIVE HEAVY RAINFALL ARE ASKED TO CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

JAB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
129 PM EDT WED MAY 12 2004

NYZ036-045-046-121830-

...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS MOVING INTO THE
AREA...

AT 127 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS FROM 20 MILES NORTHWEST
OF COOPERSTOWN TO 19 MILES WEST OF NORWICH...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THE LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
NORWICH AT 145 PM.
COOPERSTOWN AT 205 PM.
ONEONTA AT 220 PM.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. YOU CAN
ALSO VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV.

RHB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
219 PM EDT WED MAY 12 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PECKS POND              41.30N 75.10W
05/12/2004                   PIKE               PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            2 TO 3 FEET OF WATER ON ROUTE 402.

0213 PM     FLASH FLOOD      TUNKHANNOCK             41.54N 75.95W
05/12/2004                   WYOMING            PA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            2 TO 3 FEET OF WATER ON ROADS. MANY CLOSED THROUGHOUT THE
            TOWNSHIP. ALSO THROUGHOUT EATON TOWNSHIP.

&&

JAB

NYZ062-121930-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
232 PM EDT WED MAY 12 2004

...THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN MOVING INTO THE AREA...

AT 227 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL OVER CENTRAL SULLIVAN COUNTY.

HEAVIEAST RAINS WERE LOCATED NEAR FORESTDALE AND KENOZA LAKE, AND
OTHER AREA THAT MAY BE AFFECTED BY HEAVY RAIN INCLUDE BRISCOE,
JEFFERSONVILLE, WHITE SULPHER SPRINGS, AND SWAN LAKE.

EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THESE STORMS. LOCALIZED RAINFALL RATES OF
UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH OUT FOR
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. YOU CAN
ALSO VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV

RHB/RAM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED GENERIC CODE FORMAT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
232 PM EDT WED MAY 12 2004

NYZ062-121930-

...THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN MOVING INTO THE AREA...

AT 227 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL OVER CENTRAL SULLIVAN COUNTY.

HEAVIEAST RAINS WERE LOCATED NEAR FORESTDALE AND KENOZA LAKE, AND
OTHER AREA THAT MAY BE AFFECTED BY HEAVY RAIN INCLUDE BRISCOE,
JEFFERSONVILLE, WHITE SULPHER SPRINGS, AND SWAN LAKE.

EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THESE STORMS. LOCALIZED RAINFALL RATES OF
UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH OUT FOR
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. YOU CAN
ALSO VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV

RHB/RAM

NYZ056-057-PAZ038-039-122145-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
452 PM EDT WED MAY 12 2004

...THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN MOVING INTO THE AREA...

AT 450 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
DEPOSIT TO MONTROSE TO ATHENS.....MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE NEAR...HICKORY GROVE AND
HALLSTEAD AT 515 PM...WYSOX AND SUSQUEHANNA AT 530 PM...NEW MILFORD
AND HERRICK AT 545 PM.

EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE PATH OF THE STORM. LOCALIZED RAINFALL
RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH
OUT FOR PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER FROM THE WEATHER IN A STRONG
BUILDING. GUSTY WINDS...VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
ALL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. STAY INSIDE AWAY FROM WINDOWS
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. YOU CAN
ALSO VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV

PAZ047-122230-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
602 PM EDT WED MAY 12 2004

...THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL MOVING INTO THE
AREA...

AT 600 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL NEAR HAZLETON....OR
ABOUT OVER FREELAND....MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
STODDARTSVILLE AT 630 PM.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING. RAINFALL RATES COULD BE AS MUCH AS ONE TO TWO INCHES PER
HOUR. MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS, LOW LYING AND URBAN AREAS ARE
POSSIBLE.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. YOU CAN
ALSO VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV.

RRM