Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 780

May 6, 200346 counties in Georgia; 12 counties in North Carolina; 28 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 6, 2003, 2:53 AM EDT for 46 counties in Georgia; 12 counties in North Carolina; 28 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 6, 2003, 2:53 AM EDT (06:53 UTC)
Expired
May 6, 2003, 5:00 AM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 86 counties

Baldwin County, GA, Barrow County, GA, Butts County, GA, Carroll County, GA, Clarke County, GA, Clayton County, GA, Cobb County, GA, Columbia County, GA, Coweta County, GA, DeKalb County, GA, Douglas County, GA, Fayette County, GA, Fulton County, GA, Glascock County, GA, Greene County, GA, Gwinnett County, GA, Hancock County, GA, Haralson County, GA, Harris County, GA, Heard County, GA, Henry County, GA, Jackson County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Jones County, GA, Lamar County, GA, Lincoln County, GA, McDuffie County, GA, Meriwether County, GA, Monroe County, GA, Morgan County, GA, Newton County, GA, Oconee County, GA, Oglethorpe County, GA, Paulding County, GA, Pike County, GA, Polk County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Richmond County, GA, Rockdale County, GA, Spalding County, GA, Taliaferro County, GA, Troup County, GA, Upson County, GA, Walton County, GA, Warren County, GA, Wilkes County, GA, Anson County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Abbeville County, SC, Aiken County, SC, Barnwell County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Chester County, SC, Chesterfield County, SC, Clarendon County, SC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Edgefield County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Florence County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Horry County, SC, Kershaw County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Lee County, SC, Lexington County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, McCormick County, SC, Newberry County, SC, Orangeburg County, SC, Richland County, SC, Saluda County, SC, Sumter County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC

The radar

The Columbia radar (KCAE), 127 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 00:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2003-05-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1313 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2003-05-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 211 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1313 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-36 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
782 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
62 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
211 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
399 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.1
Supercell composite
11.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

069 
ACUS11 KWNS 060653
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060653 
GAZ000-SCZ000-ALZ000-NCZ000-060900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0780
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0153 AM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN GA...SC...SERN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 259...261...

VALID 060653Z - 060900Z

SEVERE TSTM LINE INCLUDING APPARENT BOW ECHO SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING
EWD ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN SC NEXT FEW HOURS...POSSIBLY TOWARD ILM-MYR
AREA THROUGH 9-10Z TIME FRAME.	FORMER HP SUPERCELL HAS BEEN
ABSORBED BY THIS LINE...HOWEVER ADDITIONAL POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELL
DEVELOPMENT EXISTS ACROSS THIS REGION WITH VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES
SHOWING 50-55 KT IN 0-6 KM LAYER AND 150-200 J/KG 0-3 KM SRH. 
ROUGHLY 1500 J/KG MUCAPE EVIDENT IN MODIFIED RAOBS AND RUC
SOUNDINGS.  OTHERWISE...ANTICIPATE POTENTIALLY DAMAGING CONVECTIVE
GUSTS ACROSS  PORTIONS WW 261 AREA.  TSTM WIND DAMAGE REPORTED
EDGEFIELD COUNTY SC PAST HOUR.	SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE
DIMINISHING FARTHER SW INTO WW 259 WHERE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY APPEARS TO
BE UNDERCUTTING CELLS RAPIDLY.	INFLOW-LAYER AIR MASS REMAINS
UNSTABLE WITH SFC DEW POINTS NEAR 70 F...HOWEVER...AND ANY
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AHEAD OF OUTFLOW SURGE HAS POTENTIAL TO
BECOME SEVERE.

..EDWARDS.. 05/06/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...BMX...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...

32668530 34258529 34088252 32488256 

32668254 34418251 35507790 33757790

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 5, 8:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartow, Carroll, Chattooga, Cherokee, Cobb, Dade and 9 more2 hr
May 5, 9:30 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Barrow, Bibb, Butts, Carroll, Clarke and 43 more8 hr
May 5, 11:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanks, Barrow, Bartow, Butts, Carroll, Cherokee and 34 more2 hr
May 6, 1:55 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBurke, Columbia, Jefferson, Lincoln, McDuffie, Richmond6 hr
May 6, 2:50 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCChattooga, Dade6 hr
May 6, 6:06 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChattooga, Dade3 hr
May 6, 6:23 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurke, Columbia, Jefferson, McDuffie, Richmond2 hr
May 6, 8:40 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCChattooga, Dade, Walker5 hr
May 6, 10:45 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBanks, Barrow, Bartow, Carroll, Catoosa, Chattooga and 41 more5 hr
May 6, 11:26 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChattooga, Dade2 hr
May 6, 1:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanks, Barrow, Bartow, Butts, Carroll, Chattooga and 50 more90 min
May 6, 1:30 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Banks, Barrow, Bartow, Burke, Butts and 59 more7 hr
May 6, 2:18 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEffingham, Screven117 min
May 6, 4:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Banks, Barrow, Bartow, Bibb, Burke and 60 more2 hr
May 5, 11:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAiken, Berkeley, Calhoun, Chester, Chesterfield, Clarendon and 17 more3 hr
May 6, 2:40 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Berkeley, Calhoun and 20 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.