Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 24, NWS La Crosse, WI
NWS La Crosse, WI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 17, 2004, 11:49 PM CDT for Dodge County, Minnesota. It was in force for 56 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 17, 2004, 11:49 PM CDT (04:49 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 18, 2004, 12:45 AM CDT
- In force
- 56 min
- Issued by
- NWS La Crosse, WI
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Dodge County, MN
The radar
The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 11:50 PM CDT | HAIL 1.75 | Claremont, MN |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 1 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 7:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Apr 17, 10:05 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2026 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 65 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 91 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 489 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
654
WUUS53 KARX 180449
SVRARX
MNC039-180545-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1149 PM CDT SAT APR 17 2004
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
DODGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA
* UNTIL 1245 AM CDT
* AT 1149 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING LARGE HAIL 3 MILES WEST OF CLAREMONT...OR
ABOUT 9 MILES EAST OF OWATONNA. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
COUNTY ROADS 20 AND 5 AND COUNTY ROADS 1 AND 24 BY 1155 PM CDT...
EDEN AND WEST CONCORD BY MIDNIGHT CDT...
CONCORD AND WASIOJA BY 1205 AM CDT...
HIGHWAY 57 AND 570TH STREET AND MANTORVILLE BY 1210 AM CDT...
BERNE BY 1215 AM CDT...
THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT SUNDAY MORNING FOR
NORTHEASTERN IOWA AND SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND SOUTHWESTERN WISCONSIN.
LAT...LON 4411 9318 4395 9307 4407 9269 4419 9268
4417 9300
$$
KRCWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS La Crosse, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 17, 2:50 PM CDT, 8 hours 59 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 17, 2:50 PM CDT, 8 hours 59 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 250 PM CDT SAT APR 17 2004 .SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT TONIGHT AND SUNDAY EVENING REMAIN THE FOREMOST FORECAST CONCERN FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. DATA ANALYSIS AT 2 PM SHOWS A STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHING FROM NEAR CHICAGO IL THROUGH CENTRAL IA (ALMOST RIGHT ALONG INTERSTATE 80). QUITE THE DEWPOINT SPREAD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...RANGING FROM THE LOWER 30S ACROSS THE NORTH TO MIDDLE AND UPPER 50S ACROSS NORTHEAST IA...CLOSER TO THE FRONT. VIS SATELLITE SHOWING SOME ACCAS/TUFTED CI SCOOTING EAST ACROSS THE AREA INDICATING SOME INCREASED ELEVATED INSTABILITY. 12Z 17APR04 MODEL RUNS SHOWS BOTH GFS AND ETA INITIALIZING WELL AND STAYING IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 60 HOURS. ONLY DIFFERENCE THAT ARISES IS ON QPF PRODUCTION. BELIEVE ETA HAS BETTER HANDLE WITH THE CONVECTIVELY PRODUCED QPF AND WILL FOLLOW IT FOR FINER DETAILS. CYCLOGENESIS ON THE LEESIDE OF THE ROCKIES WILL STRENGTHEN LOW LEVEL JET OVER THE PLAINS TONIGHT. THIS WILL ACT TO PUSH STATIONARY FRONT NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT TO ALONG THE IA/MN BORDER AND INTO FAR SOUTHERN WI. ETA INDICATING MODERATE MOISTURE TRANSPORT IMPINGING ON THE FRONT THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL FIRE ELEVATED CONVECTION NORTH OF THE FRONT...