Severe Thunderstorm Warning 303, NWS Tulsa, OK

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
605 AM CDT SUN JUL 13 2003

UPDATING ZONES TO PUSH POPS IN NW AR COUNTIES FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THAT AREA THIS AM. SHOULD ONLY CONTINUE FOR A FEW HOURS BEFORE
WEAKENING. BUT SEVERAL GROUND TRUTH REPORTS OF 3/4 TO 1.5 INCH HAIL
FROM THESE STORMS.

FORECAST ID= 15

.TSA...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-141100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CDT SAT JUL 12 2003

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

...CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS THE LOW LEVEL JET
REMAINS ACTIVE ACROSS THE AREA. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE
SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE AS THE
ELEVATED INSTABILITIES REMAIN HIGH. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH BY MID-MORNING AS THE LOW LEVEL JET WEAKENS.

A FEW ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AS
THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE AREA DESTABILIZES DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY
AND A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE AS WELL WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE.

WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE
FOUND IN THE OUTLOOK SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA. GIVEN
PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT
YOUR LOCATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HOT AND DRY MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE.

.SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...SPOTTER
ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA

OKZ069-130930-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
405 AM CDT SUN JUL 13 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 430 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN ADAIR

AT 405 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES
NORTHWEST OF BUNCH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...STILWELL AND BUNCH.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
0545 AM CDT SUN JUL 13 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0535 AM    SILOAM SPRINGS            AR   1.50 IN HAIL
07/13/03   BENTON                         COUNTY 911 OPERATOR
                                          REPORTED POLICE REPORTING
                                          1.5 INCH HAIL

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
0620 AM CDT SUN JUL 13 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0619 AM    FAYETTEVILLE              AR   1.75 IN HAIL
07/13/03   WASHINGTON                     HAIL INCREASED TO GOLF
                                          BALL SIZE

0615 AM    FAYETTEVILLE              AR   1.25 IN HAIL
07/13/03   WASHINGTON                     HAIL INCREASED TO HALF
                                          DOLLAR SIZE

0610 AM    FAYETTEVILLE              AR   1.00 IN HAIL
07/13/03   WASHINGTON                     HAIL FALLING FROM 6:10 TO
                                          6:15 QUARTER SIZE

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