Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 91, NWS Albuquerque, NM

June 19, 2004Union County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 19, 2004, 9:49 PM MDT for Union County, New Mexico. It was in force for 56 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 19, 2004, 9:49 PM MDT (03:49 UTC)
Expired: Jun 19, 2004, 10:45 PM MDT
In force: 56 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Union County, NM

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 191 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1049 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -72 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1226 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 164 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

079 
WUUS55 KABQ 200349
SVRABQ
NMC059-200445-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
948 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN UNION COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 1045 PM MDT

* AT 945 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER SOUTHWESTERN UNION COUNTY...OR ABOUT 26
  MILES NORTHEAST OF MOSQUERO...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  OVER CLAPHAM AT 1035 PM MDT

SEVERE STORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS OF AT LEAST 60 MPH AND LARGE
HAIL. MOVE INDOORS AND AVOID WINDOWS.

HEAVY RAINS FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE SUDDEN AND
DANGEROUS FLOWS IN ARROYOS...DITCHES AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS. DO
NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY.

LAT...LON 3628 10336 3626 10322 3612 10323 3610 10337
          3611 10378 3630 10376
$$

KD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 19, 9:00 PM MDT, 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 19, 9:00 PM MDT, 49 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
900 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004

.UPDATE...LATEST UPPER LEVEL OBS INDICATE A THERMAL TROUGH ALOFT
WILL SWEEP ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NM TONIGHT...AND A MOIST SE
LOW LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES IN THOSE AREAS...SO I SPREAD SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS FOR LATE TONIGHT FURTHER WEST INTO NMZ004-011-015. ALSO
INCREASED SKYCOVER IN THE EAST TO MATCH THE LATEST SATELLITE TRENDS.
LOOKS LIKE THE FRONT IS TAKING ITS TIME TO RETREAT TO THE
NORTHEAST...SO WE SHOULD SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF LOW CLOUDS FOR THE
NORTHEAST LATE TONIGHT. DLC

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...311 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004
ACTIVE WEATHER STARTING TO HAPPEN NOW JUST E OF
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN SO THIS NEEDS TO BE SHORT. BEEFED UP POPS
SOME FOR THIS EVENING...MAINLY AREAS BETWEEN CENTRAL MTN CHAIN AND
WEST EDGE OF EASTERN BORDER COUNTIES. ALSO ADDED RISK OF SEVERE...
BUT AM STILL WONDERING IF ENVIRONMENT MAINLY E OF PECOS RIVER WILL
BE RIPE ENOUGH TO SUSTAIN ANYTHING MORE THAN AN ISOLATED PULSE
SEVERE OR NOT THROUGH THE EVENING. AREA RETAINED CLOUDS AND THUS
COOLER THAN 24 HOURS PREVIOUS...CURRENTLY RUNNING 5 TO 12 DEGREES
COOLER...THOUGH LOW CLOUDS OF THE MORNING NOW ALMOST ALL GONE.
DECIDED TO MENTION SEVERE FOR NOW...GOING FOR AREAS IN AND EVEN A
LITTLE S OF LATEST SPC DAY 1 RISK AREA. DISCUSSED THE POSSIBILITY
OF FLASH FLOOD WATCH ISSUANCE FOR PORTIONS OF NE NM...MAINLY IN
VICINITY OF COLFAX COUNTY AND FAR W UNION...BUT FEEL AREAS THAT HAD
ENOUGH ANTECEDENT RAIN LAST DAY OR SO TO WARRANT CONSIDERATION ARE
TOO SMALL FOR A BLANKET-TYPE ISSUANCE LIKE A WATCH...PLUS
LOCATION OF BEST HEAVY RAIN FOCUSING AREA NOT CERTAIN ENOUGH TO DO
SO. BEST FOR EVENING CREW TO WATCH RADAR AND OTHER TRENDS TO SEE IF
A STRONG FOCUSED AREA DEVELOPS OVER VICINITY OF PREVIOUS HEAVY
RAINS. OTHER CHANGES MADE FARTHER OUT BUT NO TIME TO DISCUSS HEAR.
MORE OFTEN THAN NOT PREVIOUS FORECAST TRENDS FOLLOWED. 43

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

44

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 19, 6:00 AM MDT, 15 hours 49 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004

NMZ001>021-026-201200-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WESTCENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
600 AM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EAST SLOPES
OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL
BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. LOCALLY HEAVY THUNDERSTORM RAINS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE FROM THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN OVER THE
PLAINS...AND MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND SUDDEN
RISES OF WATER IN NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS AND STREAMBEDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER FAR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY FROM AROUND 200 PM TO 900
PM IN UNION...HARDING...QUAY...CURRY...ROOSEVELT..COLFAX...
MORA...SAN MIGUEL...GUADALUPE...EASTERN TORRANCE...DE BACA...CHAVES
AND EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES.  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN UNION COUNTY.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 19, 4:22 PM MDT, 5 hours 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
422 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HAIL             4 S MAXWELL             36.48N 104.54W
06/19/2004  0.88 INCH        COLFAX             NM   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

JM

Local storm report, Jun 19, 5:13 PM MDT, 4 hours 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
513 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     HAIL             4 S MAXWELL             36.48N 104.54W
06/19/2004  0.88 INCH        COLFAX             NM   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

JM

Local storm report, Jun 19, 5:31 PM MDT, 4 hours 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
531 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0517 PM     HAIL             15 SW LAS VEGAS         35.45N 105.41W
06/19/2004  0.75 INCH        SAN MIGUEL         NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JM

Local storm report, Jun 19, 5:44 PM MDT, 4 hours 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
544 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     HAIL             11 SE PECOS             35.46N 105.54W
06/19/2004  1.00 INCH        SAN MIGUEL         NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JM

Local storm report, Jun 19, 6:28 PM MDT, 3 hours 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
628 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     HAIL             15 NE ABBOTT            36.46N 104.07W
06/19/2004  1.25 INCH        COLFAX             NM   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

JM

Local storm report, Jun 19, 7:49 PM MDT, 2 hours before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
749 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     HAIL             4 N GLADSTONE           36.36N 103.97W
06/19/2004  1.75 INCH        UNION              NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 19, 6:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax	60 min
Jun 19, 6:36 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	54 min
Jun 19, 6:45 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Colfax	30 min
Jun 19, 7:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax	30 min
Jun 19, 7:30 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	60 min
Jun 19, 8:30 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	60 min
Jun 20, 1:04 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Harding	56 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.