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM ROCHESTER MN THROUGH LA CROSSE TO NEAR MAUSTON WI. ELEVATED CAPES INCREASES INTO THE 2000-3000 J/KG RANGE AND BULK SHEAR VALUES IN THE 50-55KT RANGE WILL MEAN A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING BEING THE MAIN THREAT. ON SUNDAY...THE WARM FRONT WILL WORK ITS WAY NORTHWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA AND INTO NORTHERN WI AS MCS DECAYS AND MOVES EAST OF THE AREA. STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS THE AREA SPELLS VERY GUSTY WINDS. CURRENT WINDS LOOK GOOD WHICH FLIRTS WITH WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. WILL HOLD OFF WITH AN ADVISORY FOR NOW AS THERE IS 1ST PERIOD CONCERNS WITH THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER. WILL LET LATER SHIFTS ASSESS. THESE STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE DURING THE AFTERNOON SHOULD PUSH TEMPERATURES INTO THE 80S. FURTHER NORTH...LEFT OVER MCS DEBRIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES DOWN A BIT. ATMOSPHERE BECOMES CAPPED DURING THE AFTERNOON...SO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS LOOK GOOD. DID ADJUST THE GRIDS TO REFLECT A BETTER CHANCE ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST HOWEVER...CLOSER TO THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER MAY STAY TO OUR NORTH AND WEST SUNDAY EVENING AS ATMOSPHERE REMAINS CAPPED INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS OUR AREA. WHEN THE FRONT DOES COME THROUGH...SURFACE BASED HEATING WILL BE GONE AND SO WILL THE INSTABILITY. MAY BE A FEW SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH ON MONDAY MORNING AS CYCLONIC FLOW AND COLD AIR ALOFT RESIDE ACROSS THAT AREA. OTHERWISE...QUIET FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AS COOL AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS. .LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS ARE PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH THE PERIOD. 12Z FRIDAY ECMWF DEEPER WITH SHORTWAVE TROUGH EJECTING OUT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS THURSDAY THAN THE 00Z SATURDAY GFS. DGEX INDICATES MORE PROGRESSIVE SOLUTION WITH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...AND ENSEMBLES ALSO INDICATE A MORE FASTER SOLUTION. FEEL THE 00Z SATURDAY GFS SOLUTION IS TOO SLOW IN MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW...WILL LEAN MORE TOWARDS THE DGEX SOLUTION THROUGH PERIOD. CONFIDENCE OF FORECAST THROUGH PERIOD IS MODERATE. WEAK SURFACE COLD FRONT TRACKS ACROSS UPPER MIDWEST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ENOUGH MOISTURE AND LIFT WILL ALLOW LIGHT RAIN TO BREAK OUT ACROSS FORECAST AREA. WILL CONTINUE WITH CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH EJECTS OUT OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO EASTERN ILLINOIS BY 12Z FRIDAY. THINKING ANY WRAP AROUND PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHERN PART OF FORECAST AREA. WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS SOUTHERN MOST AREAS FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. SYSTEM WILL BE FAR ENOUGH EAST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...SO WILL KEEP SATURDAY DRY. && .ARX...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IA...NONE. MN...NONE. WI...NONE. && DAS/DTJ
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 17, 12:08 PM CDT, 11 hours 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 1208 PM CDT SAT APR 17 2004 IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029- 032>034-041>044-053>055-061-181100- ADAMS-ALLAMAKEE-BUFFALO-CHICKASAW-CLARK-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-DODGE- FAYETTE-FILLMORE-FLOYD-GRANT-HOUSTON-HOWARD-JACKSON-JUNEAU- LA CROSSE-MITCHELL-MONROE-MOWER-OLMSTED-RICHLAND-TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU- VERNON-WABASHA-WINNESHIEK-WINONA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AUSTIN...BLACK RIVER FALLS... CHARLES CITY...DECORAH...LA CROSSE...MAUSTON...MEDFORD... NEILLSVILLE...OELWEIN...PLATTEVILLE...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN... RICHLAND CENTER...ROCHESTER...SPARTA/TOMAH...VIROQUA...WAUKON... WINONA 1208 PM CDT SAT APR 17 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...NORTHEAST IOWA...AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER INDICATES THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEAR THE MISSOURI-IOWA BORDER AT MID-DAY WILL LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. PLENTIFUL MOISTURE SOUTH OF THE FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD AND OVER THE FRONT AS WELL. