Alert archive / New Mexico / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004

Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Albuquerque, NM

June 16, 2004Roosevelt County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this flash flood warning at Jun 16, 2004, 6:16 PM MDT for Roosevelt County, New Mexico. It was in force for 119 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 16, 2004, 6:16 PM MDT (00:16 UTC)
Expired
Jun 16, 2004, 8:15 PM MDT
In force
119 min
Issued by
NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Roosevelt County, NM

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2004-06-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1653 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2004-06-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 36 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1653 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-142 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2254 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
145 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS55 KABQ 170017
FFWABQ
NMC041-170215-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
616 PM MDT WED JUN 16 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EAST CENTRAL ROOSEVELT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 815 PM MDT

* AT 611 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
HEAVY RAIN OVER PORTALES...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WITH EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL BE...
  6 MILES NORTH OF ARCH AT 630 PM MDT

DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. MANY FLASH
FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

BOTH LOCALIZED AND DISTANT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CREATE SUDDEN AND
DANGEROUS FLOWS IN ARROYOS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

LAT...LON 3429 10337 3411 10336 3408 10202 3444 10204
$$
1 follow-up statement
000 
WGUS75 KABQ 170109
FFSABQ
NMC041-170200-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
708 PM MDT WED JUN 16 2004

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN 
ROOSEVELT COUNTY IN NEW MEXICO UNTIL 815 PM MDT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY RAINFALL 
WAS CONTINUING OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN ROOSEVELT COUNTY ASSOCIATED 
WITH NUMEROUS STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ADDITIONAL FLASH 
FLOODING IS EXPECTED...PARTICULARLY AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE 
FROM ARCH TO DORA TO 10 MILES WEST OF MILNESAND. THE STORMS WERE 
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. RADAR HAS 
ESTIMATED WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 INCHES IN THE PAST HOUR.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL 
STREAMS...ARROYOS AND DITCHES...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS
WELL AS POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 16, 2:33 PM MDT, 3 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 16, 2:33 PM MDT, 3 hours 43 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
300 MDT WED JUN 16 2004

.DISCUSSION...RIDGE ACROSS SRN U.S. TO BUILD W OVER NM BY THE
WEEKEND. TROUGH TO OUR W NOW TO LIFT NE AND WEAKEN THU OVER NRN NM.
ANOTHER WEAK TROUGH MAY CROSS NM EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WILL KEEP THIS SHORT WITH SEVERE WEATHER ALREADY DEVELOPING. DRY
LINE BECOMING ACTIVE TODAY WITH DEEPER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HANGING IN
ACROSS MUCH OF THE ERN PLAINS THIS PM. WILL KEEP PRECIP IN MUCH OF
THE NIGHT ACROSS THE E. MODELS NOT SHOWING MUCH OF A WIND SHIFT NOW
INTO THE NE AND E TONIGHT WITH THE E WIND INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY
LOOKING MUCH LESS FAVORABLE. AM REMOVING FROM THE FORECAST BUT WILL
NEED TO MONITOR CONVECTION THIS EVENING AND WATCH FOR OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES MOVING W DURING THE NIGHT.

COULD BE A REPEAT ON THU CONCERNING CONVECTION WITH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE REMAINING ACROSS AT LEAST THE FAR ERN PLAINS. WILL KEEP
SLIGHT CHANCES IN FOR NRN MOUNTAINS AND MUCH OF THE E...WITH BEST
CHANCES AGAIN IN THE NE.

UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA FRI AND THIS WEEKEND. HAVE TRIMMED
LOW CHANCE POPS ON FRI A BIT WITH BETTER CAP IN PLACE AND MORE OF A
W FLOW...ALTHOUGH RATHER WEAK. ANOTHER FRONT STILL ADVERTISED INTO
THE NE FRI NIGHT/SAT ON THE ETA. THIS MAY ENHANCE STORMS ON SAT IN
THIS AREA. LITTLE CHANGE TO CURRENT FORECAST OVER THE WEEKEND. BACKED
OFF ON POPS FOR MON THOUGH AS NEXT SHORT WAVE TROUGH MAY INCREASE SW
FLOW AHEAD OF IT AND PUSH MOISTURE E. TROUGH THEN SWINGS THRU TUE
WITH LOW CHANCE POPS MAINLY N AND E...THEN DRY ON WED.

