Alert archive / New Mexico / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004
Flash Flood Warning 32, NWS Albuquerque, NM
NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this flash flood warning at Aug 14, 2004, 7:46 PM MDT for Quay County, New Mexico. It was in force for 119 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 14, 2004, 7:46 PM MDT (01:46 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 14, 2004, 9:45 PM MDT
- In force
- 119 min
- Issued by
- NWS Albuquerque, NM
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Quay County, NM
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 137 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1362 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -7 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 875 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 106 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 262 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.0
- Supercell composite
- 5.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS55 KABQ 150146 FFWABQ NMC037-150345- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 746 PM MDT SAT AUG 14 2004 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL QUAY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO * UNTIL 945 PM MDT * AT 737 PM MDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED FLASH FLOODING OVER EAST CENTRAL QUAY COUNTY...AROUND GLENRIO...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH. RADAR HAS ESTIMATED AROUND TWO INCHES OF RAIN FROM THIS SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORM...WITH ANOTHER ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN LIKELY THROUGH 945 PM MDT. * THE THUNDERSTORM WITH EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL BE... OVER RURAL EASTERN QUAY COUNTY BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. LAT...LON 3521 10307 3543 10308 3538 10344 3513 10340 $$ 40
1 follow-up statement
000 WGUS75 KABQ 150232 FFSABQ NMC037-150345- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 832 PM MDT SAT AUG 14 2004 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL QUAY COUNTY IN NEW MEXICO UNTIL 945 PM MDT... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WAS CONTINUING OVER THE WARNED AREA. ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. IT IS VERY DIFFICULT AT NIGHT TO TELL HOW MUCH WATER IS ON ROADS. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FAST MOVING WATER OR WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. $$ 40
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 14, 2:30 PM MDT, 5 hours 16 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 14, 2:30 PM MDT, 5 hours 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 230 PM MDT SAT AUG 14 2004 .DISCUSSION...CONVECTION FIRING OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN AGAIN TODAY DESPITE MORE CONVECTIVE DEBRIS HANGING AROUND THIS MORNING TO INHIBIT HEATING. LIKE YESTERDAY...LARGE HAIL THREAT EXISTS AS 500 MB TEMPERATURES AROUND -10C. UNLIKE YESTERDAY...WE HAVE A MORE DEFINED MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH WHICH SHOWED UP ON THE MORNING ANALYSIS AND IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THUS...STORMS MAY HAVE LONGER DURATION UPDRAFTS AND MAY HAVE MORE SUCCESS MAINTAINING ORGANIZATION OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. IN ANY EVENT...SEVERE THREAT SHOULD SUBSIDE AROUND SUNSET. ELSEWHERE...THUNDERSTORMS FORMED ALONG OLD OUTLOW BOUNDARY IN ROOSEVELT COUNTY. THESE ARE LACKING UPPER SUPPORT AT THIS TIME AND DYING A SLOW DEATH. UPPER CIRCULATION OVER SW NM WILL EJECT A WAVE EASTWARD WHICH MAY EVENTUALLY ENHANCE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL IN THE SOUTHEAST...SO HAVE MAINTAINED SCATTERED POPS THERE OVERNIGHT. MORNING ANALYSIS ALSO SHOWED A SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER NEVADA...WHICH ROUNDS THE RIDGE AND HEADS BACK TOWARD NE NM MONDAY AFTERNOON...SO HAVE TWEAKED POPS UP A TAD THEN. THE OTHER FEATURES EVIDENT WERE A SMALL SCALE CIRCULATION NEAR THE NM BOOTHEEL AND THE MORE BROAD TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC. AN UPPER CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO BE HELD ONTO BY THE GFS IN SOME FORM OR ANOTHER OVER THE WESTERN CWFA INTO MID WEEK. ITS POSITION TONIGHT AND SUNDAY COULD ENCOURAGE STORMS TO TRACK UP THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY IN A MONSOON-LIKE FASHION...ALBEIT WITHOUT THE SURGE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE...SO AREAL EXTENT STILL IN QUESTION. NEXT WEEK...THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWN MOVING ACROSS THE WRN AND THEN NRN CWFA...SO HAVE MANIPULATED POPS AND TEMPERATURES TO REFLECT THIS PATH...KD && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... FARMINGTON................ 060/087 061/084 060 19222 GALLUP.................... 055/081 054/080 054 19344 GRANTS.................... 053/082 052/080 053 19333 GLENWOOD.................. 062/082 062/085 062 19554 CHAMA..................... 047/076 048/075 047 19333 LOS ALAMOS................ 053/078 054/077 054 19333 RED RIVER................. 042/073 042/069 044 19433 TAOS...................... 049/079 049/078 051 19333 SANTA FE.................. 053/078 054/077 054 19333 SANTA FE AIRPORT.......... 055/081 055/080 056 19333 ESPANOLA.................. 056/083 057/082 057 19333 ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS....... 064/083 064/084 064 19323 ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY........ 064/084 064/085 065 19323 ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS..... 061/081 062/082 062 19323 ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA..... 063/083 063/084 063 19323 SOCORRO................... 061/084 060/085 061 19423 SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST... 055/076 055/077 055 19333 MORIARTY/ESTANCIA......... 052/079 054/079 054 19444 CARRIZOZO................. 057/079 058/079 058 19523 RUIDOSO................... 053/071 054/073 055 19544 RATON..................... 050/078 050/080 052 19433 LAS VEGAS................. 050/076 050/077 051 19444 ROY....................... 054/077 055/079 055 19433 CLAYTON................... 057/079 058/083 058 19433 SANTA ROSA................ 058/083 058/085 059 19434 TUCUMCARI................. 061/083 061/086 061 19422 FORT SUMNER............... 060/083 060/085 061 19423 CLOVIS.................... 060/081 060/084 062 19422 PORTALES.................. 060/080 060/084 062 19432 ROSWELL................... 063/083 064/087 064 19533 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && 19
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 14, 6:00 AM MDT, 13 hours 46 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 600 AM MDT SAT AUG 14 2004 NMZ001>021-151200- CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS- CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS- CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY- FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-HARDING COUNTY- LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY- MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS- NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY- ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS- SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY- WESTCENTRAL MOUNTAINS- 600 AM MDT SAT AUG 14 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. .DAY ONE...TODAY THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. THIS INCLUDES THE AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS EAST TO THE TEXAS BORDER. HAIL TO AROUND ONE INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS. TORRENTIAL RAIN COULD CAUSE ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING. AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS EVEN POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...WATCHES...AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY BETWEEN 300 PM AND MIDNIGHT ACROSS NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... COLFAX...UNION...MORA...HARDING...SAN MIGUEL...AND QUAY. 16
In the hours before
Local storm report, Aug 14, 4:01 PM MDT, 3 hours 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
401 PM MDT SAT AUG 14 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0337 PM HAIL 4 SW CIMARRON 36.47N 104.96W
08/14/2004 0.75 INCH COLFAX NM TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
RTJThe office that day
Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 6:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Quay | 60 min |
| Aug 14, 7:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Quay | 60 min |
| Aug 14, 7:42 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | ABQ | Quay | 48 min |
| Aug 14, 9:17 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | ABQ | Quay | 118 min |
| Aug 14, 11:14 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | ABQ | Quay | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in New Mexico, 2004Every flash flood warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.