Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004

Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Gaylord, MI

May 9, 2004Arenac County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at May 9, 2004, 5:40 PM EDT for Arenac County, Michigan. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 9, 2004, 5:40 PM EDT (21:40 UTC)
Expired
May 9, 2004, 9:30 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Arenac County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2004-05-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2004-05-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 19 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
834 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS53 KAPX 092140
FFWAPX
MIC011-100130-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
540 PM EDT SUN MAY 9 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  ARENAC COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN

* UNTIL 930 PM EDT

* AT 530 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS NEAR INTERSTATE 
  75 MILE MARKER 199...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE NEAR...
  2 MILES NORTH OF OMER BY 540 PM EDT
  3 MILES SOUTH OF TWINING AND 5 MILES SOUTH OF TURNER BY 545 PM EDT
  OVER AU GRES BY 550 PM EDT

DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2 INCHES OF RAIN WILL FALL 
OVER THE NEXT HOUR.

LAT...LON 4416 8415 4401 8415 4392 8403 4381 8373
          4416 8349

$$
2 follow-up statements
000 
RWUS32 KAPX 092313
FFSAPX
MIC011-100130-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
711 PM EDT SUN MAY 9 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 930 PM EDT FOR ARENAC
COUNTY...

AT 710 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED 
TO INDICATE REDEVELOPING CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE 
AREA...WHICH WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN. THESE STORMS WERE OCCURRING 
OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY NEAR ALGER. ADDITIONAL 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO MOVING IN FROM GLADWIN...MIDLAND 
AND CLARE COUNTIES. 

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
INTERSTATE 75 MILE MARKER 199...INTERSTATE 75 MILE MARKER 188...
TWINING...TURNER...STERLING...STANDISH...OMER...MAPLE RIDGE AND
ALGER.

DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES BETWEEN 1 AND 1.5 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAIN 
WILL FALL THROUGH 830 PM EDT. 

NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
GAYLORD.

LAT...LON 4416 8415 4401 8415 4392 8403 4381 8373
          4416 8349

$$
296 
RWUS32 KAPX 100135
FFSAPX
MIC011-100155-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
930 PM EDT SUN MAY 9 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR ARENAC COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE THUNDERSTORMS 
WHICH PRODUCED THE HEAVY RAINS HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA...AND NO FURTHER 
FLASH FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED. KERR ROAD...IN THE VICINITY OF STERLING 
WAS REPORTEDLY WASHED OUT DUE TO THE HEAVY RAINS. NO OTHER FLOODING 
PROBLEMS HAVE BEEN REPORTED. 

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT.  

LAT...LON 4416 8415 4401 8415 4392 8403 4381 8373
          4416 8349

$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 10:24 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXGladwin2 hr
May 9, 4:13 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXMissaukee, Wexford6 hr
May 9, 5:04 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXOgemaw, Roscommon6 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2004Every flash flood warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.