Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 196, NWS Albuquerque, NM
NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 12, 2004, 3:12 PM MDT for Colfax County, New Mexico. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 12, 2004, 3:12 PM MDT (21:12 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 12, 2004, 4:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 48 min
- Issued by
- NWS Albuquerque, NM
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Colfax County, NM
The radar
The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 199 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2:15 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 275 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 249 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -189 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 810 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 123 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 138 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WUUS55 KABQ 122112
SVRABQ
NMC007-122200-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHEL WEAVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
312NP
D1 THU AUG 12 2004
THENT
OHAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBEQIE QLE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL COLFAX COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
* UNTIL 400 PM MDT
* AT 312 PM MDT. .MATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DEPVLCR RADAR INDICATED A
SEVR
HENDERSTORM 8 MILES EAST OF RATTNOCREWS AIRPORT...OR ABOUT
11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RATON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
OVER RURAL EASTERN COLTAR OUNTY
SEVERE STORMS PSOOUME DAMAGING WINDS OF AT LEAS T0LMPH AND LARGE
HAIL UP HOIT EPSIZE OF GOLF BALLS. MOVE INDOORS AND AVOID WINDOWS.
LAT...LON 3681 10412 3679 10402 3670 10401 3641 10401
3638 10405 3631 10415 3675 10454 3685 50 42
3688 10439
$03What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 12, 3:00 PM MDT, 12 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 12, 3:00 PM MDT, 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 300 PM MDT THU AUG 12 2004 CORRECTED WATCH LIST AT BOTTOM .DISCUSSION...PASSING SHORTWAVES AND JET STREAKS IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL WORK WITH MOIST EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW AT LOWER LEVELS TO PUT CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS AT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS THROUGH SATURDAY. A FEW STRONG STORMS COULD ALSO DEVELOP IN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...IF STEERING FLOW AROUND ARIZONA/S 500 MB RIDGE ORIENTS PROPERLY TO SEND JEMEZ THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHWARD ALONG THE RIVER. THIS SCENARIO FAVORS THE DEVELOPMENT OF NIGHT TIME PRESSURE GRADIENTS THAT WILL WORK WITH THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS FROM STORMS ON THE EASTERN PLAINS TO DEVELOP EAST WINDS BELOW CANYONS OPENING INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TONIGHT...FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT. TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT/S EAST WINDS LOOK THE STRONGEST AT SPEEDS FROM 25 TO 35 MPH. DURING THE WEEKEND...SHORTWAVES FROM THE WEST WILL WEAKEN THE RIDGE AND USE AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO KEEP CONVECTION ACTIVE AREAWIDE DURING AFTERNOONS AND THROUGHOUT MUCH OF EACH NIGHT. FORTUNATELY...THE POLAR JET STREAM WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST BY SUNDAY...DECREASING THE SHEAR MOSTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR THE RECENT UPTICK IN SEVERE WEATHER. THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK WILL BRING WEAK WESTERLY FLOW AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE LEE TROUGH THAT WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE MOISTURE AREAWIDE. HOWEVER...MINOR PERTURBATIONS IN THE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP MAINLY ISOLATED LATE DAY CONVECTION MOST AREAS. LATE WEDNESDAY...MODELS INDICATE THE RIDGE WILL REBUILD OVER ARIZONA. THIS WILL ALLOW NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TO REDEVELOP AND SHOULD NUDGE ANOTHER BACK DOOR COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO ANOTHER UPTICK IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DURING THE MID TO LATER HALF OF NEXT WEEK. DLC && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... FARMINGTON................ 060/093 060/088 060 44011 GALLUP.................... 052/086 052/082 055 44122 GRANTS.................... 052/085 052/081 054 44112 GLENWOOD.................. 061/091 061/087 063 44333 CHAMA..................... 047/078 045/075 046 44322 LOS ALAMOS................ 054/079 053/077 054 44322 RED RIVER................. 042/071 041/067 040 44332 TAOS...................... 049/078 050/078 049 44332 SANTA FE.................. 054/079 053/077 054 44333 SANTA FE AIRPORT.......... 056/081 055/080 056 44333 ESPANOLA.................. 056/083 056/083 057 44322 ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS....... 065/086 064/083 065 44323 ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY........ 065/087 065/083 066 44323 ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS..... 062/083 062/081 063 44323 ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA..... 064/086 063/083 064 44222 SOCORRO................... 