Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 379, NWS Tulsa, OK

August 18, 2003Madison County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 18, 2003, 2:49 PM CDT for Madison County, Arkansas. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 18, 2003, 2:49 PM CDT (19:49 UTC)
Expired
Aug 18, 2003, 3:30 PM CDT
In force
41 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Madison County, AR

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2003-08-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 863 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2003-08-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -2 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
863 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-105 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1899 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KTSA 181949
SVRTUL
ARC087-182030-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
248 PM CDT MON AUG 18 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT

* AT 248 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 2    
  MILES NORTHWEST OF HUNTSVILLE. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.


* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM                         
  INCLUDE...HUNTSVILLE...  WESLEY...HINDSVILLE...FORUM AND JAPTON.

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED
IN THE WARNED AREA. STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE
STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3610 9361 3623 9376 3608 9401 3590 9380

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 18, 1:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 18, 1:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
100 PM CDT MON AUG 18 2003

ISOLATED THUNDER OCCURRING IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND HAVE UPDATED TO
INCLUDE IN FORECAST.  OTHER CHANGE IF FORECAST IS WIND WORDING AS
WINDS HAVE BECOME DEFINITIVE FROM THE SOUTH IN MOST PLACES AND
PROBABLY WILL ELSEWHERE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.  TEMPS NOT CHANGED
MUCH. STILL LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE AS HOT AS YESTERDAY.

.TSA...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.

ABBAS
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 18, 12:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1230 PM CDT MON AUG 18 2003

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ALTHOUGH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.  THE MAIN STORY WILL BE THE HEAT WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE 100 AND HEAT INDEXES TOPPING OUT IN THE
105 TO 110 DEGREE RANGE. THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DISSIPATE AROUND
SUNSET.

WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE
FOUND IN THE OUTLOOK SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA. GIVEN
PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT
YOUR LOCATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
HOT AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.