WE WILL CANCEL THE RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR WC AND PORTIONS
OF ERN NM INTO THIS EVENING. CHJ

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON................ 055/090 054/091 053 40001
GALLUP.................... 045/087 043/089 044 40000
GRANTS.................... 047/089 044/090 045 40000
GLENWOOD.................. 053/092 054/093 053 40000
CHAMA..................... 040/079 040/080 040 40111
LOS ALAMOS................ 051/084 050/087 048 40000
RED RIVER................. 039/073 039/074 039 40212
TAOS...................... 044/084 044/086 045 40112
SANTA FE.................. 049/085 049/087 050 40000
SANTA FE AIRPORT.......... 051/089 051/090 052 40000
ESPANOLA.................. 053/090 047/093 047 40000
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS....... 063/093 064/094 064 40000
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY........ 056/094 057/095 058 40000
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS..... 060/090 061/092 061 40000
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA..... 062/092 060/094 062 40000
SOCORRO................... 058/097 054/099 057 40000
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST... 055/084 056/087 056 40000
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA......... 048/088 049/090 049 40000
CARRIZOZO................. 060/093 058/095 059 40000
RUIDOSO................... 060/085 057/087 059 40000
RATON..................... 050/086 048/087 049 40212
LAS VEGAS................. 051/084 049/086 051 40111
ROY....................... 054/087 055/091 054 40222
CLAYTON................... 059/087 060/090 060 40222
SANTA ROSA................ 059/096 061/099 059 40111
TUCUMCARI................. 066/094 068/096 066 40222
FORT SUMNER............... 065/097 065/100 064 40111
CLOVIS.................... 065/095 065/096 065 40222
PORTALES.................. 066/096 065/097 067 40211
ROSWELL................... 068/100 068/101 067 40111
&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

40
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 16, 10:25 AM MDT, 7 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1025 AM MDT WED JUN 16 2004

NMZ001>021-026-171200-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WESTCENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
1025 AM MDT WED JUN 16 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN
PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN
THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY BETWEEN 2 AND 8 PM IN
UNION...HARDING...QUAY...EASTERN COLFAX AND SAN MIGUEL...CURRY AND
ROOSEVELT COUNTIES. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED IN THOSE SAME
AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AGAIN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

CHJ

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 16, 3:01 PM MDT, 3 hours 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
301 PM MDT WED JUN 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     TORNADO          3 E RATON               36.89N 104.39W
06/16/2004                   COLFAX             NM   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO ON GROUND FOR 15 MINUTES BETWEEN 145PM AND 200PM.
            TORNADO WAS ALONG U.S. ROUTE 64 BETWEEN 3 AND 6 MILES
            EAST OF RATON. NO DAMAGE REPORTED.

&&

CHJ
Local storm report, Jun 16, 3:06 PM MDT, 3 hours 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
306 PM MDT WED JUN 16 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     HAIL             5 N SPRINGER            36.44N 104.59W
06/16/2004  0.75 INCH        COLFAX             NM   PUBLIC

&&

CHJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 6:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQRoosevelt60 min
Jun 16, 6:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQCurry30 min
Jun 16, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQQuay62 min
Jun 16, 6:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQUnion68 min
Jun 16, 7:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQRoosevelt60 min
Jun 16, 8:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQRoosevelt45 min
Jun 16, 8:17 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningABQRoosevelt43 min
Jun 17, 3:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQQuay56 min
Jun 17, 4:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQQuay59 min
Jun 17, 5:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQUnion65 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New Mexico, 2004Every flash flood warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.