Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 428, NWS Tulsa, OK

December 22, 2003Rogers County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Dec 22, 2003, 5:33 PM CST for Rogers County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 22, 2003, 5:33 PM CST (23:33 UTC)
Expired
Dec 22, 2003, 6:15 PM CST
In force
42 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Rogers County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Dec 22, 3:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 162 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2003-12-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2003-12-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 398 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
740 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
398 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
529 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KTSA 222333
SVRTUL
OKC131-230015-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
533 PM CST MON DEC 22 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN ROGERS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 615 PM CST

* AT 533 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
  A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES WEST OF CHELSEA TO 17 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF CHELSEA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...CHELSEA.

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED 
IN THE WARNED AREA. STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE 
STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3660 9566 3635 9568 3660 9532 3661 9548

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Dec 22, 4:55 PM CST, 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 22, 4:55 PM CST, 38 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
455 PM CST MON DEC 22 2003

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
WHILE CONVECTION HAS INCREASED ACROSS THE AREA...CELL HAVE THUS FAR
REMAINED BELOW SEVERE LEVELS.  VILS IN THE LOW TO MID 30S AND 50 DBZ
CORES TO 20 TO 25 THOUSAND FEET ARE OUR INITIAL THRESHOLDS
UNTIL WE RECEIVE A REPORT.  SO FAR NOT EVEN A SMALL HAIL REPORT HAS
BEEN RECEIVED.

FORECAST ID= 08

.TSA...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 22, 3:45 PM CST, 1 hour 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
345 PM CST MON DEC 22 2003

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231200-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 9 PM CST FOR MUCH OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THIS AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE AREA. STORMS THAT
DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER MAINLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR. THE STRONGEST STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO AN INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND
GUSTS TO 65 MPH.  THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT AS
THE COLD FRONT SHIFTS EAST HOWEVER WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

TECHNICAL DISCUSSION...SURFACE DEW POINTS HAVE RISEN INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 50S ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. WITH COOLING
TEMPERATURES ALOFT...LIFTED INDEX VALUES OF MINUS 2 TO MINUS 4
DEGREES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED FROM SOUTH CENTRAL THROUGH NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. THE SUB-CLOUD LAYER REMAINS RELATIVELY DRY...HOWEVER
STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND LAPSE RATES OF 7-8C/KM WILL SUSTAIN THE
STRONGER UPDRAFTS.  SHEAR VECTOR ORIENTATION SUGGESTS A LINEAR MCS
WITH EMBEDDED BOW ECHOS WHILE LOW WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS /<8000FT
AGL/ SUPPORT HAIL OF SEVERE CRITERIA.

WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE
FOUND IN THE OUTLOOK SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA. GIVEN
PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT
YOUR LOCATION.

SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING
PRIMARILY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
COOLER AND DRY WEATHER RETURNS FOR TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
GRADUALLY WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL READINGS BY THE WEEKEND.  RAIN
CHANCES RETURN BY SATURDAY AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT MOVES TOWARD THE
REGION.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND
GRAPHICAL INFORMATION

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Dec 22, 3:23 PM CST, 2 hours 10 minutes before
ARZ001>002-010>011-019>020-029-OKZ049-053-060>063-065>076-230300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
323 PM CST MON DEC 22 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 982
UNTIL 900 PM CST MONDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 7 COUNTIES...
IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS:

BENTON                CARROLL               CRAWFORD
MADISON               WASHINGTON

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS:

FRANKLIN              SEBASTIAN

IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 18 COUNTIES...
IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA:

CHEROKEE              MUSKOGEE              OKFUSKEE
SEQUOYAH

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA:

ADAIR                 DELAWARE              MAYES
OKMULGEE              ROGERS                TULSA
WAGONER

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA:

CHOCTAW               HASKELL               LATIMER
LE FLORE              MCINTOSH              PITTSBURG
PUSHMATAHA

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ANTLERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
BROKEN ARROW...CEDARVILLE...CHARLESTON...CLAREMORE...CLAYTON...
EUFAULA...EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT SMITH...HUGO...
HUNTSVILLE...JAY...MCALESTER...MOUNTAINBURG...MUSKOGEE...NATURAL
DAM...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...OZARK...POTEAU...PRYOR...ROGERS...
SALLISAW...SAND SPRINGS...SILOAM SPRINGS...SPRINGDALE...STIGLER...
STILWELL...TAHLEQUAH...TULSA...VAN BUREN...WAGONER AND WILBURTON.
Special weather statement, Dec 22, 3:46 PM CST, 1 hour 47 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
346 PM CST MON DEC 22 2003

OKZ060-064-222245-
CREEK OK-TULSA OK-
346 PM CST MON DEC 22 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 445 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     TULSA AND CREEK

AT 346 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 2 MILES
WEST OF KIEFER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL
BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...GRAY...TULSA...JENKS...OWASSO...
GLENPOOL...KIEFER AND SAPULPA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH.
Special weather statement, Dec 22, 5:02 PM CST, 31 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
502 PM CST MON DEC 22 2003

OKZ056-061-230000-
NOWATA OK-ROGERS OK-
502 PM CST MON DEC 22 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 600 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NOWATA AND ROGERS

AT 502 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 2 MILES WEST OF TALALA TO 15 MILES SOUTH OF
OOLOGAH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...NEW ALLUWE...NOWATA...DELAWARE...
WATOVA...OOLOGAH AND TALALA.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 22, 5:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Tulsa31 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.