Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 809

May 6, 200339 counties in Arkansas; Bowie County, Cass County, Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 6, 2003, 11:08 PM CDT for 39 counties in Arkansas; Bowie County, Cass County, Texas. It was in force for 97 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 6, 2003, 11:08 PM CDT (04:08 UTC)
Expired
May 7, 2003, 12:45 AM CDT
In force
97 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 41 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Pike County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Sevier County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Union County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Bowie County, TX, Cass County, TX

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 00:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 234 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2003-05-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2206 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2003-05-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 162 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2206 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-215 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1131 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
162 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
303 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
11.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

496 
ACUS11 KWNS 070408
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070408 
ARZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-070545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0809
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1108 PM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NE TX...SW/CNTRL AR...NW LA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 277...

VALID 070408Z - 070545Z

THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS APPEARS TO BE INCREASING AGAIN
ACROSS ARKANSAS...NEW WW WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT EAST OF THE DALLAS/FORT WORTH AREA AND
REINTENSIFICATION OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AHEAD OF WEAK SURFACE
COLD FRONT ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA APPEARS TO BE IN RESPONSE TO
APPROACH OF ANOTHER JET STREAK EMBEDDED WITHIN STRONG CYCLONIC UPPER
FLOW REGIME.  SPEED MAXIMUM NOW MIGRATING ACROSS NORTHWEST TEXAS
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ARKLATEX OVERNIGHT...WHERE LOW-LEVEL WARM
ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN NEXT FEW HOURS ALONG SOUTH
SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET AXIS.  A LARGER CONVECTIVE CLUSTER MAY
GRADUALLY DEVELOP VICINITY OF OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS...GRADUALLY DEVELOPING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE MEMPHIS
AREA OVERNIGHT.

..KERR.. 05/07/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...

33959483 34579407 35159278 35659168 35749097 34809036
33259156 32939439

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 6, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshley, Chicot5 hr
May 6, 7:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Fulton, Garland and 19 more2 hr
May 6, 11:30 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 67 more6 hr
May 7, 2:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 64 more3 hr
May 7, 4:55 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Crittenden, Cross and 8 more6 hr
May 7, 7:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Phillips and 1 more114 min
May 7, 10:50 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Chicot, Drew5 hr
May 7, 1:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChicot2 hr
May 6, 7:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Cooke, Dallas, Denton, Erath, Fannin and 12 more117 min
May 7, 2:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Coke, Concho, Dawson, Fisher, Garza and 19 more103 min
May 7, 5:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArcher, Armstrong, Baylor, Briscoe, Callahan, Carson and 33 more6 hr
May 7, 5:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Callahan, Clay, Eastland, Fisher and 16 more97 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.