Flash Flood Warning 35, NWS Albuquerque, NM

000 
WGUS75 KABQ 200419
FFSABQ
NMC039-049-200530-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1017 PM MDT SUN SEP 19 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME 
SOUTHEASTERN RIO ARRIBA AND NORTHEASTERN SANTA FE COUNTIES IN 
NEW MEXICO UNTIL 1130 PM MDT...

HEAVY RAINS THAT FELL EARLIER IN THE EVENING BETWEEN SANTA FE AND 
POJOAQUE HAD ENDED. HOWEVER...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 
INDICATED THAT ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE 
WARNED AREA.  

AT 900 PM...LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS AND SPOTTER REPORTS INDICATED 
FLASH FLOODING ALONG HIGHWAY 285 NEAR THE TESUQUE PUEBLO...WITH MUD AND 
DEBRIS WASHED ACROSS PARTS OF THE HIGHWAY IN THE CONSTRUCTION AREAS.  
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CREATE ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IT IS VERY DIFFICULT AT NIGHT TO TELL HOW MUCH 
WATER IS ON ROADS. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FAST MOVING WATER OR WATER OF 
UNKNOWN DEPTH.

$$

KJ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
903 PM MDT SUN SEP 19 2004

.UPDATE...WILL CONTINUE THE FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING FOR
COUNTIES ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN THROUGH 4 AM.
WILL ALSO ALLOW FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING TO EXPIRE FOR ZONES
ALONG AND WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. HOWEVER...THE STRONGEST
VORTMAX ASSOCIATED WITH THE FORMER HURRICANE WILL MOVE DIRECTLY
ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND LOWER PORTION OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY IN
ROUTE TO THE NORTHEAST PLAINS BETWEEN NOW AND MIDNIGHT...SO WE
INCREASED THE POPS TO NUMEROUS FROM THE MIDDLE AND LOWER
VALLEY...ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS...AS WELL AS THE
NORTHEAST PLAINS. ALL OF THESE AREAS HAVE A GOOD CHANCE OF SEEING
AROUND AND INCH OF ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATION AS THIS VORMAX
PASSES. 44

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...300 PM MDT SUN SEP 19 2004
WILL CONTINUE FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING WRN
ZONES THROUGH THIS EVENING AND CNTRL AND ERN ZONES THROUGH TONIGHT
WITH DECENT MOISTURE PLUME CONTINUING. REMAINS OF JAVIER SEEN ON
SATELLITE APPROACHING SW NM AND WILL CROSS THE STATE TONIGHT FROM SW
TO NE. MORE POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN THUS EXPECTED TONIGHT ESPECIALLY
CNTRL AND E ZONES.

STRONG TROUGH OVER PACIFIC COAST TO SLOWLY ADVANCE E EARLY THIS
COMING WEEK AND FINALLY CROSS NM WED AND WED NIGHT. ETA STILL SLOWER
AND FARTHER S WITH THE TROUGH AND CLOSES LOW OFF OVER THE GREAT
BASIN LATER MON NIGHT AND TUE. STRONG 130KT JET ON BACKSIDE OF
TROUGH NOW SO WOULD EXPECT IT TO DEEPEN AND SLOW SOME. WILL CONTINUE
WITH SCATTERED POPS ALL AREAS MON...THEN ISOLATED W AND SCATTERED E
TUE...THEN DRY W AND ISOLATED E ON WED. TROUGH SHOULD FINALLY MOVE
E ON THU AND WILL CONTINUE DRY FORECAST DESPITE GFS INSISTING ON
SOME RETURN FLOW MOISTURE ALREADY.

WILL ADD 10 POPS INTO THE SC AND SW MOUNTAINS FOR FRI WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE OF LOW CHANCE POPS FOR NEXT WEEKEND. CHJ
&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING THROUGH TONIGHT CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
CHAIN AND EAST TO THE TEXAS BORDER.
&&

44

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT SUN SEP 19 2004

NMZ001>021-026-201200-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WESTCENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
545 AM MDT SUN SEP 19 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY
STRONG WITH ONE OR TWO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO LATE THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. MAIN THREATS WILL BE WINDS POSSIBLY EXCEEDING 50 MPH AND
LARGE HAIL UP TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER.

THE OTHER CONCERN FOR TODAY WILL EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. PLENTY OF
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM NORTHWARD FROM THE TROPICAL PACIFIC WITH
WIDESPREAD RAIN BECOMING HEAVIER AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
INCREASE LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE
ANYWHERE IN THE AREA TODAY CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING FOR EASTERN
AREAS. AREAS OF HIGHEST CONCERN WILL BE ALONG THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
CHAIN AND ADJACENT HIGHLANDS WERE SOME AREAS HAVE SEEN OVER AN INCH
OF RAIN OVERNIGHT. WESTERN AREAS WILL HAVE A HIGH POTENTIAL AS
THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH FROM THE WEST LATER THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE
EXPECTED TO LINGER. CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS WILL SEE THE BEST
CHANCES FOR SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER IT MAY BE NECESSARY
IF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST DEVELOP.