Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 796

May 6, 200311 counties in Oklahoma; 16 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 6, 2003, 2:47 PM CDT for 11 counties in Oklahoma; 16 counties in Texas. It was in force for 118 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 6, 2003, 2:47 PM CDT (19:47 UTC)
Expired
May 6, 2003, 4:45 PM CDT
In force
118 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 27 counties

Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Collin County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Titus County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 185 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 164 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-05-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2816 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-05-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 167 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2816 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-137 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1185 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
167 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
89 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.9
Supercell composite
6.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

662 
ACUS11 KWNS 061948
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061947 
TXZ000-OKZ000-062145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0796
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0247 PM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK/N TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 061947Z - 062145Z

...CONVECTIVE INITIATION IS EXPECTED WITHIN 1-3 HOURS WITH TORNADO
WATCH SOON TO BE ISSUED ACROSS SERN OK/FAR NRN TX...

LATEST SFC MESOANALYSIS SHOWS SFC DRYLINE FROM JUST WEST OF TULSA TO
WEST OF ARDMORE TO E OF ABILENE...MARKED BY CUMULUS FIELD ON VISIBLE
SATELLITE. VISUAL OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE SHOW DEVELOPING TCU
FROM ABOUT 30 NW MLC...WHICH IS FORMING ON A GRAVITY WAVE MOVING NWD
FROM EARLIER CONVECTIVE COMPLEX IN TX. WHETHER THIS ACTIVITY BECOMES
SFC BASED IS UNCERTAIN. HOWEVER...MAIN BOUNDARY/FORCING WILL BE
DRYLINE. 18Z SPECIAL SOUNDING FROM FTW SHOWED SBCAPE VALUES IN
EXCESS OF 6300 J/KG. THE CAP APPEARS TO BE ERODING QUICKLY. ONCE
TSTMS FORM...THEY WILL QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE. THERE WILL BE A THREAT FOR TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS GIVEN EXTREME INSTABILITY AND STRONG SHEAR. 

..TAYLOR.. 05/06/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

32749703 34319660 35459580 35289460 33439474 32349558

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 6, 10:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Atoka, Cherokee, Coal, Craig, Creek and 19 more118 min
May 6, 11:40 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Muskogee and 9 more7 hr
May 6, 3:05 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Haskell and 12 more6 hr
May 6, 3:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCraig, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata, Ottawa, Rogers and 1 more2 hr
May 6, 5:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Haskell, Sequoyah117 min
May 6, 6:55 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Choctaw, Haskell, Latimer and 4 more5 hr
May 6, 8:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBastrop, Bell, Blanco, Brazos, Burleson, Burnet and 14 more2 hr
May 6, 9:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBell, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Callahan, Coleman and 28 more6 hr
May 6, 12:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Comal and 16 more2 hr
May 6, 2:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Bastrop, Brazos, Burleson, Colorado, Fayette and 11 more114 min
May 6, 4:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Ellis, Fannin and 7 more119 min
May 6, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCollin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Eastland and 19 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.