Alert archive / Tennessee / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 855

May 8, 2003Massac County, Illinois; 18 counties in Kentucky; 26 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 8, 2003, 2:20 PM CDT for Massac County, Illinois; 18 counties in Kentucky; 26 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 85 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 8, 2003, 2:20 PM CDT (19:20 UTC)
Expired
May 8, 2003, 3:45 PM CDT
In force
85 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 45 counties

Massac County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Christian County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Warren County, KY, Bedford County, TN, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Perry County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Weakley County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2003-05-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 360 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2003-05-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 107 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
360 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-84 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
628 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
107 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
196 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

925 
ACUS11 KWNS 081921
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081920 
KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-082045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0855
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0220 PM CDT THU MAY 08 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN KY AND MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 300...

VALID 081920Z - 082045Z

ISOLATED SUPERCELL OVER NWRN TN HAS WEAKENED AND IS SHOWING SIGNS OF
BECOMING LESS SURFACE BASED AS THE STORM MOTION HAS BECOME MORE
ENELY OVER THE LAST 30 MINUTES. INCREASING LOW TO MID LEVEL WAA
AHEAD OF POTENT SRN PLAINS SHORTWAVE WAS AIDING IN INCREASING
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION. AS A RESULT...FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OF THIS
STORM APPEARS TO BE UNLIKELY AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK INTO MIDDLE TN
THROUGH 08/21Z. FARTHER NORTH...ELEVATED CONVECTION OVER SWRN KY
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NEWD AND MAY POSE AN ISOLATED LARGE HAIL
THREAT. IF CURRENT CONVECTIVE TRENDS CONTINUE OVER WW 300...A
CANCELLATION OF THE WATCH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

..CROSBIE.. 05/08/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

35148841 37248909 37508630 35348628

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 10:25 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Massac, Pulaski6 hr
May 8, 12:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian and 42 more4 hr
May 8, 12:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMassac2 hr
May 8, 2:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Christian, Clay and 35 more2 hr
May 8, 3:40 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBond, Brown, Cass, Champaign, Christian, Clark and 34 more5 hr
May 8, 5:15 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCEdwards, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Massac, Pope and 4 more6 hr
May 8, 9:55 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Barren, Butler, Calloway, Christian, Clinton and 14 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.