Alert archive / Tennessee / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 679

May 2, 20034 counties in Kentucky; 29 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 2, 2003, 8:52 AM CDT for 4 counties in Kentucky; 29 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 113 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 2, 2003, 8:52 AM CDT (13:52 UTC)
Expired
May 2, 2003, 10:45 AM CDT
In force
113 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 33 counties

Allen County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Clay County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Davidson County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Macon County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Scott County, TN, Smith County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, White County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2003-05-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2003-05-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 15 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1266 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

996 
ACUS11 KWNS 021353
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021352 
TNZ000-KYZ000-021545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0679
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0852 AM CDT FRI MAY 02 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN KY/NRN-WRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 021352Z - 021545Z

SHORT ELEVATED CONVECTIVE LINE WILL CONTINUE EWD WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WW IS
NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

AN AXIS OF SFC DEWPOINTS AROUND 60 F EXTENDED NWD THROUGH THE MS
RIVER VALLEY AND NEWD INTO SCNTRL KY. CONVECTION WAS BEING SUSTAINED
BY LARGE-SCALE FORCING WITH A VORT MAX EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY ACROSS
NCNTRL TN. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WERE
CONTRIBUTING TO MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE AROUND 1500 J/KG.
CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE AS THE INSTABILITY AXIS SHIFTS EWD WITH
AN ISOLATED HAIL OR WIND DAMAGE POSSIBLE. BNA 12Z SOUNDING SHOWED
MARGINAL DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 30 KT WITH A WEAK INVERSION NEAR
850 MB. AS A RESULT...CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN ELEVATED AS IT MOVES
EWD WITH A LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...THOUGH SFC-BASED PTNL
WILL INCREASE AS TEMPS WARM INTO THE LOWER 70S. WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED ATTM. 

..BROYLES.. 05/02/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...

36098750 36538659 36968604 36808502 36278387 35488486
35508606

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 3:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bourbon, Boyle, Bracken, Clark, Fayette and 20 more114 min
May 2, 1:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Cocke, Greene, Hamblen, Hawkins, Jefferson and 4 more2 hr
May 2, 1:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCarter, Cocke, Greene, Hawkins, Johnson, Sullivan and 2 more5 hr
May 2, 1:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChester, Fayette, Giles, Hardeman, Hardin, Lawrence and 4 more92 min
May 2, 1:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBedford, Bledsoe, Bradley, Chester, Coffee, Decatur and 20 more5 hr
May 2, 2:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFayette6 hr
May 2, 5:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Bradley, Chester, Coffee, Franklin, Giles and 16 more84 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.