Alert archive / Mississippi / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 80

February 15, 2003Washington Parish, Louisiana; 33 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 15, 2003, 5:51 PM CST for Washington Parish, Louisiana; 33 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 114 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 15, 2003, 5:51 PM CST (23:51 UTC)
Expired
Feb 15, 2003, 7:45 PM CST
In force
114 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 34 counties

Washington Parish, LA, Attala County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2003-02-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 43 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2003-02-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 167 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
43 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-62 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
593 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
167 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
163 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 152352
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152351 
MSZ000-LAZ000-160145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0080
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0551 PM CST SAT FEB 15 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN AND ERN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 7...

VALID 152351Z - 160145Z

A FEW ROTATING THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN BOWING LINE SEGMENTS MOVING
ACROSS ERN PORTIONS OF WW CONTINUE TO PRODUCE WIND DAMAGE.



LATEST RADAR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE MESOLOW MOVING ENEWD
ACROSS E CENTRAL MS ATTM.  MARGINAL INSTABILITY BUT FAVORABLE
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR PERSISTS...AS DOES STORM ROTATION PER LATEST
RADAR DATA.  STRONGEST COUPLET ATTM APPEARS TO BE MOVING NEWD OUT
OF NRN JONES COUNTY INTO JASPER COUNTY MS.  SEVERE THREAT WILL
CONTINUE ALONG AND AHEAD OF LINE AS BOWING SEGMENTS MOVE EWD INTO
NEWLY-ISSUED WW OVER WRN AL.  



..GOSS.. 02/15/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

33638906 33638819 32188848 30738878 30738962 30739046
32189019 33638993

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 15, 1:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEast Feliciana, Livingston, Saint Helena, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington117 min
Feb 15, 3:05 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCWashington6 hr
Feb 15, 5:18 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLowndes117 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.