Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 883

May 9, 200317 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 9, 2003, 4:58 PM CDT for 17 counties in Texas. It was in force for 32 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 9, 2003, 4:58 PM CDT (21:58 UTC)
Expired
May 9, 2003, 5:30 PM CDT
In force
32 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Concho County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Irion County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Tom Green County, TX

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 116 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-05-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-05-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -13 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
4389 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
193 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

294 
ACUS11 KWNS 092158
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092158 
TXZ000-092230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0883
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0458 PM CDT FRI MAY 09 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN-WRN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 092158Z - 092230Z

WW WILL BE ISSUED SOON FOR PORTIONS OF SWRN TO WRN TX.

A STRONG TORNADIC SUPERCELL...CURRENTLY OVER ERN PECOS COUNTY...
WILL CONTINUE TO BE SEVERE AS IT MOVES EWD INTO A VERY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS.  VIS IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS ADDITIONAL CU DEVELOPING ALONG THE DRY
LINE WHICH EXTENDS FROM THE TRANSPECOS AREA NNEWD THROUGH WRN TX TO
NEAR CDS.  THIS IS INDICATIVE OF A WEAKENING CAP...WITH CIN LOWERED
TO -25 TO -50 J/KG.  OBSERVED AND FORECAST DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES
SUPPORT SUPERCELLS INTO THE EVENING WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS THAT
DEVELOP ALONG THE DRY LINE AND MOVE EWD INTO THE VERY MOIST/UNSTABLE
AIR MASS OVER SWRN AND WRN TX.

..PETERS.. 05/09/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF...

30420250 31550179 32950106 32479905 30070051

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 8:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coleman and 22 more60 min
May 8, 11:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Collin, Cooke, Denton, Eastland, Fannin and 9 more91 min
May 9, 9:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Callahan, Coke, Dickens, Fisher, Foard and 16 more3 hr
May 9, 2:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Haskell, Jack, Montague and 6 more113 min
May 9, 3:35 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Haskell, Jack, Knox and 6 more5 hr
May 9, 5:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCallahan, Coke, Crockett, Fisher, Irion, Jones and 10 more6 hr
May 9, 5:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Haskell, Jack, Knox and 7 more84 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.