Alert archive / Michigan / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004

Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Gaylord, MI

May 9, 2004Ogemaw County, Roscommon County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this flash flood warning at May 9, 2004, 5:04 PM EDT for Ogemaw County, Roscommon County, Michigan. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 9, 2004, 5:04 PM EDT (21:04 UTC)
Expired
May 9, 2004, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Ogemaw County, MI, Roscommon County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2004-05-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2004-05-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 56 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
507 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
130 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS53 KAPX 092104
FFWAPX
MIC129-143-100300-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
504 PM EDT SUN MAY 9 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  ROSCOMMON COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
  OGEMAW COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN

* UNTIL 1100 PM EDT

* AT 504 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8
  MILES WEST OF PRUDENVILLE TO 8 MILES SOUTH OF PRUDENVILLE TO 14
  MILES SOUTH OF TWIN LAKES AREA...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
  INTERSTATE 75 MILE MARKER 219...INTERSTATE 75 MILE MARKER 207...
  WEST BRANCH...ST. HELEN...SKIDWAY LAKE...SELKIRK...RIFLE RIVER
  STATE PARK AND LAKE ST HELEN.

DOPPLER RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES RAINFALL RATES OF BETWEEN 1.0 AND
1.5 INCHES OVER THIS REGION. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE WARNED AREA THIS EVENING.

LAT...LON 4424 8485 4418 8476 4418 8434 4420 8391
          4428 8391 4442 8390 4435 8466

$$
2 follow-up statements
000 
RWUS32 KAPX 092341
FFSAPX
MIC129-143-100300-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
739 PM EDT SUN MAY 9 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1100 PM EDT FOR OGEMAW AND
ROSCOMMON COUNTIES...

AT 738 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE REDEVELOPING CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA WHICH 
WILL PRODUCE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN. SPOTTERS HAVE REPORTED FLOODING IN 
LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE MUSKEGON RIVER...NORTH OF HOUGHTON LAKE...AND
SOME AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS HAVE REACHED BANKFULL. OTHER STORMS WERE 
MOVING IN FROM CLARE COUNTY...THUS ONGOING FLOODING PROBLEMS WILL 
CONTINUE...AND THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING. 

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
INTERSTATE 75 MILE MARKER 219...INTERSTATE 75 MILE MARKER 207...WEST
BRANCH...ST. HELEN...SELKIRK...RIFLE RIVER STATE PARK AND LAKE ST.
HELEN.

DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES BETWEEN ANOTHER ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAIN 
MAY FALL ACROSS OGEMAW AND ROSCOMMON COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM EDT. 

NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
GAYLORD.

LAT...LON 4424 8485 4418 8476 4418 8434 4420 8391
          4428 8391 4442 8390 4435 8466

$$
337 
RWUS32 KAPX 100116
FFSAPX
MIC129-143-100145-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
915 PM EDT SUN MAY 9 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR OGEMAW AND ROSCOMMON COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE THUNDERSTORMS 
WHICH PRODUCED THE HEAVY RAINS HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. LOW LAND 
FLOODING WAS OBSERVED IN THE VICINITY OF HOUGHTON LAKE ALONG THE 
MUSKEGON RIVER...AND IN OGEMAW COUNTY...WATER WAS REPORTEDLY COVERING 
PORTIONS OF BLACK ROAD IN PRESCOTT. WATER LEVELS HAVE BEGUN TO RECEDE 
AND NO OTHER FLOODING PROBLEMS HAVE BEEN REPORTED. THEREFORE...THE 
FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. 

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT. 

LAT...LON 4424 8485 4418 8476 4418 8434 4420 8391
          4428 8391 4442 8390 4435 8466

$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 10:24 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXGladwin2 hr
May 9, 4:13 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXMissaukee, Wexford6 hr
May 9, 5:40 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAPXArenac4 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2004Every flash flood warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.