Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 628

April 29, 200316 counties in Kansas; 4 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 29, 2003, 7:56 PM CDT for 16 counties in Kansas; 4 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 29, 2003, 7:56 PM CDT (00:56 UTC)
Expired
Apr 29, 2003, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Graham County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Smith County, KS, Washington County, KS, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Red Willow County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2003-04-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1367 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2003-04-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 83 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1367 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-21 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2276 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
83 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
164 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

445 
ACUS11 KWNS 300057
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300056 
KSZ000-NEZ000-300300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0628
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0756 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...KS/NEB BORDER REGION

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 181...

VALID 300056Z - 300300Z

TSTMS RAPIDLY DEVELOPING OVER FRANKLIN COUNTY NEB AND SMITH/PHILLIPS
COUNTY BORDER IN KS SHOULD BECOME SUPERCELLS AND PRODUCE SEVERE
HAIL/WIND.  TORNADO POTENTIAL ALSO EXISTS WITH LCL LOWERING AND
INCREASING SR INFLOW.  ANOTHER WW MAY BE REQUIRED CLOSE TO
EXPIRATION TIME OF WW 181.

NEWLY FORMED ACTIVITY IS IN MERIDIONAL ZONE OF ENHANCED LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ON MESO-BETA SCALE WHERE AN OLD HCR INTERSECTS FRONTAL
ZONE.  POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IN THIS CORRIDOR
AS WELL AS ELSEWHERE INVOF FRONT -- WHICH IS ANALYZED ACROSS NRN
TIER KS COUNTIES ATTM.	 ALTHOUGH OBSERVED TOP/LBF/DDC RAOBS ARE
RATHER DISTANT AND DO NOT APPEAR REPRESENTATIVE OF NEAR-FRONTAL
ENVIRONMENT...THEY CONFIRM STEEP LAPSE RATES AND SUFFICIENT MIDLEVEL
FLOW ACROSS REGION TO SUPPORT SUPERCELL POTENTIAL.  MODIFIED RUC
SOUNDINGS SHOW MLCAPE 2000-3000 J/KG AND STRONG VEERING WITH HEIGHT
ALONG FRONT...ESPECIALLY IN 0-1 KM AGL LAYER WHERE SRH NEAR 200 J/KG
IS CALCULATED.	

..EDWARDS.. 04/30/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...

39090086 40390087 39989672 39129672

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 29, 8:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Cheyenne, Clay, Cloud, Decatur, Dickinson and 29 more5 hr
Apr 29, 10:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Cheyenne, Clay, Cloud, Decatur, Dickinson and 28 more2 hr
Apr 30, 1:22 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Norton, Phillips, Rawlins113 min
Apr 30, 1:49 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Norton, Phillips, Rawlins116 min
Apr 30, 2:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Clay, Dickinson, Doniphan, Geary and 13 more116 min
Apr 30, 3:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGreeley, Wallace, Wichita92 min
Apr 30, 5:15 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCDoniphan, Johnson, Leavenworth, Wyandotte6 hr
Apr 30, 6:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chase, Coffey, Cowley, Elk, Franklin and 11 more91 min
Apr 29, 7:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Boone, Buffalo, Burt, Butler, Cass and 31 more3 hr
Apr 29, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Antelope, Boone, Buffalo, Burt, Butler and 46 more7 hr
Apr 29, 10:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Antelope, Boone, Buffalo, Burt, Butler and 45 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.