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND NORTH OF THE FRONT THIS EVENING...THEN CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SUFFICIENT WIND SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT...AND A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE. SINCE MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT TONIGHT...THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THE WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH INTO CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND CENTRAL WISCONSIN ON SUNDAY...ALLOWING WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR TO MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA. ANY ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD EXIT SUNDAY MORNING. DURING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WIND SHEAR AND INSTABILITY SUPPORT THE POSSIBILITY FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS NEAR THE WARM FRONT...AND NEAR THE COLD FRONT ADVANCING SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE AREA AS THE MAIN LOW LIFTS INTO NORTHERN WISCONSIN SUNDAY NIGHT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SEVERE STORMS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. AT THIS TIME...THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS TO BE ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM AUSTIN MINNESOTA...TO LA CROSSE AND NEILLSVILLE WISCONSIN. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...ALONG WITH THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN COULD CHANGE BASED ON THE EXACT POSITION AND TIMING OF THE FRONTS. IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE OVER THE AREA SUNDAY AND REMAIN INTO SUNDAY EVENING. SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH... ARE ANTICIPATED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER GROUPS ARE ADVISED TO KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST FORECASTS...AS ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT...THEN AGAIN LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RRS
In the hours before
Local storm report, Apr 17, 10:46 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1046 PM CDT SAT APR 17 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1032 PM HAIL 6 E FLOYD 43.13N 92.62W
04/17/2004 1.50 INCH FLOYD IA TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
SHEALocal storm report, Apr 17, 10:51 PM CDT, 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1051 PM CDT SAT APR 17 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1051 PM HAIL DEERFIELD 43.16N 92.50W
04/17/2004 1.75 INCH CHICKASAW IA TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
SHEALocal storm report, Apr 17, 11:01 PM CDT, 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1101 PM CDT SAT APR 17 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1010 PM HAIL WAUKON 43.27N 91.48W
04/17/2004 2.00 INCH ALLAMAKEE IA AMATEUR RADIO
&&
BAUMGARDTLocal storm report, Apr 17, 11:20 PM CDT, 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1120 PM CDT SAT APR 17 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1010 PM HAIL CASHTON 43.74N 90.78W
04/17/2004 0.75 INCH MONROE WI LAW ENFORCEMENT
1020 PM HAIL GENOA 44.12N 92.62W
04/17/2004 0.75 INCH OLMSTED MN AMATEUR RADIO
1111 PM HAIL 2 W WITHEE 44.95N 90.64W
04/17/2004 2.75 INCH CLARK WI AMATEUR RADIO
1111 PM HAIL 3 SW GLENDALE 43.75N 90.39W
04/17/2004 0.88 INCH MONROE WI PUBLIC
1115 PM HAIL 1 NW NEW HAMPTON 43.07N 92.33W
04/17/2004 2.50 INCH CHICKASAW IA PUBLIC
1055 PM HAIL ELROY 43.74N 90.27W
04/17/2004 0.75 INCH JUNEAU WI PUBLIC
5 MINUTE DURATION
&&
BAUMGARDTLocal storm report, Apr 17, 11:44 PM CDT, 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1144 PM CDT SAT APR 17 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1120 PM HAIL ST. ANSGAR 43.38N 92.92W
04/17/2004 0.88 INCH MITCHELL IA AMATEUR RADIO
&&
BAUMGARDTLocal storm report, Apr 17, 11:46 PM CDT, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1146 PM CDT SAT APR 17 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1140 PM HAIL 1 S DAVIS CORNERS 43.35N 92.30W
04/17/2004 0.75 INCH HOWARD IA AMATEUR RADIO
&&
BAUMGARDTThe office that day
Everything else NWS La Crosse, WI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 8:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Dodge | 52 min |
| Apr 17, 9:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Olmsted | 85 min |
| Apr 17, 9:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Mower | 29 min |
| Apr 17, 9:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Fillmore | 83 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.