061/089 062/085 063 44313 SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST... 056/078 055/075 056 44333 MORIARTY/ESTANCIA......... 050/080 049/078 050 44335 CARRIZOZO................. 057/083 059/080 059 44424 RUIDOSO................... 053/076 055/074 055 44535 RATON..................... 050/074 048/074 049 44543 LAS VEGAS................. 053/073 050/076 051 44544 ROY....................... 054/074 053/078 054 44543 CLAYTON................... 055/073 055/079 056 44543 SANTA ROSA................ 059/081 059/083 060 44545 TUCUMCARI................. 060/080 060/083 061 44644 FORT SUMNER............... 060/082 061/084 062 44624 CLOVIS.................... 060/079 060/082 061 44624 PORTALES.................. 060/080 061/083 061 44624 ROSWELL................... 065/085 065/085 065 44525 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 800 PM MDT NMZ002<007-010<013-016<021. && 44
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 12, 10:47 AM MDT, 4 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 1047 AM MDT THU AUG 12 2004 UPDATED DAY ONE AND SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT NMZ001>021-131200- CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS- CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS- CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY- FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-HARDING COUNTY- LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY- MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS- NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY- ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS- SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY- WESTCENTRAL MOUNTAINS- 1047 AM MDT THU AUG 12 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. .DAY ONE...TODAY THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY EASTWARD TO NEW MEXICO/S EASTERN BORDER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. HAIL TO AROUND ONE INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS. FURTHERMORE...TORRENTIAL RAIN COULD CAUSE ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING AND ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY DEVELOP. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY BETWEEN 300 PM AND MIDNIGHT IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...RIO ARRIBA...SANTA FE...SANDOVAL...BERNALILLO...VALENCIA...SOCORRO...TAOS... COLFAX...UNION...MORA...HARDING...SAN MIGUEL...QUAY...TORRANCE... GUADALUPE...DE BACA...CURRY... ROOSEVELT...LINCOLN AND CHAVES. 44
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Aug 12, 2:40 PM MDT, 32 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 240 PM MDT THU AUG 12 2004 NMZ004>007-011>013-016>021-122200- CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS- CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS- CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY- FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-HARDING COUNTY- LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS- QUAY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS- 240 PM MDT THU AUG 12 2004 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TONIGHT FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO... STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO DURING MID AFTERNOON THEN MOVE STEADILY SOUTH THROUGH EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO DURING LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. STORMS NOW STRETCH FROM NEAR RATON SOUTH ALONG INTERSTATE 25 NEAR LAS VEGAS. A PERIOD OF RAPID STORM DEVELOPMENT AND INTENSIFICATION TO SEVERE LEVELS WITH POSSIBLE DAMAGING WINDS OF GREATER THAN 60 MPH AND 2 INCH DIAMETER HAIL IS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO BETWEEN 3 PM AND 8 PM TODAY. THE GREATEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ALONG AND EAST OF LINE FROM TAOS TO SANTA FE TO EDGEWOOD TO MOUNTAINAIR AND TO RUIDOSO. THE THREAT AREA EXTENDS EAST TO CLAYTON...TUCUMCARI...CLOVIS...PORTALES AND ROSWELL. REMAIN ALERT TO STRONG STORMS MOVING NORTH TO SOUTH AND CONTINUE TO LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS FOR YOUR AREA THIS AFTERNOON. 03
The office that day
Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 6:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Torrance | 48 min |
| Aug 11, 7:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Lincoln, Socorro | 43 min |
| Aug 11, 9:35 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | ABQ | Lincoln | 55 min |
| Aug 12, 2:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Mora | 33 min |
| Aug 12, 3:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | San Miguel | 48 min |
| Aug 12, 3:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Colfax | 47 min |
| Aug 12, 4:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Guadalupe | 42 min |
| Aug 12, 4:36 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | San Miguel | 39 min |
| Aug 12, 4:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Guadalupe | 60 min |
| Aug 12, 5:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Guadalupe | 58 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.