Alert archive / Wisconsin / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 924

May 10, 2003Allamakee County, Clayton County, Fayette County, Iowa; 16 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 10, 2003, 5:57 PM CDT for Allamakee County, Clayton County, Fayette County, Iowa; 16 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 93 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2003, 5:57 PM CDT (22:57 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2003, 7:30 PM CDT
In force
93 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Allamakee County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Grant County, WI, Green County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Walworth County, WI, Washington County, WI, Waukesha County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 155 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2003-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2003-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 139 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1102 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
139 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
225 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 102258
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102257 
WIZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-110030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0924
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0557 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN IA AND SRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 102257Z - 110030Z

SEVERE THREAT INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES
EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS NERN IA/SRN WI NEXT FEW HOURS. WW WILL
BE ISSUED SHORTLY 

ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TO DESTABILIZE NWD WITH TIME AS MOIST LOW
LEVEL FLOW ACCELERATES IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER IA.
SHEAR PROFILES WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS
ACROSS ERN IA INTO SRN WI AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKS AND
STRENGTHENS E OF THE LOW AND ALONG/S OF THE WARM FRONT. INITIAL
STORMS MAY BE ELEVATED. HOWEVER...AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES
NWD...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SURFACE BASED.

..DIAL.. 05/10/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MKX...DVN...ARX...

42519093 42859191 43889094 43688812 42518793

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 5:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLee92 min
May 10, 10:54 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDes Moines, Henry, Lee, Louisa, Van Buren66 min
May 10, 3:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Benton, Buchanan, Cedar, Clarke, Clinton and 26 more58 min
May 10, 3:50 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAppanoose, Benton, Cedar, Clinton, Davis, Des Moines and 29 more6 hr
May 10, 6:15 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllamakee, Clayton, Fayette, Winneshiek5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Wisconsin, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.