Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 290, NWS Tulsa, OK
NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 11, 2003, 10:53 PM CDT for Carroll County, Arkansas. It was in force for 52 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 11, 2003, 10:53 PM CDT (03:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 11, 2003, 11:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 52 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tulsa, OK
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Carroll County, AR
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 9:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1159 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1763 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 55 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 67 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 309 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 4.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WUUS54 KTSA 120353
SVRTUL
ARC015-120445-
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1052 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR
CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
* UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
* AT 1052 PM CDT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS
UP TO 80 MPH WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 23 MILES
NORTHEAST OF OAK GROVE TO 6 MILES NORTH OF OAK GROVE TO 10 MILES
NORTHWEST OF BEAVER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE... OAK GROVE...BERRYVILLE...EUREKA
SPRINGS...OSAGE...GREEN FOREST...RUDD...CARROLLTON...RULE...
URBANETTE...GRANDVIEW AND BEAVER.
THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT A LARGE PORTION OF THE WARNED AREA WITH
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE COVER
FROM THESE STORMS.
THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE EXTENSIVE PROPERTY DAMAGE - TAKE COVER NOW
IF NO UNDERGROUND SHELTER IS AVAILABLE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON
THE LOWEST FLOOR. ABANDON MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES FOR MORE
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS
LAT...LON 3665 9300 3659 9352 3657 9399 3607 9341
3599 9284 3606 9233
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 11, 9:35 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 11, 9:35 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA 935 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2003 CONVECTION GRADUALLY FILLING IN ALONG STRENGTHENING BOUNDARY WHILE INDIVIDUAL CELLS ARE GAINING A MORE SOUTHERLY COMPONENT TO THEIR MOVEMENT. SEVERE WEATHER PARAMETERS /DEEP LAYER SHEAR...ELEVATED INSTABILITY/ REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR A CONTINUATION OF A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. A NEW WEATHER WATCH WILL BE FORTHCOMING. WILL TAPER POPS OFF FURTHER SOUTH AS INSTABILITY AND FORCING REALLY TAPERS OFF. FORECAST ID= 07 .TSA... AR...NONE. OK...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 11, 4:40 PM CDT, 6 hours 13 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-121100- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 440 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2003 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA. .DAY ONE...TODAY SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK ...CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT... THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS IN THE VICINITY OF A WEAK COLD FRONT. THE AIRMASS SOUTH OF THE FRONT HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AND THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOP WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD APPROACHING NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA BY LATE EVENING. THE FAVORED AREA FOR OVERNIGHT SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. WINDS ALOFT AND ABUNDANT INSTABILITY ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITH HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WINDS TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE HIGHEST ACROSS NORTHERN LOCATIONS OVERNIGHT WITH CHANCES GRADUALLY SHIFTING SOUTHWARD DURING SATURDAY MORNING. WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE FOUND IN THE OUTLOOK SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA. GIVEN PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT YOUR LOCATION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO SATURDAY AS THE COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE AIRMASS REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE ACROSS THE AREA. THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH ON SUNDAY AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO NORTHERN TEXAS. MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL BE HOT AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT. .SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT...MAINLY FOR AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 11, 9:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
ARZ001>002-010-OKZ055>058-061>063-068>069-120800- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 942 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #729 UNTIL 300 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS: IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES... IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS: BENTON CARROLL MADISON WASHINGTON IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 COUNTIES... IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA: CHEROKEE IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA: ADAIR CRAIG DELAWARE MAYES NOWATA OTTAWA ROGERS WASHINGTON THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BARTLESVILLE...BENTONVILLE... BERRYVILLE...CLAREMORE...EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE... HUNTSVILLE...JAY...MIAMI...NOWATA...PRYOR...ROGERS...SILOAM SPRINGS...SPRINGDALE...STILWELL...TAHLEQUAH AND VINITA.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 11:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton | 81 min |
| Jul 11, 11:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Carroll, Madison | 81 min |
| Jul 12, 5:52 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Carroll | 53 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.