Alert archive / Indiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 643

April 30, 20034 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 30, 2003, 3:24 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 30, 2003, 3:24 PM CDT (20:24 UTC)
Expired
Apr 30, 2003, 5:30 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 84 counties

Des Moines County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Cass County, IL, Champaign County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Ford County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Stark County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Warren County, IL, Will County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Benton County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Boone County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Cass County, IN, Clinton County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Howard County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Jay County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Lake County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Newton County, IN, Noble County, IN, Porter County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Warren County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Berrien County, MI

The radar

The Chicago radar (KLOT), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 72 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2003-04-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2003-04-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -31 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
925 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

625 
ACUS11 KWNS 302025
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302024 
OHZ000-INZ000-MIZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-302230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0643
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0324 PM CDT WED APR 30 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN IL/NRN IN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 187...

VALID 302024Z - 302230Z

CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM FRONT SHOULD STRENGTHEN OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS IS
LIKELY WITH THE STRONGER CELLS.

WARM FRONT EXTENDED E-W ACROSS NRN IL/NRN IN WITH MODERATE
INSTABILITY EXISTING ACROSS THIS AREA WITH MLCAPE FROM 1000 TO 2000
J/KG. INCREASING LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND LARGE-SCALE FORCING FROM
A VORTICITY MAX ACROSS ERN IA EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF NEW CELLS ALONG THE FRONT. DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WAS ALSO INCREASING WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES AROUND 40
KTS SUGGESTING A SUPERCELL WILL BE POSSIBLE. COLD AIR ALOFT WITH 500
MB TEMPS NEAR 15 C SHOULD PROMOTE A POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL.
ALSO...CELLS THAT CAN ORGANIZE COLD POOLS WILL HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR
WIND DAMAGE.

..BROYLES.. 04/30/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...

40029129 40909135 41539125 41748954 41818761 41898615
41818492 41338474 40788475 40188481 40048577 39978740
39848884 39789022 39759105

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 30, 11:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Jo Daviess and 10 more116 min
Apr 30, 12:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Cass, Champaign, Christian, Coles and 37 more113 min
Apr 30, 1:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Bureau, Cass, Champaign, DeWitt and 30 more5 hr
Apr 30, 5:15 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Hancock, Henderson, McDonough, Mercer, Rock Island and 2 more6 hr
Apr 30, 5:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBureau, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy, Henry and 15 more5 hr
Apr 29, 7:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 13 more3 hr
Apr 29, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 17 more7 hr
Apr 29, 10:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 17 more2 hr
Apr 30, 2:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Decatur, Lucas, Monroe, Page and 3 more116 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.