Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 34, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

May 17, 2003Hillsborough County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 17, 2003, 5:01 PM EDT for Hillsborough County, Florida. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 17, 2003, 5:01 PM EDT (21:01 UTC)
Expired
May 17, 2003, 5:30 PM EDT
In force
29 min
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Hillsborough County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 35 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 35 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2003-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 858 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2003-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -13 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
858 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-71 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1039 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS52 KTBW 172101
SVRTBW
FLC057-172130-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
500 PM EDT SAT MAY 17 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 530 PM EDT

* AT 500 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...OVER
  TEMPLE TERRACE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT...
  EAST LAKE ORIENT PARK.
  MANGO.
  SEFFNER.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR HIGHER...AND
HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OR LARGER. MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

&&

LAT...LON 2814 8233 2803 8248 2781 8232 2795 8212

$$

69

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 17, 12:36 PM EDT, 4 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 17, 12:36 PM EDT, 4 hours 25 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1236 PM EDT SAT MAY 17 2003

A PATTERN CHANGE IS IN THE OFFING.  FIRST A DEEP LAYER CUT OFF
LOW OVER THE MIDWEST WILL DRIFT SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL GULF.  WE
WILL BE ON THE DIFFLUENT SIDE...ALOFT...OF THE LOW...PLUS IT WILL
PULL A LITTLE COOLER AIR...AGAIN ALOFT...SOUTHWARD DESTABILIZING THE
ATMOSPHERE.  THIS WILL REALLY START TO INFLUENCE OUR WEATHER ON
SUNDAY AND EVEN MORE SO MONDAY.  AT THE SAME TIME THE SURFACE RIDGE
LIFTS NORTHWARD PUTTING US IN LIGHT LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW.  THE SUM
OF THIS IS THE BEGINNING OF OUR SUMMER AFTERNOON SHOWERS OR AT LEAST
A COUPLE DAYS OF THEM.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER WITH THE INCREASED CLOUD
COVER AND INCREASE IN COOLING RAINS.

BY MIDWEEK THE UPPER LOW STARTS TO BECOME LESS OF A PLAYER AS IT
DRIFTS SOUTH INTO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND A RIDGE BUILDS IN ALOFT.
A SURFACE THROUGH DIGS INTO GEORGIA WHICH WILL SWITCH LOW LEVEL
FLOW BACK TO WESTERLY KEEPING AFTERNOON CONVECTION INLAND.  THE RIDGE
ALOFT BREAKS DOWN BY THE END WEEK AND THE FRONT SINKS SOUTHWARD.
SLIGHTLY COOLER...BUT MAINLY DRIER AIR WILL SETTLE INTO THE AREA
FOR THE WEEKEND.

MARINE WISE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND MAINLY OFFSHORE AT LEAST EARLY
ON. NO PROBLEMS ARE ANTICIPATED.  FOR FIRE WEATHER...TEMPERATURES
WILL BE A LITTLE LOWER AND THERE WILL BE INCREASED RAIN COVERAGE.
THERE WILL BE NO HIGHLIGHTS.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS

TPA 074/090 072/089 1425
FMY 073/091 072/090 2435
GIF 073/091 071/090 2425
SRQ 074/090 074/088 2425
BKV 068/091 069/090 1425

.TBW...NONE.

SOBIEN
Hazardous weather outlook, May 17, 6:00 AM EDT, 11 hours 1 minute before
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-171545-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
600 AM EDT SAT MAY 17 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY...
INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE... INSTABILITY AND THE AFTERNOON
SEABREEZE WILL GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
INLAND AREAS TODAY. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING.

WHEN SKIES DARKEN...MOVE INDOORS. UNPLUG AND DO NOT USE ELECTRICAL
EQUIPMENT. WAIT UNTIL THE STORM ENDS BEFORE USING THE TELEPHONE OR
RUNNING WATER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:
SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY ACROSS THE AREA.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 17, 4:36 PM EDT, 25 minutes before
FLZ052-172115-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
436 PM EDT SAT MAY 17 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN POLK COUNTY...

TWO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED OVER EASTERN POLK COUNTY. ONE
WAS JUST NORTH OF HAINES CITY OVER THE DAVENPORT AREA...ANOTHER WAS
BETWEEN FROSTPROOF AND FORT MEADE. BOTH STORMS WERE MOVING VERY
LITTLE. THROUGH 515 PM...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...SMALL
HAIL...GUSTY WINDS OF UP TO 40 MPH...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF
UP TO 2 INCHES WILL BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.  THE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING...POORLY
DRAINED AREAS.

MORALES

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.