Severe Thunderstorm Warning 192, NWS Topeka, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KANSAS
305 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2003

MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES ARE PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWING WEAK FRONT PUSHING INTO THE FAR NORTHERN
COUNTIES. RESULTING CONVERGENCE WITH STRONG DAYTIME HEATING HAS
ALLOWED FOR CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHERN COUNTIES AND
EXPECT THIS TREND TO CONTINUE SOUTHWARD CLOSER TO OLD OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY AND WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 100. WILL WORD MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN 2/3 OF THE CWA AS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING WITH
MORE ISOLATED COVERAGE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTH. WILL DECREASE TO A
SLIGHT CHANCE AFTER THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

SHORTWAVE ALSO NOW OVER CENTRAL KANSAS WILL VERY SLOWLY MOVE EAST
ACROSS THE CWA INTO WEDNESDAY PROVIDING A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS...FAVORING THE PEAK HEATING TIMES OF THE DAY AND INTO
THE EVENING HOURS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN HOT THROUGH THURSDAY
BEFORE FRONT STARTS TO MOVES THROUGH THE CWA THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. WILL FAVOR THE SLOWER MOVEMENT OF THE ETA FOR NOW. WITH THE
FRONT MOVING THROUGH...CLOUDS AND PRECIP CHANCES...WILL LOWER HIGHS
FRIDAY INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S MOST AREAS.

SECONDARY VORT MAX WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY...SO FRONT WILL NOT MOVE TOO FAR TO THE SOUTH OF THE CWA
FRIDAY BEFORE LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKS AND KEEP THE THREAT FOR MORE
CONVECTION NORTH OF THE FRONT INTO SATURDAY AS WAVE APPROACHES.
APPEARS THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHEAST
CWA INTO SATURDAY EVENING BEFORE ENDING BY MIDNIGHT AS THE FRONT
PUSHES AGAIN BACK TO THE SOUTH. AT THIS POINT...HIGHS ON SATURDAY
LOOK TO BE THE COOLER WITH THE BEST COMBINATION OF CLOUDS...CAA AND
PRECIP CHANCES. SUNDAY ON INTO TUESDAY LOOK DRY FOR NOW WITH HIGHS
GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S.

.TOP...NONE.

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-271000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1207 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THE
STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT. SOME LARGE
HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES WILL BE IN THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY OVER NORTHEAST KANSAS AND OVER
MOST AREAS FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

HEAT INDICES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 100 TO 105 DEGREES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/TOP  (ALL LOWER CASE)

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
220 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0216 PM    CORNING                   KS    WIND DAMAGE
08/26/03   NEMAHA                          TREE LIMBS DOWN.