Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 106, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 6, 2003Mayes County, Rogers County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 6, 2003, 4:19 PM CDT for Mayes County, Rogers County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 56 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 6, 2003, 4:19 PM CDT (21:19 UTC)
Expired
May 6, 2003, 5:15 PM CDT
In force
56 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Mayes County, OK, Rogers County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 17 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 6, 11:40 AM CDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2003-05-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 34 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2003-05-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 86 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
34 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-216 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1877 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
86 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
115 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KTSA 062119
SVRTUL
OKC097-131-062215-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
419 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
  ROGERS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* AT 419 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 16
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHOUTEAU...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...CLAREMORE...
  TIAWAH...FOYIL...CHELSEA...PRYOR...CHOUTEAU...ADAIR AND PENSACOLA.

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED 
IN THE WARNED AREA. STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE 
STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3617 9567 3608 9529 3650 9510 3658 9559

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 6, 3:55 PM CDT, 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 6, 3:55 PM CDT, 24 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
355 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

AT 3PM THE SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED 60 MILES NORTH OF BARTLESVILLE
WITH A DRY LINE EXTENDING SOUTH ACROSS TULSA TO NEAR ARDMORE.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE DRY LINE ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WERE BECOMING SEVERE.

STORM-RELATIVE HELICITY VALUES TRIPLE FROM HIGHWAY 75 AND THE INDIAN
NATION TURNPIKE EAST INTO WESTERN ARKANAS...SO THERE WILL BE AN
INCREASING TORNADO THREAT OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 3 HOURS.

FORECAST ID= 08

.TSA...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, May 6, 1:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 19 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-071100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
   ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED OVER NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DRY LINE EXTENDING SOUTHWEST INTO SOUTHWEST
OKLAHOMA.  THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG THE DRY LINE BY
MID AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA...RAPIDLY BECOMING SEVERE.
SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF
BASEBALLS...DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS TO 70 MPH AND A FEW TORNADOES.
THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL BE ACROSS FAR
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH OF A
BARTLESVILLE...FORT SMITH LINE.

WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE
FOUND IN THE OUTLOOK SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA. GIVEN
PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT
YOUR LOCATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
AN ACTIVE SPRING WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS A
SERIES OF DISTURBANCES MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND A
SURFACE BOUNDARY REMAINS OVER THE AREA. IT APPEARS THE BEST CHANCES
OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...AND
AGAIN ON SATURDAY. A MORE STABLE PATTERN MAY FINALLY TAKE OVER BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON.   A TORNADO
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS UNTIL 700 PM.  EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER CONDITIONS...AS
WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 6, 12:46 PM CDT, 3 hours 33 minutes before
ARZ001>002-010>011-019>020-029-OKZ054>072-070000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1246 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH #269 UNTIL 700
PM CDT TUESDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 7 COUNTIES...
IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS:

BENTON                CARROLL               CRAWFORD
MADISON               WASHINGTON

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS:

FRANKLIN              SEBASTIAN

IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 19 COUNTIES...
IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA:

CHEROKEE              MUSKOGEE              OKFUSKEE
SEQUOYAH

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA:

ADAIR                 CRAIG                 CREEK
DELAWARE              MAYES                 NOWATA
OKMULGEE              OSAGE                 OTTAWA
PAWNEE                ROGERS                TULSA
WAGONER               WASHINGTON

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA:

MCINTOSH

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BARTLESVILLE...BENTONVILLE...
BERRYVILLE...BRISTOW...BROKEN ARROW...CEDARVILLE...CLAREMORE...
EUFAULA...EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT SMITH...HUNTSVILLE...
JAY...MIAMI...MOUNTAINBURG...MUSKOGEE...NATURAL DAM...NOWATA...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...OZARK...PAWHUSKA...PAWNEE...PRYOR...ROGERS...
SALLISAW...SAND SPRINGS...SILOAM SPRINGS...SPRINGDALE...STILWELL...
TAHLEQUAH...TULSA...VAN BUREN...VINITA AND WAGONER.
Special weather statement, May 6, 3:01 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
OKZ049-053-073>076-070200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
301 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH #273 UNTIL
900 PM CDT TUESDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES...
IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA:

CHOCTAW               HASKELL               LATIMER
LE FLORE              PITTSBURG             PUSHMATAHA

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ANTLERS...CLAYTON...HUGO...MCALESTER...
POTEAU...STIGLER AND WILBURTON.
Special weather statement, May 6, 3:55 PM CDT, 24 minutes before
ARZ001>002-010>011-019>020-029-OKZ054>072-070000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
355 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CLEARED A PORTION OF TORNADO WATCH
#269. AREAS CLEARED FROM THE TORNADO WATCH INCLUDE:

IN OKLAHOMA 5 COUNTIES...
IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA:

CREEK                 OSAGE                 PAWNEE
TULSA                 WASHINGTON

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BARTLESVILLE...BRISTOW...BROKEN ARROW...
PAWHUSKA...PAWNEE...SAND SPRINGS AND TULSA.

TORNADO WATCH #269 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 700 PM CDT TUESDAY EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 7 COUNTIES...
IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS:

BENTON                CARROLL               CRAWFORD
MADISON               WASHINGTON

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS:

FRANKLIN              SEBASTIAN

IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 14 COUNTIES...
IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA:

CHEROKEE              MUSKOGEE              OKFUSKEE
SEQUOYAH

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA:

ADAIR                 CRAIG                 DELAWARE
MAYES                 NOWATA                OKMULGEE
OTTAWA                ROGERS                WAGONER

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA:

MCINTOSH

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...CEDARVILLE...
CLAREMORE...EUFAULA...EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT SMITH...
HUNTSVILLE...JAY...MIAMI...MOUNTAINBURG...MUSKOGEE...NATURAL DAM...
NOWATA...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...OZARK...PRYOR...ROGERS...SALLISAW...
SILOAM SPRINGS...SPRINGDALE...STILWELL...TAHLEQUAH...VAN BUREN...
VINITA AND WAGONER.
Local storm report, May 6, 4:11 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
0411 PM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0358 PM    5 E HENRYETTA             OK   1.00 IN HAIL
05/06/03   OKMULGEE

0409 PM    3 W BOYNTON               OK   1.00 IN HAIL
05/06/03   MUSKOGEE

SP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 6, 3:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOkmulgee45 min
May 6, 3:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh55 min
May 6, 3:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAWagoner52 min
May 6, 4:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMuskogee70 min
May 6, 4:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Pittsburg87 min
May 6, 4:39 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAMuskogee66 min
May 6, 4:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSADelaware, Ottawa58 min
May 6, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig64 min
May 6, 5:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSASequoyah50 min
May 6, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee62 min
May 6, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMayes45 min
May 6, 5:23 PM CDTTornado WarningTSASequoyah52 min
May 6, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, Muskogee, Pittsburg81 min
May 6, 6:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPushmataha88 min
May 6, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSASequoyah77 min
May 6, 6:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair41 min
May 6, 6:26 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAAdair34 min
May 6, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore72 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.