Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 932

May 10, 200321 counties in Arkansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 10, 2003, 10:29 PM CDT for 21 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 91 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2003, 10:29 PM CDT (03:29 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2003, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
91 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 21 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 236 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2003-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1530 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2003-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 165 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1530 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-23 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1136 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
165 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
215 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.5
Supercell composite
9.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

179 
ACUS11 KWNS 110329
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110329 
ARZ000-MSZ000-OKZ000-110500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0932
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1029 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 347...

VALID 110329Z - 110500Z

THREAT FOR MAINLY DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL EXPECTED TO PERSIST
ANOTHER COUPLE HOURS. TORNADO THREAT MAY INCREASE AS ACTIVITY
APPROACHES WRN TN AND NRN MS.

STORMS ARE BECOMING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AS LINES...POSSIBLY
DUE TO INCREASING WLY COMPONENT TO THE FLOW IN POST CONVECTIVE
REGION AS WELL AS STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET. ATMOSPHERE REMAINS
MODERATELY UNSTABLE DOWNSTREAM FROM THE ACTIVITY AND STORM RELATIVE
INFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH 50 KT SSWLY LOW LEVEL JET SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT FOR STORMS TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING EWD WITHIN WEAKLY
CAPPED ENVIRONMENT. LOW LEVEL SHEAR HAS ALSO INCREASED IN RESPONSE
TO DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET...THUS EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS MAY DEVELOP
WITHIN THE LINE AS ACTIVITY CONTINUES EWD.


..DIAL.. 05/11/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...SHV...

35029321 35089188 34999031 34579082 33819140 33629213
33719343 33649449 34499388

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Garland, Grant and 18 more5 hr
May 10, 7:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead and 22 more54 min
May 10, 8:45 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Crittenden and 18 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.