Severe Thunderstorm Warning 357, NWS Tulsa, OK

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
853 PM CDT SAT AUG 2 2003

NOT MUCH GOING ON.  BOUNDARY WOULD APPEAR TO BE NEAR THE RED RIVER
BUT THERE IS NOT ANY ACTIVITY ALONG IT YET.  HAVE MY DOUBTS AS TO
WHETHER THERE EVER WILL BE...AT LEAST TONIGHT.  THE 18Z MESOETA DOES
NOT DEVELOP THE QPF IN THE SOUTH THAT THE 12Z RUN DID.  INSTEAD IT
CHOOSES TO HOLD OFF THE RAIN TIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON.  DO NOT THINK
IT WOULD BE WISE TO DROP POPS ALTOGETHER TONIGHT AND REALLY DO NOT
THINK CAN LIMIT THE POPS TO ANY ONE AREA LOOKING AT THE ACCAS OUT
THE WINDOW.  THUS...HAVE DECIDED TO BROADBRUSH 20 POPS EVERYWHERE
TONIGHT.  WITH ONLY A FEW CLOUDS AROUND HAVE ADJUSTED THE SKY GRIDS
SO IT WILL MAKE THE FORECAST SAY PARTLY CLOUDY EVEN IN THE SOUTHEAST.
UPDATE WILL BE OUT SHORTLY.

.TSA...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.

ABBAS

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1035 AM CDT SAT AUG 02 2003

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

A WEAKENING COMPLEX OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
ALONG ANY RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES PRODUCED FROM THIS MORNINGS
STORMS...MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.

AS THE LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS TONIGHT...ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS
MAY ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST-CENTRAL
ARKANSAS.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP.

WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE
FOUND IN THE OUTLOOK SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA. GIVEN
PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT
YOUR LOCATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN FORECAST FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS DISTURBANCES MOVE SOUTHEAST OVER THE UPPER
RIDGE.

.SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...SPOTTER
ACTIVATION WILL MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA

OKZ054>055-057>076-031300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
233 AM CDT SUN AUG 3 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
833 UNTIL 800 AM CDT SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 23 COUNTIES...
IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA:

CHEROKEE              MUSKOGEE              OKFUSKEE
SEQUOYAH

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA:

ADAIR                 CRAIG                 CREEK
DELAWARE              MAYES                 OKMULGEE
OSAGE                 OTTAWA                PAWNEE
ROGERS                TULSA                 WAGONER
WASHINGTON            NOWATA

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA:

HASKELL               LATIMER               LE FLORE
MCINTOSH              PITTSBURG

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BARTLESVILLE...BRISTOW...BROKEN ARROW...
CLAREMORE...EUFAULA...JAY...MCALESTER...MIAMI...MUSKOGEE...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...PAWHUSKA...PAWNEE...POTEAU...PRYOR...SALLISAW...SAND
SPRINGS...STIGLER...STILWELL...TAHLEQUAH...TULSA...VINITA...WAGONER
AND WILBURTON.